0xd872…dfae

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd8726283468c86fdb22755db72774a6c58fedfae
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+14.9pp

ROI

+18%

Tasa de acierto

63% @ 48.5¢

Brier

0.209

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

$89

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Tecnología	58% (19/33)	-25%	33
Other	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Tecnología33 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (19/33)
ROI
-25%
Other1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

56% acierto · 19/34

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	$31	66.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$3.5k	71.5¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$3.4k	87.7¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$4.0k	82.1¢	Perdió
Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$304	80.7¢	Ganó
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	$950	91.5¢	Ganó
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	$19	95.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	$251	96.8¢	Ganó
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$249	38.9¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	$545	44.4¢	Ganó
Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?	No	$238	60.8¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?	Yes	$514	64.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	$460	86.0¢	Ganó
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$307	25.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	$329	39.7¢	Ganó
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	$43	86.0¢	Ganó
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$59	6.0¢	Perdió
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$73	15.5¢	Perdió
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$362	72.3¢	Perdió
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	No	$501	29.7¢	Perdió
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$14	12.0¢	Perdió
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	$84	81.3¢	Ganó
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$623	86.0¢	Ganó
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?	No	$218	30.4¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	$43	40.8¢	Ganó
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$85	88.8¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	79.8¢	Ganó
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	$67	35.3¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$200	36.9¢	Ganó
Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$81	63.0¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$478	44.5¢	Ganó
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	$610	76.7¢	Ganó
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$291	38.3¢	Ganó
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	No	$121	23.8¢	Perdió

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 66.0¢
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
Yes$3.5k @ 71.5¢
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Ganó
Yes$3.4k @ 87.7¢
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
Yes$4.0k @ 82.1¢
Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$304 @ 80.7¢
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$950 @ 91.5¢
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?Ganó
No$19 @ 95.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?Ganó
No$251 @ 96.8¢
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
Yes$249 @ 38.9¢
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Ganó
No$545 @ 44.4¢
Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?Perdió
No$238 @ 60.8¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Ganó
Yes$514 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ganó
Yes$460 @ 86.0¢
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
Yes$307 @ 25.7¢
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ganó
Yes$329 @ 39.7¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$43 @ 86.0¢
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
Yes$59 @ 6.0¢
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Perdió
Yes$73 @ 15.5¢
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
Yes$362 @ 72.3¢
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?Perdió
No$501 @ 29.7¢
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 12.0¢
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$84 @ 81.3¢
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$623 @ 86.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026?Perdió
No$218 @ 30.4¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Ganó
No$43 @ 40.8¢
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$85 @ 88.8¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 79.8¢
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Perdió
No$67 @ 35.3¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Ganó
Yes$200 @ 36.9¢
Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
Yes$81 @ 63.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Ganó
Yes$478 @ 44.5¢
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$610 @ 76.7¢
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ganó
Yes$291 @ 38.3¢
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Perdió
No$121 @ 23.8¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Tecnología	Yes	$3.5k	74.9¢
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$3.4k	77.5¢
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$1.7k	61.8¢
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Tecnología	Yes	$815	36.7¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$651	68.1¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Tecnología	Yes	$227	45.0¢
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$213	64.3¢
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$187	68.0¢
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$158	65.6¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Tecnología	Yes	$58	19.0¢
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$29	65.0¢

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tecnología
Yes$3.5k @ 74.9¢
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$3.4k @ 77.5¢
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Tecnología
No$1.7k @ 61.8¢
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tecnología
Yes$815 @ 36.7¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Geopolítica
No$651 @ 68.1¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tecnología
Yes$227 @ 45.0¢
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$213 @ 64.3¢
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
Yes$187 @ 68.0¢
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$158 @ 65.6¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tecnología
Yes$58 @ 19.0¢
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$29 @ 65.0¢