0xcf19…6402

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+26.3pp

ROI

+113%

Tasa de acierto

60% @ 33.3¢

Brier

0.324

Resueltas

4368

Tamaño med.

$287

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Deportes	49% (35/72)	+30%	72
Política	63% (29/46)	+183%	46
Other	67% (8/12)	+9%	12
Geopolítica	38% (3/8)	-64%	8
Economía	67% (2/3)	-92%	3

Deportes72 apuestas
Tasa acierto
49% (35/72)
ROI
+30%
Política46 apuestas
Tasa acierto
63% (29/46)
ROI
+183%
Other12 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (8/12)
ROI
+9%
Geopolítica8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (3/8)
ROI
-64%
Economía3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
-92%

Historial

55% acierto · 77/141

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	$430	53.0¢	Perdió
Jamal Musiala: 1+ goals	Yes	$188	49.0¢	Ganó
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$522	52.0¢	Ganó
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Under	$416	52.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$17.8k	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$158.0k	19.2¢	Perdió
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$2.1k	51.0¢	Perdió
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$1.4k	29.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.4k	70.0¢	Ganó
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Under	$3.1k	52.0¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$320	32.0¢	Perdió
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$390	48.0¢	Perdió
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$1.4k	15.0¢	Perdió
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	$1.0k	50.0¢	Perdió
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$173	34.0¢	Perdió
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$372	47.2¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.0k	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$483	69.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$211	16.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$21.5k	25.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$3.6k	36.0¢	Perdió
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3.4k	11.3¢	Perdió
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Germany	$1.6k	49.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$21.7k	24.9¢	Perdió
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5	Under	$11	59.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	$33.3k	39.9¢	Perdió
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4.3k	8.5¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$29.3k	14.5¢	Perdió
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$472	59.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.6k	16.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$13.4k	67.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$186.9k	21.5¢	Ganó
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$153	52.0¢	Ganó
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$691	86.0¢	Ganó
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$134	15.2¢	Perdió
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$26	18.0¢	Perdió
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$385	55.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	31.8¢	Ganó
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$11.0k	43.5¢	Ganó
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	Under	$806	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4.9k	16.0¢	Ganó
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$803	2.6¢	Perdió
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$169	43.0¢	Perdió
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	$311	22.0¢	Ganó
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$632	79.0¢	Ganó
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$776	51.0¢	Perdió
Spread: Canada (-1.5)	Canada	$392	49.0¢	Ganó
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	No	$8.8k	87.5¢	Ganó
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	$1.7k	16.7¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$34	44.0¢	Perdió

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Perdió
No$430 @ 53.0¢
Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsGanó
Yes$188 @ 49.0¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Ganó
Under$522 @ 52.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Ganó
Under$416 @ 52.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$17.8k @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$158.0k @ 19.2¢
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Perdió
Yes$2.1k @ 51.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 29.0¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 70.0¢
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Perdió
Under$3.1k @ 52.0¢
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$320 @ 32.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Perdió
Yes$390 @ 48.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 15.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Perdió
Yes$173 @ 34.0¢
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$372 @ 47.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 1.0¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Ganó
Yes$483 @ 69.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Ganó
Yes$211 @ 16.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$21.5k @ 25.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.6k @ 36.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$3.4k @ 11.3¢
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ganó
Germany$1.6k @ 49.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Perdió
Yes$21.7k @ 24.9¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Perdió
Under$11 @ 59.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$33.3k @ 39.9¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$4.3k @ 8.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$29.3k @ 14.5¢
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Ganó
Under$472 @ 59.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.6k @ 16.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$13.4k @ 67.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$186.9k @ 21.5¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$153 @ 52.0¢
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$691 @ 86.0¢
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$134 @ 15.2¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Perdió
No$26 @ 18.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Ganó
Yes$385 @ 55.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 31.8¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Ganó
Yes$11.0k @ 43.5¢
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Ganó
Under$806 @ 53.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$4.9k @ 16.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$803 @ 2.6¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Perdió
Yes$169 @ 43.0¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Ganó
Yes$311 @ 22.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Ganó
Yes$632 @ 79.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Perdió
Yes$776 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Canada (-1.5)Ganó
Canada$392 @ 49.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Ganó
No$8.8k @ 87.5¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 16.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$34 @ 44.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$41.1k	36.1¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$22.2k	11.9¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$17.2k	86.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$14.4k	76.2¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$10.7k	4.7¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$10.4k	4.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$9.8k	34.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$7.7k	36.9¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$3.9k	39.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Política	No	$3.5k	71.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$2.5k	2.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.8k	76.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	No	$1.6k	41.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$953	41.0¢
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	Política	No	$831	81.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$613	14.2¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Deportes	No	$565	78.0¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$525	2.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	Política	No	$121	67.0¢
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Política	Yes	$45	45.0¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$41.1k @ 36.1¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$22.2k @ 11.9¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Política
No$17.2k @ 86.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
No$14.4k @ 76.2¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$10.7k @ 4.7¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$10.4k @ 4.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$9.8k @ 34.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Política
No$7.7k @ 36.9¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$3.9k @ 39.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Política
No$3.5k @ 71.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$2.5k @ 2.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.8k @ 76.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
No$1.6k @ 41.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Política
No$953 @ 41.0¢
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Política
No$831 @ 81.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$613 @ 14.2¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Deportes
No$565 @ 78.0¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$525 @ 2.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Política
No$121 @ 67.0¢
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Política
Yes$45 @ 45.0¢