0xcd6b…68f5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcd6be6693e2bc11150d397caa9e6f7c6744b68f5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

-8.8pp

ROI

+3%

Tasa de acierto

26% @ 34.8¢

Brier

0.133

Resueltas

496

Tamaño med.

$116

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	40% (19/48)	-4%	48
Política	39% (14/36)	-1%	36
Deportes	22% (4/18)	-35%	18
Geopolítica	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Tecnología	25% (1/4)	-44%	4
Ciencia	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economía	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+418%	1

Other48 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (19/48)
ROI
-4%
Política36 apuestas
Tasa acierto
39% (14/36)
ROI
-1%
Deportes18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
22% (4/18)
ROI
-35%
Geopolítica5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-44%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+418%

Historial

34% acierto · 39/114

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	$9	8.0¢	Ganó
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	$110	11.0¢	Perdió
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	$405	81.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$9.0k	23.1¢	Perdió
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	$52	58.0¢	Ganó
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$88	88.8¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$360	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	$6	71.0¢	Ganó
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$806	68.2¢	Ganó
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	$100	10.0¢	Ganó
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	$6	24.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$159	26.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	54.0¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$1.1k	69.3¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Oil" 13+ times during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?	Yes	$39	78.0¢	Perdió
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	No	$30	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$380	1.9¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$289	19.3¢	Ganó
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$18	9.0¢	Perdió
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	$55	27.9¢	Perdió
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$105	21.0¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	$232	66.5¢	Perdió
Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?	Yes	$116	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$190	19.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$2.5k	19.6¢	Perdió
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$130	2.4¢	Perdió
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$373	45.3¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$1.4k	45.2¢	Ganó
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$400	20.9¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$338	64.0¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$138	11.1¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$335	67.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10.0k	41.0¢	Ganó
Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	$157	19.0¢	Perdió
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$78	30.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$46	23.0¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$24	23.9¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Fed" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	$39	78.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$437	61.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$673	37.4¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$460	23.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$405	4.5¢	Perdió
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	35.1¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	$252	51.7¢	Ganó
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$130	56.0¢	Perdió
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$820	41.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	$649	57.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$145	29.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$18	1.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$350	70.0¢	Perdió

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 8.0¢
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Perdió
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?Ganó
No$405 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9.0k @ 23.1¢
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Ganó
No$52 @ 58.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Ganó
Lakers$88 @ 88.8¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$360 @ 72.0¢
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 71.0¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Ganó
Yes$806 @ 68.2¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionGanó
No$100 @ 10.0¢
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 24.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$159 @ 26.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 54.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 69.3¢
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Oil" 13+ times during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?Perdió
Yes$39 @ 78.0¢
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?Perdió
No$30 @ 3.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$380 @ 1.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$289 @ 19.3¢
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 9.0¢
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?Perdió
Yes$55 @ 27.9¢
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
Yes$105 @ 21.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Perdió
Yes$232 @ 66.5¢
Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?Ganó
Yes$116 @ 88.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
No$190 @ 19.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$2.5k @ 19.6¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Perdió
Yes$130 @ 2.4¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$373 @ 45.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 45.2¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
No$400 @ 20.9¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$338 @ 64.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$138 @ 11.1¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Ganó
No$335 @ 67.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10.0k @ 41.0¢
Megaquake by June 30?Perdió
Yes$157 @ 19.0¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$78 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Perdió
No$46 @ 23.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 23.9¢
Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Fed" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Ganó
Yes$39 @ 78.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Ganó
No$437 @ 61.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$673 @ 37.4¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$460 @ 23.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$405 @ 4.5¢
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 35.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Ganó
No$252 @ 51.7¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Perdió
No$130 @ 56.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Ganó
Yes$820 @ 41.0¢
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Perdió
No$649 @ 57.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$145 @ 29.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 1.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Perdió
Yes$350 @ 70.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Política	No	$9.9k	81.1¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$7.5k	50.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$7.5k	50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$3.9k	53.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$3.3k	83.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$3.2k	45.1¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	No	$1.4k	47.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$1.2k	11.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$1000	10.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$505	50.5¢
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Cripto	Yes	$428	21.2¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$350	17.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$143	4.3¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$130	27.2¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$100	20.0¢
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Deportes	Yes	$100	5.0¢
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Política	No	$75	60.0¢
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Política	Yes	$55	21.0¢
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economía	Yes	$23	0.5¢
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Ciencia	Yes	$16	8.0¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$11	1.7¢
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$4	3.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Política	Yes	$2	51.0¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Política
No$9.9k @ 81.1¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$7.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$7.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$3.9k @ 53.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$3.3k @ 83.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$3.2k @ 45.1¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
No$1.4k @ 47.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$1.2k @ 11.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$1000 @ 10.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$505 @ 50.5¢
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Cripto
Yes$428 @ 21.2¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Cripto
Yes$350 @ 17.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$143 @ 4.3¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$130 @ 27.2¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Deportes
Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Política
No$75 @ 60.0¢
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Política
Yes$55 @ 21.0¢
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economía
Yes$23 @ 0.5¢
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ciencia
Yes$16 @ 8.0¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Cultura
Yes$11 @ 1.7¢
Natural Disaster in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Política
Yes$2 @ 51.0¢