0xea85…12dd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xea85ab56e7e65b065076e7a26e9792f3572812dd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+9.8pp

ROI

+6%

Tasa de acierto

52% @ 42.5¢

Brier

0.150

Resueltas

176

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	41% (7/17)	-16%	17
Cripto	50% (3/6)	+31%	6
Other	25% (1/4)	-46%	4
Tecnología	100% (2/2)	+105%	2
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Política17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (7/17)
ROI
-16%
Cripto6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
+31%
Other4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-46%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+105%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

43% acierto · 13/30

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	59.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$28	18.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$6	21.8¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$1	86.9¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$40	57.2¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$23	17.7¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$1	83.0¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$11	42.2¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$5	1.1¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$4	39.0¢	Perdió
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$2	83.0¢	Ganó
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$5	7.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$6	51.7¢	Perdió
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$1	56.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	$2	33.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	81.2¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$10	34.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	35.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	28.9¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$44	58.9¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$1	39.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$1	5.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$14	78.2¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	51.6¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	36.1¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	$4	78.6¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$3	7.0¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	$1	62.0¢	Ganó

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 18.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 21.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$1 @ 86.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$40 @ 57.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 17.7¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Perdió
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 42.2¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Ganó
No$2 @ 83.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 7.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$6 @ 51.7¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 33.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 81.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 34.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 35.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 28.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$44 @ 58.9¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Ganó
No$1 @ 39.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Perdió
No$1 @ 5.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 78.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 51.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 36.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Ganó
No$4 @ 78.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Ganó
No$1 @ 62.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$63	79.5¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Geopolítica	Yes	$52	80.1¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	No	$16	91.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$14	88.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$10	78.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	Yes	$9	58.5¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$7	91.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$7	8.6¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	No	$5	29.3¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	Yes	$5	16.4¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?	—	Yes	$3	66.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Política	Yes	$3	53.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$2	32.1¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?	—	No	$2	90.4¢
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?	Política	Yes	$2	51.9¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?	Política	Yes	$2	44.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	Yes	$2	15.3¢
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$2	73.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Política	Yes	$1	42.2¢
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?	Política	Yes	$1	97.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	54.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Política	No	$1	83.0¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Geopolítica	No	$1	18.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Geopolítica	No	$1	81.0¢
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Política	No	$1	59.0¢
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	61.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	Yes	$1	47.0¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Política	Yes	$1	36.0¢
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Política	Yes	$1	34.0¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	31.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$63 @ 79.5¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Geopolítica
Yes$52 @ 80.1¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
No$16 @ 91.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$14 @ 88.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$10 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
Yes$9 @ 58.5¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$7 @ 91.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$7 @ 8.6¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
No$5 @ 29.3¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
Yes$5 @ 16.4¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 66.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Política
Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Política
Yes$2 @ 32.1¢
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?—
No$2 @ 90.4¢
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?Política
Yes$2 @ 51.9¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Política
Yes$2 @ 44.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
Yes$2 @ 15.3¢
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$2 @ 73.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Política
Yes$1 @ 42.2¢
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?Política
Yes$1 @ 97.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Política
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 18.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Política
No$1 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 61.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
Yes$1 @ 47.0¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Política
Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Política
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 31.0¢