0xcd6b…68f5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcd6be6693e2bc11150d397caa9e6f7c6744b68f5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+1.8pp

ROI

+14%

Tasa de acierto

30% @ 27.9¢

Brier

0.123

Resueltas

4276

Tamaño med.

$74

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	40% (267/660)	+18%	660
Política	39% (29/75)	+8%	75
Deportes	28% (10/36)	+185%	36
Geopolítica	11% (2/18)	-93%	18
Economía	40% (2/5)	+16%	5
Tecnología	25% (1/4)	-54%	4
Cripto	25% (1/4)	+315%	4
Ciencia	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Negocios	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other660 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (267/660)
ROI
+18%
Política75 apuestas
Tasa acierto
39% (29/75)
ROI
+8%
Deportes36 apuestas
Tasa acierto
28% (10/36)
ROI
+185%
Geopolítica18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
11% (2/18)
ROI
-93%
Economía5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (2/5)
ROI
+16%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-54%
Cripto4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
+315%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Negocios1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

39% acierto · 312/804

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$302	60.4¢	Perdió
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	No	$1.6k	77.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	No	$2	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	Yes	$108	77.2¢	Ganó
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	$9	8.0¢	Ganó
GPT ads by December 31?	Yes	$47	11.8¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?	No	$61	61.0¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$148	74.0¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$90	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?	No	$10	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Perdió
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$1.9k	82.2¢	Ganó
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?	Yes	$267	14.0¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	$22	22.0¢	Perdió
Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?	Yes	$4	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in October?	No	$16	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?	No	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$108	76.6¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$841	52.6¢	Perdió
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	Yes	$133	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Paul Hounkpè be the next President of Benin?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	$110	11.0¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	Yes	$546	12.5¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Perdió
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	Yes	$355	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$7	27.0¢	Ganó
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	No	$280	76.0¢	Ganó
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC East?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Perdió
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$1.2k	48.7¢	Ganó
OpenAI browser by September 30?	Yes	$19	6.3¢	Perdió
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?	Yes	$168	25.6¢	Perdió
Will the Baltimore Ravens be the Top Defense/Special Teams of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?	No	$18	28.2¢	Ganó
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	$20	2.0¢	Perdió
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	$405	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$657	9.3¢	Perdió
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	$46	23.0¢	Perdió
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	$6	1.1¢	Perdió
Vidal vs. Rodrigues	Vidal	$20	2.0¢	Perdió
Will Michael Olise be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$9.0k	23.1¢	Perdió
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?	No	$61	34.2¢	Ganó
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	Yes	$134	22.3¢	Ganó
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$436	20.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?	Yes	$186	45.8¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	$8	42.0¢	Ganó
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$277	64.3¢	Ganó
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$130	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$120	1.2¢	Perdió
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 30 and 40 million views the first week?	Yes	$13	6.7¢	Perdió

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$302 @ 60.4¢
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 77.2¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Perdió
No$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Ganó
Yes$108 @ 77.2¢
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 8.0¢
GPT ads by December 31?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 11.8¢
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?Ganó
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Ganó
No$148 @ 74.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Perdió
Yes$90 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Perdió
No$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?Perdió
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Ganó
No$1.9k @ 82.2¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Perdió
Yes$267 @ 14.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Perdió
No$22 @ 22.0¢
Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in October?Perdió
No$16 @ 0.4¢
Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Perdió
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Ganó
Yes$108 @ 76.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$841 @ 52.6¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Perdió
Yes$133 @ 17.0¢
Will Paul Hounkpè be the next President of Benin?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Perdió
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Perdió
Yes$546 @ 12.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Perdió
Yes$355 @ 17.0¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
No$7 @ 27.0¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Ganó
No$280 @ 76.0¢
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC East?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 48.7¢
OpenAI browser by September 30?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 6.3¢
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?Perdió
Yes$168 @ 25.6¢
Will the Baltimore Ravens be the Top Defense/Special Teams of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?Ganó
No$18 @ 28.2¢
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Perdió
No$20 @ 2.0¢
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?Ganó
No$405 @ 81.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$657 @ 9.3¢
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 23.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
Vidal vs. RodriguesPerdió
Vidal$20 @ 2.0¢
Will Michael Olise be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9.0k @ 23.1¢
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Ganó
No$61 @ 34.2¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Ganó
Yes$134 @ 22.3¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$436 @ 20.5¢
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?Perdió
Yes$186 @ 45.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$8 @ 42.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$277 @ 64.3¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$130 @ 13.0¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$120 @ 1.2¢
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 30 and 40 million views the first week?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 6.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$10.1k	80.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$9.5k	50.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$9.5k	50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$5.0k	55.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$2.3k	45.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$2.1k	69.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	No	$1.4k	47.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$1.2k	11.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$1000	10.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$837	83.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$622	62.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$579	28.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$505	50.5¢
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Cripto	Yes	$428	21.2¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$350	17.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$143	4.3¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$130	27.2¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$100	20.0¢
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Deportes	Yes	$100	5.0¢
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Política	Yes	$55	21.0¢
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economía	Yes	$23	0.5¢
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Ciencia	Yes	$16	8.0¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$11	1.7¢
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$4	3.0¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
No$10.1k @ 80.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$9.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$9.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$5.0k @ 55.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$2.3k @ 45.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$2.1k @ 69.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
No$1.4k @ 47.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$1.2k @ 11.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$1000 @ 10.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Política
No$837 @ 83.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$622 @ 62.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$579 @ 28.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$505 @ 50.5¢
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Cripto
Yes$428 @ 21.2¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Cripto
Yes$350 @ 17.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$143 @ 4.3¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$130 @ 27.2¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Deportes
Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Política
Yes$55 @ 21.0¢
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economía
Yes$23 @ 0.5¢
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ciencia
Yes$16 @ 8.0¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Cultura
Yes$11 @ 1.7¢
Natural Disaster in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$4 @ 3.0¢