0xf08c…91e9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf08c827f8bccc70f51686be5538611fa696a91e9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+14.7pp

ROI

+43%

Tasa de acierto

50% @ 34.9¢

Brier

0.193

Resueltas

625

Tamaño med.

$25

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	56% (29/52)	+2%	52
Tecnología	57% (16/28)	+112%	28
Deportes	41% (7/17)	+71%	17
Política	47% (8/17)	-1%	17
Cripto	57% (4/7)	+22%	7
Cultura	100% (2/2)	+93%	2
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other52 apuestas
Tasa acierto
56% (29/52)
ROI
+2%
Tecnología28 apuestas
Tasa acierto
57% (16/28)
ROI
+112%
Deportes17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (7/17)
ROI
+71%
Política17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (8/17)
ROI
-1%
Cripto7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
57% (4/7)
ROI
+22%
Cultura2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+93%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

53% acierto · 66/124

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	$578	72.7¢	Ganó
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	$16	39.0¢	Ganó
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	$131	68.4¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$85	85.0¢	Ganó
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A	Team Orange Gaming	$10	51.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$339	75.2¢	Ganó
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$170	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	$74	52.9¢	Ganó
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	No	$27	11.6¢	Ganó
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)	Dplus KIA	$68	51.7¢	Perdió
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$196	16.9¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$478	29.5¢	Perdió
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?	Over	$10	59.0¢	Perdió
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$17	2.4¢	Perdió
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$49	34.0¢	Ganó
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?	No	$216	19.1¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	No	$79	86.4¢	Ganó
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	PARIVISION	$10	59.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$750	81.0¢	Ganó
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?	No	$371	30.8¢	Perdió
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$20	50.0¢	Ganó
Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska	Maja Chwalinska	$10	47.0¢	Perdió
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	$20	9.9¢	Perdió
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	$32	25.8¢	Ganó
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	$100	62.5¢	Ganó
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?	No	$35	24.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$102	68.3¢	Ganó
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$52	64.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$258	80.5¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$26	9.7¢	Perdió
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	$38	47.2¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$17	31.2¢	Perdió
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$237	22.9¢	Ganó
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Game 1 Winner	G2 NORD	$10	50.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$609	78.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$59	59.0¢	Perdió
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	$10	44.0¢	Perdió
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	$312	74.2¢	Ganó
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	$34	24.0¢	Perdió
Oeiras 4: Jurij Rodionov vs Colton Smith	Jurij Rodionov	$10	47.3¢	Perdió
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$26	1.7¢	Perdió
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$87	78.0¢	Ganó
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	$25	49.8¢	Perdió
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$298	49.7¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	$140	69.8¢	Ganó
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	No	$105	86.0¢	Ganó
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season	Supernova	$15	54.3¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	$10	60.0¢	Perdió
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?	No	$289	36.4¢	Perdió
Will Kiambo White be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	$1	6.7¢	Perdió

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Ganó
Yes$578 @ 72.7¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Ganó
No$16 @ 39.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Ganó
No$131 @ 68.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Ganó
No$85 @ 85.0¢
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group AGanó
Team Orange Gaming$10 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$339 @ 75.2¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Ganó
Yes$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Ganó
Yes$74 @ 52.9¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Ganó
No$27 @ 11.6¢
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Perdió
Dplus KIA$68 @ 51.7¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Perdió
Yes$196 @ 16.9¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Perdió
No$478 @ 29.5¢
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Perdió
Over$10 @ 59.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 2.4¢
Knicks vs. SpursGanó
Knicks$49 @ 34.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Perdió
No$216 @ 19.1¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Ganó
No$79 @ 86.4¢
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsGanó
PARIVISION$10 @ 59.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$750 @ 81.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Perdió
No$371 @ 30.8¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreGanó
Yes$20 @ 50.0¢
Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Maja ChwalinskaPerdió
Maja Chwalinska$10 @ 47.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 9.9¢
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub MensikGanó
Jakub Mensik$32 @ 25.8¢
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 62.5¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Perdió
No$35 @ 24.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Ganó
No$102 @ 68.3¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$52 @ 64.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$258 @ 80.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 9.7¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?Ganó
No$38 @ 47.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 31.2¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$237 @ 22.9¢
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Game 1 WinnerGanó
G2 NORD$10 @ 50.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Ganó
No$609 @ 78.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Perdió
Yes$59 @ 59.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben SheltonPerdió
Ben Shelton$10 @ 44.0¢
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Ganó
Yes$312 @ 74.2¢
Canadiens vs. SabresPerdió
Sabres$34 @ 24.0¢
Oeiras 4: Jurij Rodionov vs Colton SmithPerdió
Jurij Rodionov$10 @ 47.3¢
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 1.7¢
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
Yes$87 @ 78.0¢
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Perdió
No$25 @ 49.8¢
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Ganó
Yes$298 @ 49.7¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Ganó
Yes$140 @ 69.8¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Ganó
No$105 @ 86.0¢
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonGanó
Supernova$15 @ 54.3¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Perdió
No$10 @ 60.0¢
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Perdió
No$289 @ 36.4¢
Will Kiambo White be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$150	18.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$61	14.7¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$51	17.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$6	16.0¢

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
No$150 @ 18.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tecnología
Yes$61 @ 14.7¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$51 @ 17.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Política
Yes$6 @ 16.0¢