0xe1e5…35a4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe1e5255c0a89dc14e8bbfd62f26666d86e7b35a4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+7.2pp

ROI

+17%

Tasa de acierto

50% @ 42.3¢

Brier

0.158

Resueltas

315

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	52% (16/31)	+26%	31
Política	52% (11/21)	-14%	21
Cripto	43% (3/7)	+34%	7
Geopolítica	67% (2/3)	-13%	3
Deportes	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other31 apuestas
Tasa acierto
52% (16/31)
ROI
+26%
Política21 apuestas
Tasa acierto
52% (11/21)
ROI
-14%
Cripto7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (3/7)
ROI
+34%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
-13%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

51% acierto · 32/63

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	$1	73.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	20.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$1	60.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$2	74.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$16	21.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$5	20.4¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$3	76.4¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$2	83.1¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$1	81.0¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$22	0.8¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$9	17.2¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$22	43.8¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	19.7¢	Perdió
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	$6	71.2¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$3	47.4¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$8	0.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$2	5.7¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$4	33.8¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$2	77.0¢	Ganó
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$11	73.6¢	Ganó
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$2	82.9¢	Ganó
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	$2	71.1¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$4	89.5¢	Ganó
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$5	34.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1	23.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$3	71.3¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$8	18.7¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$1	25.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	No	$1	65.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$11	29.0¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$1	55.0¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$19	47.4¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	$2	28.1¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	82.0¢	Ganó
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$1	10.5¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$10	33.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	40.8¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	28.9¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$23	57.4¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$7	14.8¢	Perdió
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$1	62.0¢	Ganó
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	$2	27.5¢	Perdió
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	$4	22.0¢	Perdió
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$11	78.5¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	44.2¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Ganó

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 73.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 20.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$1 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$2 @ 74.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 21.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 20.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$3 @ 76.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Ganó
No$2 @ 83.1¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$1 @ 81.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 0.8¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 17.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$22 @ 43.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 19.7¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$6 @ 71.2¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Ganó
No$3 @ 47.4¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 0.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 5.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 33.8¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 77.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 73.6¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Ganó
No$2 @ 82.9¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Perdió
No$2 @ 71.1¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Ganó
No$4 @ 89.5¢
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 34.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 71.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$8 @ 18.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 25.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 29.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Perdió
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$19 @ 47.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 28.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 82.0¢
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 33.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 40.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 28.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$23 @ 57.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 14.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$1 @ 62.0¢
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 27.5¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Perdió
No$4 @ 22.0¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 78.5¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 44.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$17	97.1¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Geopolítica	Yes	$11	92.8¢
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$7	91.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$6	83.7¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$4	87.6¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	No	$2	93.6¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Política	No	$2	97.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	Yes	$2	56.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	No	$2	20.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Política	No	$1	98.1¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$1	91.5¢
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?	Política	Yes	$1	75.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Política	No	$1	98.0¢
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Política	No	$1	82.0¢
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$1	94.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$1	97.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	91.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$1	88.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$1	3.8¢

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$17 @ 97.1¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Geopolítica
Yes$11 @ 92.8¢
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Política
Yes$7 @ 91.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$6 @ 83.7¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Política
Yes$4 @ 87.6¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
No$2 @ 93.6¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Política
No$2 @ 97.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
Yes$2 @ 56.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
No$2 @ 20.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Política
No$1 @ 98.1¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 91.5¢
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Política
Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Política
No$1 @ 98.0¢
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Política
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 97.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 91.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$1 @ 3.8¢