← Dinero inteligente
0xee67…fd6d
ExpertoVentaja
+16.2pp
ROI
+45%
Tasa de acierto
65% @ 49.1¢
Brier
0.109
Resueltas
323
Tamaño med.
$80
Especialización por esfera
| Esfera | Tasa acierto | ROI | Apuestas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 67% (10/15) | +37% | 15 |
| Geopolítica | 83% (5/6) | +17% | 6 |
| Política | 75% (3/4) | +30% | 4 |
| Cripto | 100% (1/1) | +167% | 1 |
- Other15 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 67% (10/15)
- ROI
- +37%
- Geopolítica6 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +17%
- Política4 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +30%
- Cripto1 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +167%
Historial
73% acierto · 19/26- Yes$69 @ 6.2¢
- No$202 @ 81.0¢
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?GanóNo$11 @ 89.0¢
- No$4.6k @ 76.4¢
- No$180 @ 70.9¢
- No$2.5k @ 37.4¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 78.9¢
- No$1.1k @ 87.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
- No$5.7k @ 76.9¢
- No$525 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 9.8¢
- No$2.4k @ 77.9¢
- Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PerdióYes$4 @ 0.1¢
- No$43 @ 87.9¢
- No$296 @ 85.0¢
- No$858 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
- No$566 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$99 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 44.0¢
- No$771 @ 85.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Operaciones recientes
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Posiciones actuales
| Mercado | Esfera | Resultado | Tamaño | Entrada |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Other | No | $2.0k | 85.0¢ |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | Geopolítica | No | $2.0k | 97.9¢ |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Cripto | No | $1.7k | 80.3¢ |
| Netanyahu out by July 31? | Política | No | $1.6k | 94.9¢ |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | Política | No | $1.5k | 92.3¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Política | No | $1.2k | 48.9¢ |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Política | Yes | $726 | 98.7¢ |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Cripto | No | $350 | 64.2¢ |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | Política | No | $344 | 95.5¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Política | No | $281 | 32.1¢ |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | Política | Yes | $186 | 92.5¢ |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? | Política | Yes | $1 | 1.9¢ |
- No$2.0k @ 85.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 97.9¢
- No$1.7k @ 80.3¢
- Netanyahu out by July 31?PolíticaNo$1.6k @ 94.9¢
- No$1.5k @ 92.3¢
- No$1.2k @ 48.9¢
- Yes$726 @ 98.7¢
- No$350 @ 64.2¢
- No$344 @ 95.5¢
- No$281 @ 32.1¢
- Yes$186 @ 92.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.9¢