0xc390…2a1f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc3907f00ba3fd35ef96c3b9afa1483b644af2a1f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

-8.0pp

ROI

+14%

Tasa de acierto

28% @ 36.4¢

Brier

0.165

Resueltas

2793

Tamaño med.

$45

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	33% (65/197)	+38%	197
Geopolítica	35% (9/26)	-69%	26
Política	16% (4/25)	-90%	25
Deportes	50% (3/6)	+24%	6
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+59%	1
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+45%	1
Negocios	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other197 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (65/197)
ROI
+38%
Geopolítica26 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (9/26)
ROI
-69%
Política25 apuestas
Tasa acierto
16% (4/25)
ROI
-90%
Deportes6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
+24%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+59%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+45%
Negocios1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Historial

33% acierto · 84/257

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	$25	49.8¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 6?	No	$397	79.4¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 6?	Yes	$120	20.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$1.1k	44.1¢	Perdió
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$15	2.0¢	Perdió
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$249	19.8¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	3.3¢	Perdió
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?	Yes	$78	57.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$300	32.9¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$3.4k	31.1¢	Perdió
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$20	33.3¢	Perdió
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$5.8k	30.5¢	Perdió
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	Yes	$39	0.4¢	Perdió
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$501	42.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$11	9.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$200	24.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	Yes	$10	3.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	Yes	$100	4.5¢	Perdió
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	$24	3.0¢	Perdió
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?	Yes	$114	38.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$20	15.0¢	Perdió
Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	$3	60.0¢	Ganó
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$3	69.0¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?	No	$102	51.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	$625	28.4¢	Perdió
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$21	37.5¢	Perdió
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	Yes	$185	37.1¢	Perdió
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	Yes	$23	23.0¢	Ganó
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$185	52.8¢	Ganó
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$26	14.4¢	Ganó
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?	Yes	$11	0.2¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$5.8k	48.4¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	$79	26.3¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$2.8k	28.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$90	36.0¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	Yes	$347	32.6¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	No	$12	29.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	Yes	$70	70.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$50	82.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$62	15.7¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 12?	No	$20	5.0¢	Perdió
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$250	63.6¢	Perdió
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?	Yes	$9	0.1¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	$571	8.9¢	Perdió
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$52	25.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$1.5k	59.1¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	$350	20.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$14	45.0¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?	Yes	$31	31.0¢	Ganó

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 49.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 6?Ganó
No$397 @ 79.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 6?Perdió
Yes$120 @ 20.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 44.1¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 2.0¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$249 @ 19.8¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 3.3¢
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Ganó
Yes$78 @ 57.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$300 @ 32.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Perdió
Yes$3.4k @ 31.1¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 33.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Perdió
Yes$5.8k @ 30.5¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?Perdió
Yes$39 @ 0.4¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$501 @ 42.9¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Perdió
No$11 @ 9.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Ganó
Yes$200 @ 24.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 4.5¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Perdió
No$24 @ 3.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Perdió
Yes$114 @ 38.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 15.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: AprilGanó
Nothing$3 @ 60.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsGanó
Seahawks$3 @ 69.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Perdió
No$102 @ 51.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Perdió
Yes$625 @ 28.4¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 37.5¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$185 @ 37.1¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Ganó
Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$185 @ 52.8¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$26 @ 14.4¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 0.2¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Ganó
Yes$5.8k @ 48.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Perdió
No$79 @ 26.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$2.8k @ 28.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Ganó
No$90 @ 36.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Perdió
Yes$347 @ 32.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Perdió
No$12 @ 29.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Ganó
Yes$70 @ 70.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Perdió
No$50 @ 82.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$62 @ 15.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 12?Perdió
No$20 @ 5.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$250 @ 63.6¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Perdió
Yes$571 @ 8.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Perdió
Yes$52 @ 25.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Perdió
Yes$1.5k @ 59.1¢
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Ganó
Yes$350 @ 20.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 45.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 31.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$12.8k	39.4¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	No	$1.9k	18.7¢
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Política	Yes	$750	24.8¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$603	22.8¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Política	Yes	$116	22.3¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$109	19.5¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$83	10.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$69	28.0¢
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$68	17.1¢
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$51	30.0¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$44	2.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	Yes	$40	20.0¢
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$36	3.2¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$34	1.7¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$33	16.6¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Política	Yes	$30	15.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$28	7.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolítica	No	$27	27.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$16	40.6¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$14	12.8¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$10	13.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Política	Yes	$8	6.0¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$7	3.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$5	54.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$4	3.8¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$4	36.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$3	3.3¢
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Política	Yes	$1	11.0¢
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$1	1.9¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolítica
No$12.8k @ 39.4¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
No$1.9k @ 18.7¢
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Política
Yes$750 @ 24.8¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$603 @ 22.8¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Política
Yes$116 @ 22.3¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$109 @ 19.5¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$83 @ 10.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$69 @ 28.0¢
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Deportes
Yes$68 @ 17.1¢
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$51 @ 30.0¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
Yes$40 @ 20.0¢
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$36 @ 3.2¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$34 @ 1.7¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$33 @ 16.6¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Política
Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$28 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolítica
No$27 @ 27.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Política
No$16 @ 40.6¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$14 @ 12.8¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Política
Yes$8 @ 6.0¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$7 @ 3.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$5 @ 54.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$3 @ 3.3¢
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Política
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Deportes
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢