0xc81c…e454

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc81c1df1f183e1b137119e590e9d7b64e805e454
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+7.7pp

ROI

+6%

Tasa de acierto

54% @ 46.4¢

Brier

0.153

Resueltas

998

Tamaño med.

$70

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	43% (121/280)	+4%	280
Política	45% (14/31)	+14%	31
Tecnología	67% (10/15)	+12%	15
Cripto	67% (6/9)	+51%	9
Geopolítica	20% (1/5)	-60%	5
Deportes	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Negocios	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Ciencia	100% (1/1)	+107%	1

Other280 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (121/280)
ROI
+4%
Política31 apuestas
Tasa acierto
45% (14/31)
ROI
+14%
Tecnología15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (10/15)
ROI
+12%
Cripto9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (6/9)
ROI
+51%
Geopolítica5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
20% (1/5)
ROI
-60%
Deportes4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Negocios2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+107%

Historial

44% acierto · 153/347

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?	Yes	$14	69.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?	Yes	$50	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$3.8k	87.1¢	Ganó
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?	No	$3	2.6¢	Perdió
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$111	78.1¢	Perdió
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	No	$158	87.7¢	Ganó
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	Yes	$751	89.0¢	Ganó
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	Yes	$34	34.0¢	Perdió
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	No	$102	42.8¢	Perdió
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?	Yes	$24	79.0¢	Ganó
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$500	79.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?	No	$35	10.0¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$199	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?	Yes	$30	34.4¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$850	85.0¢	Ganó
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	$224	88.3¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?	No	$730	62.6¢	Ganó
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	$10	48.2¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$80	40.2¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	No	$39	70.2¢	Ganó
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$163	54.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$120	30.0¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	$17	35.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	Yes	$10	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	$214	66.8¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$100	50.0¢	Perdió
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$99	39.2¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$7	3.5¢	Perdió
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	$43	6.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	$1	5.0¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	Yes	$36	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	No	$33	12.0¢	Perdió
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	$8	68.1¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	$34	28.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	Yes	$20	66.0¢	Perdió
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$80	76.4¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$1.1k	82.5¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$118	12.8¢	Perdió
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?	Yes	$40	8.0¢	Perdió
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$32	32.0¢	Ganó
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?	No	$307	44.6¢	Ganó
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?	Yes	$20	6.4¢	Perdió
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$11	11.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?	Yes	$10	54.0¢	Perdió
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?	Yes	$15	67.8¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$670	83.9¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$4.1k	86.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	$30	75.0¢	Ganó
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	$53	13.2¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Perdió

Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 69.0¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 15.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Ganó
Yes$3.8k @ 87.1¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Perdió
No$3 @ 2.6¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Perdió
No$111 @ 78.1¢
Will Base launch a token in 2025?Ganó
No$158 @ 87.7¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Ganó
Yes$751 @ 89.0¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Perdió
No$102 @ 42.8¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?Ganó
Yes$24 @ 79.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Ganó
Yes$500 @ 79.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?Perdió
No$35 @ 10.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ganó
Yes$199 @ 82.0¢
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 34.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Ganó
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$224 @ 88.3¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Ganó
No$730 @ 62.6¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 48.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 40.2¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Ganó
No$39 @ 70.2¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Ganó
No$163 @ 54.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$120 @ 30.0¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 35.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 35.0¢
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Perdió
Yes$214 @ 66.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$99 @ 39.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 3.5¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Perdió
No$43 @ 6.3¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Perdió
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Ganó
Yes$36 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Perdió
No$33 @ 12.0¢
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 68.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 28.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 66.0¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Ganó
Yes$80 @ 76.4¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 82.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Perdió
Yes$118 @ 12.8¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ganó
No$32 @ 32.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?Ganó
No$307 @ 44.6¢
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 6.4¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 54.0¢
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 67.8¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$670 @ 83.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Ganó
No$4.1k @ 86.4¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Ganó
No$30 @ 75.0¢
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?Perdió
No$53 @ 13.2¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Tecnología	No	$2.2k	91.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$716	32.4¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$672	76.3¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Negocios	Yes	$450	70.7¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$417	17.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$238	84.9¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$224	25.9¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$183	70.1¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Negocios	Yes	$90	68.8¢
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	Política	Yes	$81	10.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$62	53.1¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$42	6.4¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$39	39.0¢
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$33	65.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$20	58.0¢

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
No$2.2k @ 91.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$716 @ 32.4¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tecnología
No$672 @ 76.3¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Negocios
Yes$450 @ 70.7¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$417 @ 17.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$238 @ 84.9¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$224 @ 25.9¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tecnología
Yes$183 @ 70.1¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Negocios
Yes$90 @ 68.8¢
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Política
Yes$81 @ 10.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$62 @ 53.1¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$42 @ 6.4¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$39 @ 39.0¢
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Cripto
No$33 @ 65.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$20 @ 58.0¢