0xf27d…e6d3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf27de6607cbd15be1133619b9807ff63fb86e6d3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+5.1pp

ROI

+16%

Tasa de acierto

37% @ 31.6¢

Brier

0.185

Resueltas

613

Tamaño med.

$43

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	45% (20/44)	+25%	44
Política	12% (2/17)	-36%	17
Cripto	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tecnología	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other44 apuestas
Tasa acierto
45% (20/44)
ROI
+25%
Política17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
12% (2/17)
ROI
-36%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

33% acierto · 22/66

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	$107	17.7¢	Perdió
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$35	11.2¢	Perdió
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$140	7.0¢	Perdió
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$479	24.4¢	Perdió
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$410	13.7¢	Ganó
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$313	30.5¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	$157	25.6¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$35	0.8¢	Perdió
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$214	37.7¢	Ganó
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	No	$280	56.0¢	Ganó
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	$96	24.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$410	41.0¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$1.5k	43.0¢	Ganó
Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?	Yes	$6	6.1¢	Perdió
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$1.3k	45.8¢	Ganó
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$233	47.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$56	23.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$1.7k	37.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$484	48.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$1.1k	35.2¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$359	50.9¢	Ganó
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	No	$13	1.8¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$519	17.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$1.2k	43.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$100	50.0¢	Ganó
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?	No	$216	15.6¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	No	$267	48.7¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$516	43.0¢	Ganó
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$9	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$140	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$444	18.7¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	Yes	$313	20.6¢	Perdió
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	$1.3k	46.8¢	Ganó
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?	No	$383	54.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	$706	41.6¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$470	30.7¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$450	29.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$169	45.1¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	$480	24.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	No	$414	62.1¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$943	47.2¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$49	22.2¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	$609	55.4¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$55	2.9¢	Perdió
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	$184	60.2¢	Ganó
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$6	5.7¢	Perdió
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$329	36.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$1.2k	49.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$391	39.0¢	Perdió

Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Perdió
Yes$107 @ 17.7¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Perdió
Yes$35 @ 11.2¢
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Perdió
Yes$140 @ 7.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Perdió
Yes$479 @ 24.4¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Ganó
No$410 @ 13.7¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Perdió
No$313 @ 30.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Perdió
No$157 @ 25.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$35 @ 0.8¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Ganó
No$214 @ 37.7¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Ganó
No$280 @ 56.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Perdió
Yes$96 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Perdió
No$410 @ 41.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 43.0¢
Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 6.1¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 45.8¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$233 @ 47.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Ganó
No$56 @ 23.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 37.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Ganó
No$484 @ 48.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$1.1k @ 35.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$359 @ 50.9¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Perdió
No$13 @ 1.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Perdió
Yes$519 @ 17.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Perdió
No$1.2k @ 43.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Perdió
No$216 @ 15.6¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Perdió
No$267 @ 48.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Ganó
Yes$516 @ 43.0¢
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 15.0¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Perdió
Yes$140 @ 9.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$444 @ 18.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Perdió
Yes$313 @ 20.6¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 46.8¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Perdió
No$383 @ 54.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Perdió
No$706 @ 41.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$470 @ 30.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$450 @ 29.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Ganó
No$169 @ 45.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Perdió
Yes$480 @ 24.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Ganó
No$414 @ 62.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Ganó
No$943 @ 47.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$49 @ 22.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Ganó
Yes$609 @ 55.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Perdió
Yes$55 @ 2.9¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Ganó
Yes$184 @ 60.2¢
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 5.7¢
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Perdió
Yes$329 @ 36.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 49.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$391 @ 39.0¢

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