0xca16…f878

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xca165e655b0506ee83678157ea12bf62a450f878
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.7pp

ROI

+6%

Tasa de acierto

38% @ 34.1¢

Brier

0.124

Resueltas

3739

Tamaño med.

$19

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	51% (194/379)	+7%	379
Política	44% (21/48)	+1%	48
Deportes	31% (5/16)	-61%	16
Geopolítica	60% (6/10)	+132%	10
Tecnología	75% (3/4)	-11%	4
Cultura	50% (1/2)	-51%	2
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+427%	1

Other379 apuestas
Tasa acierto
51% (194/379)
ROI
+7%
Política48 apuestas
Tasa acierto
44% (21/48)
ROI
+1%
Deportes16 apuestas
Tasa acierto
31% (5/16)
ROI
-61%
Geopolítica10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (6/10)
ROI
+132%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
-11%
Cultura2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-51%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+427%

Historial

50% acierto · 231/460

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?	Yes	$5	4.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 9-15?	Yes	$124	78.8¢	Ganó
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$328	45.1¢	Ganó
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$45	51.1¢	Ganó
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$5	1.3¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$461	76.8¢	Perdió
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	$171	85.3¢	Ganó
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$31	62.3¢	Perdió
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	$29	28.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Invasion" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?	Yes	$31	68.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?	Yes	$21	81.0¢	Perdió
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	Yes	$55	32.2¢	Ganó
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$50	66.4¢	Ganó
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$239	21.7¢	Ganó
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	Yes	$19	47.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?	Yes	$33	41.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	Yes	$23	6.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$281	86.5¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?	Yes	$24	7.1¢	Perdió
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	No	$18	18.0¢	Perdió
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	$46	50.0¢	Ganó
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?	Yes	$18	70.0¢	Ganó
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 13, 2026?	Yes	$6	2.5¢	Perdió
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	$89	89.0¢	Ganó
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	$62	31.3¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?	Yes	$16	9.3¢	Perdió
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	Yes	$5	2.3¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?	Yes	$13	25.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	Yes	$107	62.5¢	Ganó
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?	Yes	$15	59.4¢	Ganó
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$128	16.0¢	Ganó
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$57	57.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$336	83.9¢	Ganó
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$201	70.4¢	Perdió
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	Yes	$153	89.5¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	No	$151	75.5¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?	Yes	$5	4.5¢	Perdió
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	Yes	$112	32.7¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$513	85.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$287	41.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$327	21.8¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?	Yes	$20	8.6¢	Ganó
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?	Yes	$10	18.0¢	Perdió
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$212	84.8¢	Ganó
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 23?	No	$5	4.9¢	Perdió
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?	Yes	$11	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "China" during Bill Signing on December 12?	No	$45	52.4¢	Ganó
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$24	12.0¢	Perdió
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	Yes	$1.4k	84.7¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?	No	$37	24.3¢	Ganó

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 9-15?Ganó
Yes$124 @ 78.8¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Ganó
No$328 @ 45.1¢
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ganó
No$45 @ 51.1¢
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Perdió
No$461 @ 76.8¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Ganó
Yes$171 @ 85.3¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Perdió
No$31 @ 62.3¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Perdió
No$29 @ 28.5¢
Will Trump say "Invasion" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 81.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Ganó
Yes$55 @ 32.2¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Ganó
No$50 @ 66.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$239 @ 21.7¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 47.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?Perdió
Yes$33 @ 41.8¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 6.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Ganó
No$281 @ 86.5¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 7.1¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Perdió
No$18 @ 18.0¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Ganó
Yes$46 @ 50.0¢
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?Ganó
Yes$18 @ 70.0¢
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 13, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 2.5¢
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?Ganó
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Perdió
Yes$62 @ 31.3¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 9.3¢
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 2.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Ganó
Yes$107 @ 62.5¢
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 59.4¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
Yes$128 @ 16.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Ganó
Lakers$57 @ 57.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$336 @ 83.9¢
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Perdió
No$201 @ 70.4¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Ganó
Yes$153 @ 89.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Ganó
No$151 @ 75.5¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 4.5¢
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? Perdió
Yes$112 @ 32.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$513 @ 85.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$287 @ 41.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$327 @ 21.8¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 8.6¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?Ganó
No$212 @ 84.8¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 23?Perdió
No$5 @ 4.9¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump say "China" during Bill Signing on December 12?Ganó
No$45 @ 52.4¢
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 84.7¢
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Ganó
No$37 @ 24.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Deportes	No	$851	68.3¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Política	No	$234	78.0¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?	Política	No	$134	67.0¢
Trump renames AI by December 31?	Política	No	$101	40.4¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Política	Yes	$83	20.7¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Política	No	$70	46.6¢
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?	Deportes	No	$25	70.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Política	Yes	$21	2.1¢

Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Deportes
No$851 @ 68.3¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Política
No$234 @ 78.0¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Política
No$134 @ 67.0¢
Trump renames AI by December 31?Política
No$101 @ 40.4¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Política
Yes$83 @ 20.7¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Política
No$70 @ 46.6¢
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?Deportes
No$25 @ 70.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Política
Yes$21 @ 2.1¢