0xc4b5…171e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc4b5a673f69683a5e58730755ed51a49ed59171e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+12.5pp

ROI

+67%

Tasa de acierto

68% @ 55.2¢

Brier

0.107

Resueltas

102

Tamaño med.

$105

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	61% (17/28)	+162%	28
Política	94% (17/18)	+24%	18
Negocios	59% (10/17)	+43%	17
Ciencia	71% (10/14)	+11%	14
Deportes	100% (10/10)	+3%	10
Cripto	100% (4/4)	+51%	4
Cultura	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+37%	1
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+33%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+213%	1

Other28 apuestas
Tasa acierto
61% (17/28)
ROI
+162%
Política18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
94% (17/18)
ROI
+24%
Negocios17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (10/17)
ROI
+43%
Ciencia14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (10/14)
ROI
+11%
Deportes10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (10/10)
ROI
+3%
Cripto4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (4/4)
ROI
+51%
Cultura2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+37%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+33%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+213%

Historial

74% acierto · 71/96

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	99.0¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in November?	Yes	$5	99.0¢	Ganó
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Yes	$340	98.3¢	Ganó
Will Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Win the 2026 ACC Championship?	No	$10	99.0¢	Ganó
Will Michigan State Spartans Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?	No	$20	98.0¢	Ganó
Will Old Dominion Monarchs advance to the 2026 Sun Belt Championship Game?	No	$102	98.8¢	Ganó
Will Vanderbilt Commodores advance to the 2026 SEC Championship Game?	No	$102	98.8¢	Ganó
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?	No	$44	97.3¢	Ganó
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 150,000 and 170,000?	No	$230	98.8¢	Ganó
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election?	No	$0	99.0¢	Ganó
Will Maryland Terrapins advance to the 2026 Big Ten Championship Game?	No	$102	98.8¢	Ganó
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?	Yes	$12	99.0¢	Ganó
Will Michigan State Spartans advance to the 2026 Big Ten Championship Game?	No	$102	98.8¢	Ganó
Will Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game?	No	$102	98.8¢	Ganó
Will Florida State Seminoles advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game?	No	$149	99.0¢	Ganó
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of November 9 2026?	Yes	$5	99.0¢	Ganó
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $138 in November?	No	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?	No	$7	1.0¢	Perdió
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?	Yes	$125	86.7¢	Ganó
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $137?	Yes	$153	89.8¢	Ganó
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$110	87.3¢	Ganó
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	$10	84.5¢	Ganó
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	$79	78.0¢	Ganó
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $147.50 Week of November 2 2026?	No	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31?	Yes	$40	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.65B?	Yes	$132	87.2¢	Ganó
Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	$190	84.4¢	Ganó
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	$27	30.1¢	Ganó
Will Drew Jenner win the next Clarence mayoral election?	No	$45	89.9¢	Perdió
Will Drew Jenner win the next Clarence mayoral election?	Yes	$379	73.3¢	Ganó
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026?	No	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.75B?	Yes	$39	78.7¢	Ganó
Will Tama Shimabukuro advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	$8	28.4¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of October 26 2026?	No	$3	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 14?	Yes	$1.8k	64.8¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 21?	No	$100	89.7¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 22?	No	$42	80.8¢	Ganó
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $130 Week of November 2 2026?	No	$0	1.0¢	Perdió
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	$15	75.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	$571	11.1¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	$146	3.1¢	Ganó
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of October 19 2026?	No	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of October 26 2026?	No	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $540 in November?	No	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Koguma peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	$6	1.7¢	Perdió
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$16	78.7¢	Ganó
Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$231	89.7¢	Ganó
Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	Yes	$574	77.7¢	Ganó
Landskrona BoIS vs. IK Oddevold: Landskrona BoIS O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	$350	14.3¢	Perdió
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	$168	69.8¢	Ganó

Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 99.0¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in November?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 99.0¢
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?Ganó
Yes$340 @ 98.3¢
Will Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Win the 2026 ACC Championship?Ganó
No$10 @ 99.0¢
Will Michigan State Spartans Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?Ganó
No$20 @ 98.0¢
Will Old Dominion Monarchs advance to the 2026 Sun Belt Championship Game?Ganó
No$102 @ 98.8¢
Will Vanderbilt Commodores advance to the 2026 SEC Championship Game?Ganó
No$102 @ 98.8¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Ganó
No$44 @ 97.3¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 150,000 and 170,000?Ganó
No$230 @ 98.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election?Ganó
No$0 @ 99.0¢
Will Maryland Terrapins advance to the 2026 Big Ten Championship Game?Ganó
No$102 @ 98.8¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Ganó
Yes$12 @ 99.0¢
Will Michigan State Spartans advance to the 2026 Big Ten Championship Game?Ganó
No$102 @ 98.8¢
Will Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game?Ganó
No$102 @ 98.8¢
Will Florida State Seminoles advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game?Ganó
No$149 @ 99.0¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of November 9 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 99.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $138 in November?Perdió
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 26 2026?Perdió
No$7 @ 1.0¢
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?Ganó
Yes$125 @ 86.7¢
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $137?Ganó
Yes$153 @ 89.8¢
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
Yes$110 @ 87.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on November 4?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 84.5¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ganó
Yes$79 @ 78.0¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $147.50 Week of November 2 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 88.0¢
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.65B?Ganó
Yes$132 @ 87.2¢
Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Ganó
No$190 @ 84.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2?Ganó
Yes$27 @ 30.1¢
Will Drew Jenner win the next Clarence mayoral election?Perdió
No$45 @ 89.9¢
Will Drew Jenner win the next Clarence mayoral election?Ganó
Yes$379 @ 73.3¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.75B?Ganó
Yes$39 @ 78.7¢
Will Tama Shimabukuro advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?Ganó
No$8 @ 28.4¢
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of October 26 2026?Perdió
No$3 @ 1.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 14?Ganó
Yes$1.8k @ 64.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 21?Ganó
No$100 @ 89.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 22?Ganó
No$42 @ 80.8¢
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $130 Week of November 2 2026?Perdió
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ganó
No$15 @ 75.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Perdió
No$571 @ 11.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ganó
Yes$146 @ 3.1¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of October 19 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of October 26 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $540 in November?Perdió
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Koguma peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.7¢
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$16 @ 78.7¢
Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
No$231 @ 89.7¢
Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Ganó
Yes$574 @ 77.7¢
Landskrona BoIS vs. IK Oddevold: Landskrona BoIS O/U 4.5 CornersPerdió
Over$350 @ 14.3¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?Ganó
Yes$168 @ 69.8¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Política	No	$938	97.6¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election?	Política	No	$716	97.8¢
Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $30 and $35 for the week of October 26?	Cripto	Yes	$500	98.7¢
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Política	Yes	$499	98.7¢
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$415	99.0¢
Will Fortaleza CEIF be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	Deportes	No	$287	98.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?	Política	No	$262	98.8¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$245	95.5¢
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?	Política	No	$237	99.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election?	Política	No	$207	98.7¢
Will Racing be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Deportes	No	$188	99.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6% or more?	Política	No	$185	99.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 0%-3%?	Política	No	$181	98.8¢
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?	Política	No	$160	99.0¢
Will Cusco FC be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Deportes	No	$143	99.0¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?	Política	No	$126	98.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 7?	Ciencia	No	$120	92.0¢
Will Cienciano be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Deportes	No	$119	99.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?	Política	No	$119	99.0¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 650,000 and 700,000?	Política	No	$118	98.5¢
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$112	98.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?	Política	No	$105	99.0¢
Will Deportes Tolima be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	Deportes	No	$99	99.0¢
Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $40 and $45 for the week of October 26?	Cripto	No	$99	99.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 0%-3%?	Política	No	$98	97.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?	Política	No	$95	98.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Política	No	$93	98.5¢
Will Águilas Doradas be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	Deportes	No	$85	98.9¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be less than 1,600,000?	Política	No	$74	98.9¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election?	Política	No	$67	98.2¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 3%-6%?Política
No$938 @ 97.6¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election?Política
No$716 @ 97.8¢
Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $30 and $35 for the week of October 26?Cripto
Yes$500 @ 98.7¢
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Política
Yes$499 @ 98.7¢
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Ciencia
No$415 @ 99.0¢
Will Fortaleza CEIF be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?Deportes
No$287 @ 98.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Política
No$262 @ 98.8¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$245 @ 95.5¢
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?Política
No$237 @ 99.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election?Política
No$207 @ 98.7¢
Will Racing be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?Deportes
No$188 @ 99.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6% or more?Política
No$185 @ 99.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 0%-3%?Política
No$181 @ 98.8¢
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?Política
No$160 @ 99.0¢
Will Cusco FC be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?Deportes
No$143 @ 99.0¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?Política
No$126 @ 98.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 7?Ciencia
No$120 @ 92.0¢
Will Cienciano be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?Deportes
No$119 @ 99.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Política
No$119 @ 99.0¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 650,000 and 700,000?Política
No$118 @ 98.5¢
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Ciencia
No$112 @ 98.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Política
No$105 @ 99.0¢
Will Deportes Tolima be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?Deportes
No$99 @ 99.0¢
Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $40 and $45 for the week of October 26?Cripto
No$99 @ 99.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 0%-3%?Política
No$98 @ 97.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?Política
No$95 @ 98.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Política
No$93 @ 98.5¢
Will Águilas Doradas be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?Deportes
No$85 @ 98.9¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be less than 1,600,000?Política
No$74 @ 98.9¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election?Política
No$67 @ 98.2¢