0xcb48…be6d

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

• Tecnología138 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  49% (68/138)

  ROI

  +25%

• Other62 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  53% (33/62)

  ROI

  -5%

• Política7 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  57% (4/7)

  ROI

  -41%

• Geopolítica7 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  43% (3/7)

  ROI

  -19%

• Cripto5 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  0% (0/5)

  ROI

  -100%

• Cultura1 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Ganó
  No$14 @ 55.0¢
• Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
  Yes$25 @ 32.1¢
• Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Ganó
  Yes$0 @ 17.0¢
• Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Perdió
  Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
• Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
  Yes$33 @ 40.0¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Perdió
  No$42 @ 41.0¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$30 @ 60.0¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Perdió
  No$9 @ 29.0¢
• Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ganó
  No$357 @ 80.6¢
• Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
  No$52 @ 81.0¢
• Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
  No$181 @ 53.3¢
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Perdió
  No$37 @ 21.7¢
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$14 @ 57.6¢
• Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$33 @ 18.9¢
• Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Perdió
  Yes$295 @ 69.1¢
• Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Perdió
  No$5 @ 27.0¢
• Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$22 @ 65.3¢
• Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?Ganó
  No$30 @ 60.5¢
• Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?Perdió
  Yes$20 @ 17.0¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Ganó
  Yes$820 @ 75.9¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 6, 2026?Ganó
  No$27 @ 75.8¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Perdió
  No$35 @ 21.3¢
• Gemini Argon released by November 30, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$102 @ 87.1¢
• Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Perdió
  Yes$20 @ 19.4¢
• Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Perdió
  Yes$91 @ 83.3¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Ganó
  No$458 @ 85.3¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Ganó
  No$136 @ 81.2¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Perdió
  No$268 @ 49.6¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$7 @ 32.0¢
• Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Ganó
  No$96 @ 78.3¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?Ganó
  No$79 @ 79.0¢
• Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Perdió
  Yes$35 @ 37.0¢
• Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ganó
  No$81 @ 89.0¢
• Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Ganó
  No$16 @ 80.0¢
• Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Perdió
  Yes$21 @ 13.8¢
• Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 31, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$48 @ 78.7¢
• OpenAI resumes training by October 5, 2026?Ganó
  No$14 @ 68.0¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?Perdió
  No$123 @ 28.4¢
• Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?Perdió
  No$70 @ 55.9¢
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Perdió
  Yes$48 @ 59.0¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?Ganó
  No$46 @ 83.5¢
• Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?Perdió
  Yes$22 @ 35.0¢
• Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$21 @ 17.0¢
• Will $LAPTOP reach $10 by September 30, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$4 @ 3.7¢
• Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$92 @ 36.4¢
• Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?Ganó
  No$32 @ 26.3¢
• Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Ganó
  Yes$119 @ 44.3¢
• Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
  No$43 @ 82.9¢
• Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ganó
  Yes$44 @ 86.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$35 @ 12.0¢

Posiciones actuales

• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$390 @ 54.7¢
• Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
  No$368 @ 86.6¢
• Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 20% or higher?Tecnología
  Yes$334 @ 85.7¢
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?Tecnología
  No$324 @ 79.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$275 @ 85.7¢
• Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$267 @ 66.7¢
• Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
  No$226 @ 62.4¢
• Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
  No$178 @ 46.2¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tecnología
  No$158 @ 57.4¢
• Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?Tecnología
  No$151 @ 45.9¢
• Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Geopolítica
  Yes$143 @ 56.5¢
• Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?Tecnología
  No$117 @ 78.0¢
• Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Geopolítica
  Yes$105 @ 27.4¢
• OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Tecnología
  No$100 @ 34.3¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tecnología
  Yes$97 @ 29.1¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tecnología
  No$88 @ 83.0¢
• Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
  No$85 @ 23.8¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tecnología
  No$79 @ 82.0¢
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
  No$76 @ 63.0¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tecnología
  Yes$66 @ 19.7¢
• Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?Tecnología
  No$56 @ 90.0¢
• Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
  No$55 @ 61.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Tecnología
  No$49 @ 23.8¢
• Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
  No$48 @ 41.1¢
• Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Tecnología
  No$46 @ 23.1¢
• Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?Tecnología
  No$46 @ 89.3¢
• Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Tecnología
  Yes$37 @ 24.7¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Tecnología
  No$33 @ 84.0¢
• Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$30 @ 28.7¢
• Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Tecnología
  No$17 @ 8.3¢