0xe1e2…9629

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe1e24a2ae12c8af2f41ac91fea3928423e039629
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+4.5pp

ROI

+14%

Tasa de acierto

43% @ 38.3¢

Brier

0.149

Resueltas

584

Tamaño med.

$51

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	39% (86/223)	+20%	223
Política	42% (8/19)	-3%	19
Deportes	44% (7/16)	+7%	16
Geopolítica	33% (1/3)	-21%	3

Other223 apuestas
Tasa acierto
39% (86/223)
ROI
+20%
Política19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (8/19)
ROI
-3%
Deportes16 apuestas
Tasa acierto
44% (7/16)
ROI
+7%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-21%

Historial

39% acierto · 102/261

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$50	9.6¢	Perdió
Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$65	10.7¢	Perdió
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$75	43.2¢	Perdió
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?	No	$100	27.2¢	Perdió
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?	No	$661	5.4¢	Perdió
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?	Yes	$10	35.0¢	Perdió
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$85	54.0¢	Ganó
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$100	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$18	0.8¢	Perdió
US inflation >0.1% from April to May 2024?	Yes	$25	50.6¢	Perdió
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?	No	$54	20.9¢	Perdió
Postecoglou out as Tottenham Manager?	Yes	$10	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	Yes	$5	6.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?	Putin	$4	2.5¢	Perdió
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?	No	$15	49.9¢	Perdió
Will Wolverhampton be relegated?	No	$38	75.0¢	Ganó
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$51	51.0¢	Ganó
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$308	77.4¢	Ganó
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$27	62.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	Yes	$35	51.0¢	Perdió
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$20	50.2¢	Perdió
Will Bernardo Silva score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$48	48.0¢	Ganó
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?	No	$40	39.0¢	Perdió
Will the match be a draw?	Yes	$20	66.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$25	44.0¢	Perdió
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$25	35.2¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	$50	74.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	Yes	$10	9.0¢	Perdió
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$1	0.2¢	Perdió
Iran military response by Monday?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Perdió
Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?	No	$15	75.0¢	Ganó
Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?	Yes	$145	20.8¢	Perdió
Will Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?	No	$25	58.0¢	Ganó
Fed rate cut by June 12?	No	$25	12.9¢	Ganó
Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?	No	$280	89.3¢	Ganó
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	No	$5	68.0¢	Perdió
$GME halted on Friday?	No	$20	41.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?	No	$50	44.0¢	Ganó
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise	Dembele	$10	44.0¢	Ganó
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	$864	86.0¢	Ganó
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$150	64.2¢	Perdió
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?	No	$7	3.6¢	Perdió
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?	Yes	$24	9.4¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$62	26.7¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	67.8¢	Ganó
Rishi Sunak out by May 31?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Perdió
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$10	31.0¢	Perdió
Will Aston Villa win the 2024-25 FA Cup?	Yes	$44	14.3¢	Perdió
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?	Yes	$5	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Jake Paul fight KSI next?	Yes	$19	3.2¢	Perdió

Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 9.6¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Perdió
Yes$65 @ 10.7¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Perdió
Yes$75 @ 43.2¢
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Perdió
No$100 @ 27.2¢
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?Perdió
No$661 @ 5.4¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 35.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$85 @ 54.0¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Ganó
No$100 @ 86.0¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 0.8¢
US inflation >0.1% from April to May 2024?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 50.6¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Perdió
No$54 @ 20.9¢
Postecoglou out as Tottenham Manager?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 6.5¢
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?Perdió
Putin$4 @ 2.5¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Perdió
No$15 @ 49.9¢
Will Wolverhampton be relegated?Ganó
No$38 @ 75.0¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ganó
Ciryl Gane$51 @ 51.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$308 @ 77.4¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Ganó
No$27 @ 62.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Perdió
Yes$35 @ 51.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 50.2¢
Will Bernardo Silva score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$48 @ 48.0¢
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Perdió
No$40 @ 39.0¢
Will the match be a draw?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 66.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Perdió
No$25 @ 44.0¢
Will Charles De Ketelaere score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$25 @ 35.2¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Perdió
No$50 @ 74.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Iran military response by Monday?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election? Ganó
No$15 @ 75.0¢
Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election? Perdió
Yes$145 @ 20.8¢
Will Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?Ganó
No$25 @ 58.0¢
Fed rate cut by June 12?Ganó
No$25 @ 12.9¢
Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?Ganó
No$280 @ 89.3¢
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Perdió
No$5 @ 68.0¢
$GME halted on Friday?Ganó
No$20 @ 41.0¢
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Ganó
No$50 @ 44.0¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. OliseGanó
Dembele$10 @ 44.0¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Ganó
No$864 @ 86.0¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Perdió
Yes$150 @ 64.2¢
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?Perdió
No$7 @ 3.6¢
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 9.4¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$62 @ 26.7¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.1k @ 67.8¢
Rishi Sunak out by May 31?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 31.0¢
Will Aston Villa win the 2024-25 FA Cup?Perdió
Yes$44 @ 14.3¢
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will Jake Paul fight KSI next?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 3.2¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	Política	No	$6.7k	93.5¢
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Cultura	No	$5.5k	83.3¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.1k	93.5¢
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	Política	No	$778	96.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Política	No	$575	95.8¢
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	Cultura	No	$551	90.8¢
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$500	94.4¢
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	Política	No	$482	92.8¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Deportes	No	$450	90.0¢
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Deportes	No	$392	98.0¢
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	Deportes	No	$300	93.0¢
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Deportes	No	$194	90.0¢
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Cultura	No	$163	83.0¢
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Cultura	No	$153	90.5¢
Will Aston Villa be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?	Deportes	No	$139	92.2¢
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?	Política	Yes	$105	36.0¢
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Deportes	No	$99	91.2¢
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Deportes	No	$77	76.9¢
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	Cultura	No	$64	91.0¢
Will Rayan Cherki (Man City) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Deportes	No	$60	74.6¢
Will Anthony Gordon (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Deportes	No	$44	73.8¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$41	82.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Política	No	$35	59.0¢
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?	Deportes	Yes	$27	28.0¢
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$20	94.0¢
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?	Cultura	Yes	$15	2.7¢
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	Deportes	Yes	$10	49.0¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$9	18.0¢
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?	Cultura	No	$8	94.2¢
Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Deportes	Yes	$4	20.0¢

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Política
No$6.7k @ 93.5¢
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Cultura
No$5.5k @ 83.3¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.1k @ 93.5¢
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Política
No$778 @ 96.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Política
No$575 @ 95.8¢
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Cultura
No$551 @ 90.8¢
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Política
No$500 @ 94.4¢
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Política
No$482 @ 92.8¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Deportes
No$450 @ 90.0¢
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Deportes
No$392 @ 98.0¢
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?Deportes
No$300 @ 93.0¢
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Deportes
No$194 @ 90.0¢
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Cultura
No$163 @ 83.0¢
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Cultura
No$153 @ 90.5¢
Will Aston Villa be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?Deportes
No$139 @ 92.2¢
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Política
Yes$105 @ 36.0¢
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?Deportes
No$99 @ 91.2¢
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Deportes
No$77 @ 76.9¢
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Cultura
No$64 @ 91.0¢
Will Rayan Cherki (Man City) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Deportes
No$60 @ 74.6¢
Will Anthony Gordon (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season?Deportes
No$44 @ 73.8¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Geopolítica
No$41 @ 82.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Política
No$35 @ 59.0¢
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?Deportes
Yes$27 @ 28.0¢
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
No$20 @ 94.0¢
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?Cultura
Yes$15 @ 2.7¢
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?Deportes
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?Cultura
No$8 @ 94.2¢
Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Deportes
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢