0xd75a…fdec

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd75af87133fc14de68cd83a9e8c5d999fa49fdec
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+15.5pp

ROI

+23%

Tasa de acierto

53% @ 37.7¢

Brier

0.229

Resueltas

443

Tamaño med.

$52

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	42% (8/19)	+41%	19
Política	35% (6/17)	+6%	17
Tecnología	25% (1/4)	-39%	4
Cripto	50% (1/2)	+353%	2
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+113%	1

Other19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (8/19)
ROI
+41%
Política17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (6/17)
ROI
+6%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-39%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+353%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+113%

Historial

40% acierto · 17/43

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.8k	37.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$340	25.4¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$57	12.3¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$321	58.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$180	18.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$186	21.4¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	56.0¢	Perdió
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$411	55.6¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$7	47.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$162	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$17	26.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$101	31.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	37.8¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$52	23.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	$11	2.7¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$181	29.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$368	20.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$427	29.9¢	Perdió
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$441	16.9¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$1.4k	42.1¢	Ganó
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$254	87.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$3.4k	66.7¢	Ganó
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$1.5k	68.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$57	38.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$2.2k	33.3¢	Ganó
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$66	6.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$976	22.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$30	6.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$111	10.0¢	Ganó
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$126	56.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$12	2.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	30.1¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	$80	37.3¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$1.5k	65.7¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	$81	11.0¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$251	57.3¢	Ganó
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	$44	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$250	23.0¢	Perdió
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	$200	30.2¢	Perdió
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	$172	24.7¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	$57	50.7¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	$10	38.0¢	Perdió

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.8k @ 37.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$340 @ 25.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$57 @ 12.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$321 @ 58.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$186 @ 21.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 56.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Perdió
No$411 @ 55.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$7 @ 47.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$162 @ 87.0¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
No$17 @ 26.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$101 @ 31.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 37.8¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Perdió
No$52 @ 23.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 2.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Perdió
Yes$181 @ 29.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$368 @ 20.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$427 @ 29.9¢
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Perdió
Yes$441 @ 16.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 42.1¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Ganó
No$254 @ 87.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$3.4k @ 66.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 68.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Ganó
No$57 @ 38.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$2.2k @ 33.3¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$66 @ 6.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$976 @ 22.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 6.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Ganó
No$111 @ 10.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$126 @ 56.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 2.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 30.1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Perdió
Yes$80 @ 37.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Ganó
Yes$1.5k @ 65.7¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Perdió
No$81 @ 11.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Ganó
Yes$251 @ 57.3¢
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Ganó
No$44 @ 53.0¢
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Perdió
No$250 @ 23.0¢
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 30.2¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Perdió
No$172 @ 24.7¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Perdió
Yes$57 @ 50.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 38.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$3.8k	93.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$2.3k	68.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	No	$815	95.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	No	$802	95.1¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$534	50.5¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	Yes	$382	56.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Política	No	$351	96.1¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$122	22.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$116	18.2¢
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Política	No	$90	64.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$87	80.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Política	No	$83	67.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Política	Yes	$77	39.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	Yes	$67	30.0¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$63	27.3¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Política	Yes	$63	62.8¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$46	39.2¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	Yes	$41	17.4¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$40	35.7¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	Yes	$17	13.0¢
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	—	Yes	$10	40.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$1	14.1¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$3.8k @ 93.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$2.3k @ 68.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
No$815 @ 95.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
No$802 @ 95.1¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$534 @ 50.5¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
Yes$382 @ 56.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Política
No$351 @ 96.1¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Política
Yes$122 @ 22.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Política
Yes$116 @ 18.2¢
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Política
No$90 @ 64.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Política
Yes$87 @ 80.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Política
No$83 @ 67.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Política
Yes$77 @ 39.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
Yes$67 @ 30.0¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Política
Yes$63 @ 27.3¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Política
Yes$63 @ 62.8¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$46 @ 39.2¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
Yes$41 @ 17.4¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Política
Yes$40 @ 35.7¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
Yes$17 @ 13.0¢
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?—
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$1 @ 14.1¢