0xd46b…5dab

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd46be610a32e5c6ee094977e3caf9ab89c525dab
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+12.5pp

ROI

+17%

Tasa de acierto

61% @ 48.3¢

Brier

0.195

Resueltas

5293

Tamaño med.

$355

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (314/651)	+25%	651
Política	26% (12/46)	-74%	46
Deportes	20% (3/15)	+32%	15
Geopolítica	27% (3/11)	-29%	11

Other651 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (314/651)
ROI
+25%
Política46 apuestas
Tasa acierto
26% (12/46)
ROI
-74%
Deportes15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
20% (3/15)
ROI
+32%
Geopolítica11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
27% (3/11)
ROI
-29%

Historial

46% acierto · 332/723

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?	No	$88	83.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?	Yes	$422	36.7¢	Perdió
Warriors vs. Hornets	Hornets	$20	16.0¢	Perdió
Will SMU make the College Football Playoff?	Yes	$80	63.4¢	Ganó
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	Yes	$539	60.1¢	Ganó
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?	Yes	$164	54.3¢	Ganó
Israel military action against Iran in April?	Yes	$531	13.1¢	Perdió
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?	Yes	$378	85.1¢	Ganó
Will Fear & Greed Index report "Extreme Fear" on March 31?	No	$10	73.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	26.0¢	Perdió
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	$31	31.0¢	Perdió
US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?	Yes	$470	76.0¢	Ganó
Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?	Yes	$2.0k	27.2¢	Perdió
Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?	Yes	$23	63.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?	Yes	$193	5.4¢	Perdió
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	No	$6.3k	55.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	Yes	$47.7k	62.1¢	Perdió
Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	$20	2.5¢	Perdió
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?	Yes	$16.5k	65.7¢	Ganó
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$13	5.2¢	Perdió
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?	Yes	$15.7k	29.4¢	Perdió
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by next Friday?	No	$1.1k	79.0¢	Ganó
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	Yes	$46	25.8¢	Perdió
Hawks vs. Grizzlies	Hawks	$20	25.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$25.5k	35.8¢	Perdió
Erdoğan out in 2025?	Yes	$73	9.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$317	26.0¢	Perdió
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?	Yes	$1.8k	82.6¢	Ganó
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?	Yes	$4.1k	46.0¢	Ganó
NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)	Pacers	$108	18.0¢	Ganó
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?	No	$380	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?	Yes	$50	42.0¢	Perdió
Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?	No	$185	77.4¢	Ganó
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?	Yes	$26	1.3¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$131	39.3¢	Ganó
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?	Yes	$708	55.7¢	Ganó
Will Notre Dame make the CFP National Championship Game?	No	$160	77.6¢	Perdió
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?	No	$60	83.0¢	Ganó
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$850	55.9¢	Ganó
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$75	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$305	17.8¢	Perdió
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?	No	$808	42.0¢	Perdió
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?	Yes	$31	2.7¢	Perdió
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?	Yes	$1.4k	21.9¢	Ganó
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$700	5.5¢	Perdió
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?	No	$68	79.7¢	Ganó
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?	Yes	$142	7.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	72.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$33.1k	28.5¢	Perdió
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?	Yes	$100	11.9¢	Perdió

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?Ganó
No$88 @ 83.7¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?Perdió
Yes$422 @ 36.7¢
Warriors vs. HornetsPerdió
Hornets$20 @ 16.0¢
Will SMU make the College Football Playoff?Ganó
Yes$80 @ 63.4¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Ganó
Yes$539 @ 60.1¢
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?Ganó
Yes$164 @ 54.3¢
Israel military action against Iran in April?Perdió
Yes$531 @ 13.1¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Ganó
Yes$378 @ 85.1¢
Will Fear & Greed Index report "Extreme Fear" on March 31?Perdió
No$10 @ 73.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.8k @ 26.0¢
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?Ganó
Yes$470 @ 76.0¢
Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?Perdió
Yes$2.0k @ 27.2¢
Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 63.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Perdió
Yes$193 @ 5.4¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Ganó
No$6.3k @ 55.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Perdió
Yes$47.7k @ 62.1¢
Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 2.5¢
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Ganó
Yes$16.5k @ 65.7¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 5.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?Perdió
Yes$15.7k @ 29.4¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by next Friday?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 79.0¢
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 25.8¢
Hawks vs. GrizzliesGanó
Hawks$20 @ 25.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Perdió
Yes$25.5k @ 35.8¢
Erdoğan out in 2025?Perdió
Yes$73 @ 9.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Perdió
Yes$317 @ 26.0¢
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?Ganó
Yes$1.8k @ 82.6¢
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Ganó
Yes$4.1k @ 46.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)Ganó
Pacers$108 @ 18.0¢
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Ganó
No$380 @ 76.0¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 42.0¢
Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Ganó
No$185 @ 77.4¢
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 1.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ganó
Yes$131 @ 39.3¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Ganó
Yes$708 @ 55.7¢
Will Notre Dame make the CFP National Championship Game?Perdió
No$160 @ 77.6¢
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?Ganó
No$60 @ 83.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Ganó
No$850 @ 55.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$75 @ 0.8¢
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$305 @ 17.8¢
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?Perdió
No$808 @ 42.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 2.7¢
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 21.9¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Perdió
Yes$700 @ 5.5¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?Ganó
No$68 @ 79.7¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?Perdió
Yes$142 @ 7.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$2.0k @ 72.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$33.1k @ 28.5¢
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 11.9¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$17.7k	81.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$8.7k	73.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$7.0k	91.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Política	No	$3.3k	88.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$585	29.6¢
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$462	8.7¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?	Política	No	$290	12.6¢
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$150	14.0¢
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Deportes	Yes	$50	20.0¢
Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Deportes	Yes	$35	8.0¢
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$30	11.1¢
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$29	1.8¢
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Deportes	No	$25	67.0¢
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Deportes	Yes	$25	65.0¢
Will the Orlando Magic make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Deportes	No	$25	45.0¢
Will Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	Deportes	No	$23	78.0¢
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$0	0.0¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolítica
Yes$17.7k @ 81.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Geopolítica
Yes$8.7k @ 73.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Geopolítica
Yes$7.0k @ 91.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Política
No$3.3k @ 88.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$585 @ 29.6¢
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Deportes
Yes$462 @ 8.7¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?Política
No$290 @ 12.6¢
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Deportes
Yes$150 @ 14.0¢
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Deportes
Yes$50 @ 20.0¢
Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Deportes
Yes$35 @ 8.0¢
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Deportes
Yes$30 @ 11.1¢
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Deportes
Yes$29 @ 1.8¢
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Deportes
No$25 @ 67.0¢
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Deportes
Yes$25 @ 65.0¢
Will the Orlando Magic make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Deportes
No$25 @ 45.0¢
Will Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Deportes
No$23 @ 78.0¢
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Deportes
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Deportes
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢