0xbfd6…a888

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbfd60036b965a704fe63fd79886d1cf2573aa888
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+18.6pp

ROI

+17%

Tasa de acierto

94% @ 75.1¢

Brier

0.111

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

$96

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	86% (12/14)	+14%	14
Tecnología	100% (3/3)	+22%	3
Economía	100% (3/3)	+19%	3
Política	100% (2/2)	+17%	2
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+30%	1

Other14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
86% (12/14)
ROI
+14%
Tecnología3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (3/3)
ROI
+22%
Economía3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (3/3)
ROI
+19%
Política2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+17%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+30%

Historial

91% acierto · 21/23

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$500	76.7¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$50	87.0¢	Ganó
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	$10	61.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$100	86.0¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$438	79.8¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$200	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	$100	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$655	81.8¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$100	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$548	70.0¢	Ganó
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?	No	$100	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$300	66.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$500	68.9¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	$20	59.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$200	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$101	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$480	69.2¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$40	89.0¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$55	79.5¢	Ganó
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$100	88.4¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$100	93.0¢	Ganó
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	Yes	$100	91.0¢	Ganó
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$30	79.0¢	Ganó

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Perdió
No$500 @ 76.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 87.0¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Ganó
No$10 @ 61.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Ganó
No$100 @ 86.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$438 @ 79.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$200 @ 84.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$100 @ 88.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Ganó
Yes$655 @ 81.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$100 @ 77.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Ganó
Yes$548 @ 70.0¢
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Ganó
No$100 @ 84.0¢
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Ganó
Yes$300 @ 66.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$500 @ 68.9¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$200 @ 87.0¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Ganó
Yes$101 @ 88.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Ganó
Yes$480 @ 69.2¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Perdió
No$40 @ 89.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Ganó
Yes$55 @ 79.5¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 88.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Ganó
No$100 @ 93.0¢
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 91.0¢
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 79.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Política	No	$500	80.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$330	81.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$230	58.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	—	No	$120	85.7¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$100	88.0¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$100	78.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Política	No	$100	89.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Política	No	$100	86.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$90	87.0¢
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Economía	No	$80	85.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$50	76.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Política	No	$40	89.4¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Política
No$500 @ 80.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$330 @ 81.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$230 @ 58.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?—
No$120 @ 85.7¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tecnología
No$100 @ 88.0¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tecnología
No$100 @ 78.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Política
No$100 @ 89.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Política
No$100 @ 86.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Política
No$90 @ 87.0¢
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economía
No$80 @ 85.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$50 @ 76.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Política
No$40 @ 89.4¢