0xceca…3f67

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcecaeade076dafc88fdb955864da9d9c15693f67
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+5.5pp

ROI

+12%

Tasa de acierto

73% @ 67.5¢

Brier

0.142

Resueltas

608

Tamaño med.

$122

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	70% (77/110)	+1%	110
Política	80% (56/70)	+9%	70
Deportes	58% (28/48)	-1%	48
Geopolítica	82% (18/22)	+9%	22
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+33%	1
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+77%	1

Other110 apuestas
Tasa acierto
70% (77/110)
ROI
+1%
Política70 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (56/70)
ROI
+9%
Deportes48 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (28/48)
ROI
-1%
Geopolítica22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
82% (18/22)
ROI
+9%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+33%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+77%

Historial

72% acierto · 181/252

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	Yes	$400	96.0¢	Ganó
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$182	60.4¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$3.8k	87.6¢	Ganó
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$60	75.0¢	Perdió
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$553	71.0¢	Ganó
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	$37	37.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$3.9k	78.9¢	Ganó
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$50	74.5¢	Ganó
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?	No	$101	74.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$300	79.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$17	3.3¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$959	81.8¢	Ganó
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$51	51.0¢	Perdió
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$36	36.5¢	Ganó
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$500	90.0¢	Ganó
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$100	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$637	63.4¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$300	69.6¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$112	56.7¢	Ganó
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	$121	77.8¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	$10	8.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$500	83.6¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$450	58.1¢	Perdió
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	$215	53.4¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	$20	5.1¢	Perdió
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	$194	84.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$100	88.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	$290	27.4¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	$504	80.5¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$151	68.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	9.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$450	39.0¢	Ganó
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$51	56.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	$52	42.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$200	72.9¢	Ganó
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$201	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$100	89.4¢	Ganó
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?	Yes	$29	6.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$201	88.0¢	Ganó
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	$100	44.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	$744	62.1¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$655	53.2¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$595	61.2¢	Perdió
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	$101	88.5¢	Ganó
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$20	48.0¢	Perdió
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	No	$226	58.5¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	$188	87.6¢	Ganó
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$63	7.3¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$5	6.9¢	Perdió
Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	$1.4k	83.5¢	Ganó

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?Ganó
Yes$400 @ 96.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$182 @ 60.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Ganó
No$3.8k @ 87.6¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Perdió
Over$60 @ 75.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Ganó
No$553 @ 71.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Perdió
Yes$37 @ 37.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$3.9k @ 78.9¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 74.5¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Ganó
No$101 @ 74.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$300 @ 79.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 3.3¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$959 @ 81.8¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Perdió
Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Ganó
Yes$36 @ 36.5¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Ganó
No$500 @ 90.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Ganó
No$637 @ 63.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$300 @ 69.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$112 @ 56.7¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Perdió
No$121 @ 77.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Perdió
No$10 @ 8.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Ganó
No$500 @ 83.6¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Perdió
Yes$450 @ 58.1¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Perdió
No$215 @ 53.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 5.1¢
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?Ganó
Yes$194 @ 84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$100 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Perdió
Yes$290 @ 27.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Ganó
No$504 @ 80.5¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Ganó
Yes$151 @ 68.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$450 @ 39.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Ganó
Yes$51 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 10?Perdió
Yes$52 @ 42.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$200 @ 72.9¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Ganó
Yes$201 @ 83.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 89.4¢
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 6.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Ganó
No$201 @ 88.0¢
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 44.0¢
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Ganó
No$744 @ 62.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Ganó
No$655 @ 53.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$595 @ 61.2¢
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?Ganó
Yes$101 @ 88.5¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 48.0¢
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?Perdió
No$226 @ 58.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Ganó
No$188 @ 87.6¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$63 @ 7.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 6.9¢
Kash Patel out by May 31?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 83.5¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$6.1k	87.1¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$3.8k	86.3¢
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$3.5k	89.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$3.0k	86.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	—	Yes	$2.6k	86.6¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	—	No	$2.2k	83.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Política	No	$2.2k	87.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$2.2k	92.2¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	—	No	$2.0k	72.7¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	—	No	$1.6k	79.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$1.5k	87.6¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$1.4k	82.7¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tecnología	No	$1.4k	85.2¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$1.0k	88.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	No	$982	48.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	—	Yes	$976	77.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$964	87.9¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$887	85.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$795	85.0¢
New pandemic in 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$752	91.2¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	—	No	$602	86.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	No	$600	74.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	—	No	$598	74.5¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$552	50.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$546	67.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	—	No	$517	94.0¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	—	Yes	$468	84.4¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	—	Yes	$437	81.0¢
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	—	Yes	$383	76.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	—	Yes	$359	81.7¢

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$6.1k @ 87.1¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?—
No$3.8k @ 86.3¢
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?—
No$3.5k @ 89.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
No$3.0k @ 86.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?—
Yes$2.6k @ 86.6¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?—
No$2.2k @ 83.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Política
No$2.2k @ 87.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?—
No$2.2k @ 92.2¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?—
No$2.0k @ 72.7¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?—
No$1.6k @ 79.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$1.5k @ 87.6¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
No$1.4k @ 82.7¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tecnología
No$1.4k @ 85.2¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?—
No$1.0k @ 88.4¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
No$982 @ 48.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?—
Yes$976 @ 77.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Política
No$964 @ 87.9¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$887 @ 85.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Política
No$795 @ 85.0¢
New pandemic in 2026?Geopolítica
No$752 @ 91.2¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?—
No$602 @ 86.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
No$600 @ 74.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?—
No$598 @ 74.5¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$552 @ 50.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$546 @ 67.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?—
No$517 @ 94.0¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?—
Yes$468 @ 84.4¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?—
Yes$437 @ 81.0¢
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?—
Yes$383 @ 76.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?—
Yes$359 @ 81.7¢