← Dinero inteligente
0xee67…fd6d
ExpertoVentaja
+15.6pp
ROI
+48%
Tasa de acierto
61% @ 45.7¢
Brier
0.117
Resueltas
289
Tamaño med.
$78
Tendencia ROI
Especialización por esfera
| Esfera | Tasa acierto | ROI | Apuestas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 69% (11/16) | +38% | 16 |
| Geopolítica | 83% (5/6) | +17% | 6 |
| Política | 80% (4/5) | +32% | 5 |
| Cripto | 100% (1/1) | +167% | 1 |
- Other16 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 69% (11/16)
- ROI
- +38%
- Geopolítica6 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +17%
- Política5 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +32%
- Cripto1 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +167%
Historial
75% acierto · 21/28- Yes$69 @ 6.2¢
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?GanóNo$11 @ 89.0¢
- No$165 @ 47.4¢
- No$180 @ 70.9¢
- No$2.5k @ 37.4¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 78.9¢
- No$1.1k @ 87.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
- No$5.7k @ 76.9¢
- No$525 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 9.8¢
- No$2.4k @ 77.9¢
- Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PerdióYes$4 @ 0.1¢
- No$43 @ 87.9¢
- No$296 @ 85.0¢
- No$858 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
- No$566 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$99 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 44.0¢
- No$771 @ 85.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- No$403 @ 53.8¢
- No$202 @ 81.0¢
- No$4.6k @ 76.4¢
Operaciones recientes
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Posiciones actuales
| Mercado | Esfera | Resultado | Tamaño | Entrada |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Política | No | $3.0k | 89.8¢ |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Other | No | $2.6k | 85.5¢ |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | — | No | $843 | 79.4¢ |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Cripto | No | $181 | 85.0¢ |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Cripto | No | $175 | 92.5¢ |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? | — | No | $11 | 32.4¢ |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Cripto | No | $1 | 50.5¢ |
- No$3.0k @ 89.8¢
- No$2.6k @ 85.5¢
- No$843 @ 79.4¢
- No$181 @ 85.0¢
- No$175 @ 92.5¢
- No$11 @ 32.4¢
- No$1 @ 50.5¢