0xd75a…fdec

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd75af87133fc14de68cd83a9e8c5d999fa49fdec
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+19.3pp

ROI

+29%

Tasa de acierto

58% @ 39.1¢

Brier

0.248

Resueltas

420

Tamaño med.

$53

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (10/21)	+43%	21
Política	35% (6/17)	+6%	17
Tecnología	25% (1/4)	-39%	4
Cripto	50% (1/2)	+353%	2
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+113%	1

Other21 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (10/21)
ROI
+43%
Política17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (6/17)
ROI
+6%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-39%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+353%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+113%

Historial

42% acierto · 19/45

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.8k	37.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$340	25.4¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$57	12.3¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$321	58.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$180	18.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$186	21.4¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	56.0¢	Perdió
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$411	55.6¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$7	47.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$162	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$17	26.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$101	31.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	37.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	$11	2.7¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$181	29.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$368	20.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$427	29.9¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$1.4k	42.1¢	Ganó
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$254	87.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$3.4k	66.7¢	Ganó
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$1.5k	68.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$2.2k	33.3¢	Ganó
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$66	6.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$976	22.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$30	6.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$111	10.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$12	2.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	30.1¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	$80	37.3¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$1.5k	65.7¢	Ganó
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$251	57.3¢	Ganó
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	$200	30.2¢	Perdió
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	$172	24.7¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	$10	38.0¢	Perdió
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$441	16.9¢	Perdió
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$250	23.0¢	Perdió
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	No	$29	26.0¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	Yes	$49	30.9¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$52	23.8¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$57	38.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	$81	11.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	$44	53.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	$57	50.7¢	Perdió
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$126	56.0¢	Ganó

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.8k @ 37.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$340 @ 25.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$57 @ 12.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$321 @ 58.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$186 @ 21.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 56.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Perdió
No$411 @ 55.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$7 @ 47.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$162 @ 87.0¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
No$17 @ 26.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$101 @ 31.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 37.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 2.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Perdió
Yes$181 @ 29.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$368 @ 20.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$427 @ 29.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 42.1¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Ganó
No$254 @ 87.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$3.4k @ 66.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 68.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$2.2k @ 33.3¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$66 @ 6.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$976 @ 22.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 6.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Ganó
No$111 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 2.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 30.1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Perdió
Yes$80 @ 37.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Ganó
Yes$1.5k @ 65.7¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Ganó
Yes$251 @ 57.3¢
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 30.2¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Perdió
No$172 @ 24.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 38.0¢
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Perdió
Yes$441 @ 16.9¢
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Perdió
No$250 @ 23.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Ganó
No$29 @ 26.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Ganó
Yes$49 @ 30.9¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Perdió
No$52 @ 23.8¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Ganó
No$57 @ 38.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Perdió
No$81 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Ganó
No$44 @ 53.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Perdió
Yes$57 @ 50.7¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$126 @ 56.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$4.2k	74.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$2.1k	41.6¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	—	Yes	$776	58.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	—	Yes	$679	60.2¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$534	50.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	—	Yes	$426	34.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$271	30.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	—	Yes	$236	41.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$225	63.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	—	No	$155	91.9¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	—	No	$115	24.2¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	—	Yes	$86	32.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Política	No	$83	67.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	Yes	$67	30.0¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	Yes	$41	17.4¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	—	Yes	$23	28.0¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?	—	Yes	$14	3.5¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	—	Yes	$11	18.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$4.2k @ 74.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$2.1k @ 41.6¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?—
Yes$776 @ 58.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?—
Yes$679 @ 60.2¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$534 @ 50.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?—
Yes$426 @ 34.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$271 @ 30.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?—
Yes$236 @ 41.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?—
Yes$225 @ 63.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?—
No$155 @ 91.9¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?—
No$115 @ 24.2¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?—
Yes$86 @ 32.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Política
No$83 @ 67.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
Yes$67 @ 30.0¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
Yes$41 @ 17.4¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?—
Yes$23 @ 28.0¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?—
Yes$14 @ 3.5¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?—
Yes$11 @ 18.0¢