0xc86d…dcbc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc86d258430a557ccf5ca24afa60a24a4e43edcbc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+16.9pp

ROI

+28%

Tasa de acierto

49% @ 31.8¢

Brier

0.193

Resueltas

287

Tamaño med.

$110

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	22% (16/72)	-3%	72
Deportes	14% (3/22)	+122%	22
Cripto	50% (1/2)	-98%	2

Other72 apuestas
Tasa acierto
22% (16/72)
ROI
-3%
Deportes22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
14% (3/22)
ROI
+122%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-98%

Historial

21% acierto · 20/96

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	Ian Machado Garry	$202	25.2¢	Perdió
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$25	17.6¢	Perdió
Lighter Airdrop on December 26?	Yes	$10	3.8¢	Perdió
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)	Real Madrid	$1	1.8¢	Perdió
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?	Yes	$10	9.4¢	Perdió
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Della Maddalena	$50	27.0¢	Perdió
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$2.5k	84.3¢	Ganó
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$2.7k	49.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "China" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?	No	$1	14.0¢	Perdió
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$6	25.3¢	Perdió
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?	Yes	$10	4.1¢	Perdió
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$81	59.0¢	Perdió
Fed rate cut by June 12?	Yes	$40	4.5¢	Perdió
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)	Gen.G	$6	4.6¢	Perdió
Will Unit launch a token in 2025?	No	$1	80.0¢	Ganó
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?	Yes	$8	6.1¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.3k	2.2¢	Perdió
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	$402	82.5¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$48	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$309	1.0¢	Perdió
Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villa	Aston Villa	$33	7.5¢	Perdió
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?	Yes	$10	22.0¢	Perdió
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?	No	$276	71.4¢	Perdió
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mauricio Ruffy	$24	27.0¢	Perdió
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$88	22.0¢	Perdió
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$2.4k	67.5¢	Ganó
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Perdió
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$308	8.3¢	Perdió
Champions League Quarterfinals: Barcelona vs. Dortmund	Dortmund	$10	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?	No	$9	11.0¢	Perdió
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$146	1.3¢	Perdió
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan	PSG	$12	59.1¢	Ganó
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan	Inter	$10	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$21	0.5¢	Perdió
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	$11	18.0¢	Ganó
US military action against Iran before July?	No	$140	42.2¢	Perdió
Lighter Airdrop on December 23?	Yes	$10	3.0¢	Perdió
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milan	Inter Milan	$50	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?	No	$161	64.2¢	Ganó
Pereira vs. Ankalaev	Pereira	$40	51.0¢	Perdió
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$26	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Agora win the USDH ticker?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Perdió
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?	Yes	$5	16.0¢	Perdió
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.1k	19.0¢	Ganó
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	$4	2.5¢	Perdió

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Perdió
Ian Machado Garry$202 @ 25.2¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 17.6¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 26?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.8¢
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)Perdió
Real Madrid$1 @ 1.8¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 9.4¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Perdió
Della Maddalena$50 @ 27.0¢
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Ganó
No$2.5k @ 84.3¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ganó
Ciryl Gane$2.7k @ 49.9¢
Will Trump say "China" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?Perdió
No$1 @ 14.0¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Perdió
No$6 @ 25.3¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvancePerdió
Netherlands$81 @ 59.0¢
Fed rate cut by June 12?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 4.5¢
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)Perdió
Gen.G$6 @ 4.6¢
Will Unit launch a token in 2025?Ganó
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 6.1¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1.3k @ 2.2¢
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Ganó
Yes$402 @ 82.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$48 @ 0.8¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$309 @ 1.0¢
Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston VillaPerdió
Aston Villa$33 @ 7.5¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?Perdió
No$276 @ 71.4¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Perdió
Mauricio Ruffy$24 @ 27.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Perdió
No$88 @ 22.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Ganó
Yes$2.4k @ 67.5¢
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$308 @ 8.3¢
Champions League Quarterfinals: Barcelona vs. DortmundPerdió
Dortmund$10 @ 0.6¢
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Perdió
No$9 @ 11.0¢
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$146 @ 1.3¢
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanGanó
PSG$12 @ 59.1¢
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanPerdió
Inter$10 @ 9.0¢
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 0.5¢
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 18.0¢
US military action against Iran before July?Perdió
No$140 @ 42.2¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 23?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter MilanGanó
Inter Milan$50 @ 71.0¢
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?Ganó
No$161 @ 64.2¢
Pereira vs. AnkalaevPerdió
Pereira$40 @ 51.0¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 0.3¢
Will Agora win the USDH ticker?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$2.1k @ 19.0¢
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 2.5¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$2.8k	93.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Política	No	$1.1k	92.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$860	71.3¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Política	No	$704	88.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Política	No	$639	83.5¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Cripto	Yes	$600	66.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$300	75.0¢
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$228	91.2¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Cripto	Yes	$225	60.4¢
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	—	Ian Machado Garry	$202	25.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$200	50.0¢
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Cripto	Yes	$177	29.8¢
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$154	77.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	—	Netherlands	$80	59.0¢
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$77	44.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$47	0.8¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$36	1.3¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$24	0.2¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	—	Mauricio Ruffy	$23	27.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)	—	Dan Hooker	$22	18.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$21	2.4¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$20	20.3¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$20	0.5¢
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$18	0.1¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	Deportes	Yes	$13	13.0¢
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Deportes	Yes	$12	12.0¢
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$10	0.8¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$10	0.4¢
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$10	0.2¢
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$10	0.2¢

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$2.8k @ 93.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Política
No$1.1k @ 92.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$860 @ 71.3¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Política
No$704 @ 88.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Política
No$639 @ 83.5¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Cripto
Yes$600 @ 66.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$300 @ 75.0¢
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?Cripto
No$228 @ 91.2¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Cripto
Yes$225 @ 60.4¢
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)—
Ian Machado Garry$202 @ 25.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Cripto
Yes$177 @ 29.8¢
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?Cripto
No$154 @ 77.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance—
Netherlands$80 @ 59.0¢
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Cripto
No$77 @ 44.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$47 @ 0.8¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$36 @ 1.3¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$24 @ 0.2¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)—
Mauricio Ruffy$23 @ 27.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)—
Dan Hooker$22 @ 18.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$21 @ 2.4¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Cripto
No$20 @ 20.3¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$20 @ 0.5¢
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$18 @ 0.1¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Deportes
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Deportes
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$10 @ 0.8¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢