← Dinero inteligente
0xf1c0…a5a2
ExpertoVentaja
+17.1pp
ROI
+20%
Tasa de acierto
100% @ 82.9¢
Brier
0.043
Resueltas
30
Tamaño med.
$117
Especialización por esfera
| Esfera | Tasa acierto | ROI | Apuestas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Política | 100% (6/6) | +20% | 6 |
| Tecnología | 100% (1/1) | +15% | 1 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +30% | 1 |
| Geopolítica | 100% (1/1) | +19% | 1 |
- Política6 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 100% (6/6)
- ROI
- +20%
- Tecnología1 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +15%
- Other1 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +30%
- Geopolítica1 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +19%
Historial
100% acierto · 9/9| Mercado | Resultado | Tamaño | Entrada | Resultado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | $320 | 80.0¢ | Ganó |
| Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | $39 | 77.0¢ | Ganó |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | No | $199 | 54.5¢ | Ganó |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | $2.0k | 89.0¢ | Ganó |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | $300 | 86.0¢ | Ganó |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | Yes | $336 | 84.0¢ | Ganó |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | No | $65 | 64.8¢ | Ganó |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | Yes | $53 | 89.0¢ | Ganó |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | $201 | 87.0¢ | Ganó |
- No$320 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 77.0¢
- No$199 @ 54.5¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 89.0¢
- No$300 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$336 @ 84.0¢
- No$65 @ 64.8¢
- Yes$53 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$201 @ 87.0¢
Operaciones recientes
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Posiciones actuales
- Yes$6.0k @ 90.9¢
- No$2.1k @ 81.5¢
- No$976 @ 97.6¢
- Yes$912 @ 57.3¢
- Yes$800 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$800 @ 83.7¢
- Yes$622 @ 87.5¢
- No$501 @ 79.3¢
- Yes$481 @ 96.2¢
- New pandemic in 2026?GeopolíticaNo$470 @ 94.0¢
- No$435 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$402 @ 72.7¢
- No$364 @ 87.0¢
- No$300 @ 86.0¢
- No$300 @ 73.0¢
- No$300 @ 77.2¢
- No$264 @ 88.0¢
- No$261 @ 87.0¢
- No$254 @ 95.0¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopolíticaNo$231 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$230 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$179 @ 75.8¢
- Yes$150 @ 59.0¢
- No$100 @ 91.0¢
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?GeopolíticaNo$100 @ 87.0¢
- No$81 @ 76.0¢
- No$52 @ 51.9¢
- No$28 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 94.0¢
- No$25 @ 84.0¢