0xcfdc…5a2e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcfdceaac4912b9a56ce2d837269270c0bff85a2e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+2.9pp

ROI

+6%

Tasa de acierto

54% @ 51.2¢

Brier

0.160

Resueltas

1537

Tamaño med.

$33

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	54% (207/385)	+6%	385
Deportes	43% (64/149)	-11%	149
Política	58% (39/67)	+7%	67
Geopolítica	47% (9/19)	+2%	19
Cripto	40% (4/10)	+41%	10
Economía	75% (3/4)	+56%	4

Other385 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (207/385)
ROI
+6%
Deportes149 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (64/149)
ROI
-11%
Política67 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (39/67)
ROI
+7%
Geopolítica19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (9/19)
ROI
+2%
Cripto10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (4/10)
ROI
+41%
Economía4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+56%

Historial

51% acierto · 326/634

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	No	$3	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$158	79.0¢	Ganó
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Perdió
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$14	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	$16	82.0¢	Ganó
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	$11	1.3¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$2	63.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$120	21.6¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$6	58.0¢	Perdió
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	Yes	$54	54.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$10	51.0¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	No	$331	55.1¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$8	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$10	88.9¢	Ganó
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$2	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Perdió
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$6	65.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	No	$15	77.0¢	Ganó
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$3	63.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$80	80.0¢	Perdió
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?	Yes	$28	25.0¢	Perdió
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$10	4.0¢	Perdió
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	$2	22.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?	No	$231	75.9¢	Perdió
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$67	67.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Perdió
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$1	34.0¢	Ganó
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$78	78.4¢	Ganó
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	No	$4	43.2¢	Perdió
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Perdió
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	No	$45	45.0¢	Perdió
Ethereum ETF approved in 2024?	No	$11	73.0¢	Perdió
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$17	86.0¢	Ganó
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$31	6.8¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$339	18.7¢	Perdió
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$1	10.9¢	Perdió
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$9	86.0¢	Ganó
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?	No	$7	86.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$180	58.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$584	81.2¢	Ganó
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$70	49.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.2k	76.8¢	Ganó
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$19	3.1¢	Perdió
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Perdió
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Ganó
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$322	71.7¢	Ganó
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$2	29.0¢	Perdió
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$26	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Ganó

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Perdió
No$3 @ 13.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Ganó
Yes$158 @ 79.0¢
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 17.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Ganó
No$16 @ 82.0¢
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?Perdió
No$11 @ 1.3¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Perdió
No$2 @ 63.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Perdió
Yes$120 @ 21.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Perdió
No$6 @ 58.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Ganó
Yes$54 @ 54.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Perdió
No$10 @ 51.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Ganó
No$331 @ 55.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Ganó
No$8 @ 82.0¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 88.9¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 67.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 65.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Ganó
No$15 @ 77.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 63.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Perdió
No$80 @ 80.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 25.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 4.0¢
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Perdió
No$231 @ 75.9¢
No airdrop in 2025?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Ganó
No$67 @ 67.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Ganó
No$1 @ 34.0¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$78 @ 78.4¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Perdió
No$4 @ 43.2¢
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$45 @ 45.0¢
Ethereum ETF approved in 2024?Perdió
No$11 @ 73.0¢
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$17 @ 86.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 6.8¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$339 @ 18.7¢
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 10.9¢
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ganó
No$9 @ 86.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Ganó
No$7 @ 86.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$180 @ 58.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$584 @ 81.2¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Ganó
No$70 @ 49.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 76.8¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 3.1¢
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$322 @ 71.7¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 29.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Ganó
No$26 @ 86.0¢
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1.2k	39.0¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$575	82.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$500	41.6¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Cripto	Yes	$338	68.3¢
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$311	62.0¢
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$266	80.1¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Política	No	$177	87.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$172	82.0¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Cripto	Yes	$128	36.7¢
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$121	93.4¢
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$103	95.0¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Geopolítica	Yes	$98	17.5¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$96	95.8¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$94	94.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Cripto	Yes	$92	83.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Política	Yes	$69	58.8¢
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$56	92.9¢
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$52	95.1¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$50	16.6¢
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Cripto	Yes	$47	69.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$45	22.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$35	11.3¢
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Cripto	No	$30	81.8¢
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$27	80.4¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$22	20.2¢
Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Deportes	Yes	$22	22.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$22	64.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Política	No	$21	96.4¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Política	No	$20	91.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$20	67.3¢

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1.2k @ 39.0¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Cripto
No$575 @ 82.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$500 @ 41.6¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Cripto
Yes$338 @ 68.3¢
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Cripto
No$311 @ 62.0¢
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$266 @ 80.1¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Política
No$177 @ 87.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Política
No$172 @ 82.0¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Cripto
Yes$128 @ 36.7¢
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Cripto
No$121 @ 93.4¢
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?Cripto
No$103 @ 95.0¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Geopolítica
Yes$98 @ 17.5¢
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Cripto
No$96 @ 95.8¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$94 @ 94.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Cripto
Yes$92 @ 83.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Política
Yes$69 @ 58.8¢
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?Cripto
No$56 @ 92.9¢
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?Cripto
No$52 @ 95.1¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$50 @ 16.6¢
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Cripto
Yes$47 @ 69.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$45 @ 22.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$35 @ 11.3¢
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Cripto
No$30 @ 81.8¢
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$27 @ 80.4¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$22 @ 20.2¢
Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?Deportes
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$22 @ 64.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Política
No$21 @ 96.4¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Política
No$20 @ 91.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$20 @ 67.3¢