0xc658…b784

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+11.5pp

ROI

+10%

Tasa de acierto

56% @ 44.2¢

Brier

0.209

Resueltas

424

Tamaño med.

$5.9k

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	54% (20/37)	+29%	37
Política	44% (15/34)	-12%	34
Geopolítica	33% (1/3)	-83%	3
Deportes	100% (1/1)	+52%	1
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+32%	1

Other37 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (20/37)
ROI
+29%
Política34 apuestas
Tasa acierto
44% (15/34)
ROI
-12%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-83%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+32%

Historial

50% acierto · 38/76

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$5.0k	41.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$19.7k	50.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$20.4k	50.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$64.7k	41.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	$197	9.8¢	Perdió
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	No	$1.9k	75.5¢	Ganó
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	$4.7k	68.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$6.0k	13.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	Yes	$2.3k	9.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$191.0k	52.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$221.1k	40.0¢	Ganó
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$226.9k	85.9¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Yes	$3.2k	29.0¢	Perdió
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?	Yes	$1.1k	34.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$366.4k	23.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.7k	56.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$5.1k	23.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.5k	41.0¢	Perdió
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Max Holloway	$129.8k	66.0¢	Ganó
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$3.2k	81.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$21.2k	30.9¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	64.3¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$3.2k	18.9¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$15.4k	76.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$69.8k	82.8¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$120.0k	26.7¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	$5.6k	74.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$2.0k	55.8¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4.4k	89.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$25.2k	69.9¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	$259	2.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$9.8k	16.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$116	4.6¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$567	6.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	$302	10.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$50.4k	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	$2.3k	33.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$16.8k	18.4¢	Ganó
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	$2.1k	65.1¢	Ganó
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	$1.2k	49.4¢	Perdió
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	$5.1k	82.6¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$2.5k	19.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$928	52.8¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$9.5k	46.3¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$629	1.6¢	Perdió
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	$12.0k	48.0¢	Ganó
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$15.6k	49.5¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$48.4k	79.8¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	$42.3k	84.5¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$18.2k	24.7¢	Perdió

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$5.0k @ 41.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$19.7k @ 50.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$20.4k @ 50.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$64.7k @ 41.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Perdió
Yes$197 @ 9.8¢
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Ganó
No$1.9k @ 75.5¢
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Ganó
Yes$4.7k @ 68.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6.0k @ 13.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.3k @ 9.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$191.0k @ 52.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$221.1k @ 40.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$226.9k @ 85.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Perdió
Yes$3.2k @ 29.0¢
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 34.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$366.4k @ 23.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.7k @ 56.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5.1k @ 23.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.5k @ 41.0¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Ganó
Max Holloway$129.8k @ 66.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Ganó
Yes$3.2k @ 81.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Ganó
Yes$21.2k @ 30.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.8k @ 64.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$3.2k @ 18.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$15.4k @ 76.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$69.8k @ 82.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$120.0k @ 26.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Ganó
No$5.6k @ 74.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Perdió
Yes$2.0k @ 55.8¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4.4k @ 89.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$25.2k @ 69.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Perdió
Yes$259 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9.8k @ 16.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Perdió
Yes$116 @ 4.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$567 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Perdió
Yes$302 @ 10.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$50.4k @ 84.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Perdió
Yes$2.3k @ 33.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$16.8k @ 18.4¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Ganó
No$2.1k @ 65.1¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Perdió
Yes$1.2k @ 49.4¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Ganó
Yes$5.1k @ 82.6¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Perdió
Yes$2.5k @ 19.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$928 @ 52.8¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$9.5k @ 46.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$629 @ 1.6¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Ganó
No$12.0k @ 48.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Perdió
Yes$15.6k @ 49.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$48.4k @ 79.8¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$42.3k @ 84.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$18.2k @ 24.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$211.6k	74.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$120.1k	44.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$67.1k	90.5¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$44.8k	88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	—	No	$38.1k	46.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Política	No	$22.5k	82.7¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$13.8k	37.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$5.8k	88.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.5k	48.4¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Negocios	Yes	$1.4k	93.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Política	No	$1.1k	91.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$876	13.0¢
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Política	Yes	$105	65.1¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$1	15.0¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$211.6k @ 74.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$120.1k @ 44.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$67.1k @ 90.5¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$44.8k @ 88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?—
No$38.1k @ 46.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Política
No$22.5k @ 82.7¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$13.8k @ 37.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$5.8k @ 88.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$2.5k @ 48.4¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Negocios
Yes$1.4k @ 93.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Política
No$1.1k @ 91.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$876 @ 13.0¢
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Política
Yes$105 @ 65.1¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢