0xbfcc…12a6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbfccc586c262d94f42c5f4fa34465d20105312a6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.6pp

ROI

+12%

Tasa de acierto

75% @ 68.3¢

Brier

0.110

Resueltas

271

Tamaño med.

$90

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	71% (58/82)	+5%	82
Política	75% (21/28)	+15%	28
Geopolítica	100% (11/11)	+23%	11
Negocios	25% (1/4)	-76%	4
Deportes	67% (2/3)	-28%	3
Tecnología	50% (1/2)	-26%	2
Cripto	100% (2/2)	+30%	2

Other82 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (58/82)
ROI
+5%
Política28 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (21/28)
ROI
+15%
Geopolítica11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (11/11)
ROI
+23%
Negocios4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-76%
Deportes3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
-28%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-26%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+30%

Historial

73% acierto · 96/132

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	No	$24	66.8¢	Ganó
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Shifters	$3	64.0¢	Perdió
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$326	79.4¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	No	$10	9.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	$10	62.5¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	No	$1.2k	81.4¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$189	61.1¢	Perdió
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$300	79.3¢	Ganó
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	$101	82.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$602	78.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$230	68.2¢	Ganó
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	$62	77.6¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$163	89.0¢	Ganó
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	$138	37.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	$50	87.2¢	Ganó
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	$32	22.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$283	79.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$204	84.8¢	Ganó
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	$189	85.0¢	Ganó
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner	Sentinels	$15	27.0¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$823	79.4¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$22	76.0¢	Ganó
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Ninjas in Pyjamas	$45	89.4¢	Ganó
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$93	74.0¢	Perdió
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	$90	72.0¢	Ganó
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner	Sentinels	$6	16.7¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15?	No	$10	61.6¢	Ganó
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	$561	84.3¢	Ganó
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of April 13 2026?	No	$20	89.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	$15	73.3¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	$20	87.0¢	Ganó
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	$108	77.2¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$446	66.3¢	Ganó
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner	LYON	$30	80.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$458	81.6¢	Ganó
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	$100	87.8¢	Ganó
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	$164	84.0¢	Ganó
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$101	74.0¢	Perdió
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	$20	17.2¢	Ganó
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Fnatic	$6	19.0¢	Perdió
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	$100	89.0¢	Ganó
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	$82	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	$113	57.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	$443	88.0¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$199	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$421	86.8¢	Perdió
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	$41	55.0¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	No	$40	14.1¢	Perdió
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Shifters	$31	52.5¢	Ganó
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner	Karmine Corp	$51	60.6¢	Ganó

Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$24 @ 66.8¢
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerPerdió
Shifters$3 @ 64.0¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Ganó
No$326 @ 79.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?Perdió
No$10 @ 9.4¢
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Ganó
No$10 @ 62.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 81.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Perdió
No$189 @ 61.1¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$300 @ 79.3¢
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$101 @ 82.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$602 @ 78.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Ganó
No$230 @ 68.2¢
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$62 @ 77.6¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Ganó
No$163 @ 89.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Perdió
No$138 @ 37.7¢
Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)Ganó
No$50 @ 87.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?Perdió
No$32 @ 22.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$283 @ 79.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Ganó
No$204 @ 84.8¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Ganó
No$189 @ 85.0¢
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerPerdió
Sentinels$15 @ 27.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$823 @ 79.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Ganó
No$22 @ 76.0¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendGanó
Ninjas in Pyjamas$45 @ 89.4¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Perdió
Yes$93 @ 74.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$90 @ 72.0¢
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerPerdió
Sentinels$6 @ 16.7¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15?Ganó
No$10 @ 61.6¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Ganó
No$561 @ 84.3¢
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of April 13 2026?Perdió
No$20 @ 89.5¢
Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Ganó
No$15 @ 73.3¢
Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" this week? (April 20 - 26)Ganó
No$20 @ 87.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerGanó
ThunderTalk Gaming$108 @ 77.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$446 @ 66.3¢
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerGanó
LYON$30 @ 80.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Ganó
No$458 @ 81.6¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Ganó
No$100 @ 87.8¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$164 @ 84.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Perdió
No$101 @ 74.0¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerGanó
Shopify Rebellion$20 @ 17.2¢
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonPerdió
Fnatic$6 @ 19.0¢
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGanó
Team Vitality$100 @ 89.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Ganó
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Ganó
No$113 @ 57.9¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Perdió
Yes$443 @ 88.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Ganó
No$199 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Perdió
No$421 @ 86.8¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGanó
G2 Esports$41 @ 55.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?Perdió
No$40 @ 14.1¢
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerGanó
Shifters$31 @ 52.5¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerGanó
Karmine Corp$51 @ 60.6¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.0k	89.6¢
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Política	Yes	$500	97.6¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	No	$500	34.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$456	61.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$430	72.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$312	91.0¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	No	$300	96.9¢
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	—	Benoît Saint Denis	$300	57.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$231	72.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$200	26.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$119	30.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$116	35.5¢
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$100	95.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?	—	No	$100	97.9¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Other	No	$100	65.5¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$100	29.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$92	16.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$45	64.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?	—	No	$20	92.3¢

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.0k @ 89.6¢
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Política
Yes$500 @ 97.6¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
No$500 @ 34.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$456 @ 61.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$430 @ 72.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$312 @ 91.0¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
No$300 @ 96.9¢
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)—
Benoît Saint Denis$300 @ 57.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$231 @ 72.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tecnología
No$200 @ 26.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$119 @ 30.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tecnología
No$116 @ 35.5¢
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?—
No$100 @ 95.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?—
No$100 @ 97.9¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Other
No$100 @ 65.5¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tecnología
No$100 @ 29.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$92 @ 16.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$45 @ 64.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?—
No$20 @ 92.3¢