0xbdbb…084e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbdbbf6301dcdb644ccbb91784a6b29365ab8084e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.4pp

ROI

+39%

Tasa de acierto

30% @ 23.5¢

Brier

0.097

Resueltas

1101

Tamaño med.

$90

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	35% (13/37)	+16%	37
Política	50% (9/18)	+16%	18
Cripto	50% (3/6)	+304%	6
Geopolítica	40% (2/5)	-3%	5
Deportes	25% (1/4)	-95%	4
Tecnología	33% (1/3)	-30%	3

Other37 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (13/37)
ROI
+16%
Política18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (9/18)
ROI
+16%
Cripto6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
+304%
Geopolítica5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (2/5)
ROI
-3%
Deportes4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-95%
Tecnología3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-30%

Historial

40% acierto · 29/73

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$148	46.1¢	Ganó
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$250	25.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$6.1k	58.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$7.5k	26.2¢	Perdió
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	62.5¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$4.4k	86.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$691	36.5¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$3.3k	68.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$1.1k	20.2¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.5k	2.1¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$3.8k	35.1¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.6k	42.6¢	Perdió
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$225	45.0¢	Perdió
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$139	0.6¢	Ganó
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$877	61.1¢	Perdió
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$290	2.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$900	88.8¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1.4k	73.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$1.3k	31.1¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$100	4.0¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	$1.8k	6.8¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$1000	72.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$6.3k	32.2¢	Ganó
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	$170	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$90	0.9¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$1.1k	76.3¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$76	3.2¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$2.5k	82.8¢	Ganó
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$600	60.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$1.3k	58.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$3.9k	72.3¢	Perdió
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	$120	60.0¢	Perdió
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	$1	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	$150	84.0¢	Ganó
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$2.8k	42.5¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$2.4k	45.2¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	29.1¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$374	10.1¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$760	76.0¢	Ganó
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	$1.5k	34.4¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$7.2k	66.3¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$1000	90.0¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	$3.8k	80.1¢	Ganó
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$116	5.8¢	Perdió
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$389	3.5¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$192	2.3¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	$350	70.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	$96	48.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$760	76.0¢	Ganó
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	$1.2k	79.0¢	Ganó

Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$148 @ 46.1¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$6.1k @ 58.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$7.5k @ 26.2¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 62.5¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$4.4k @ 86.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$691 @ 36.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$3.3k @ 68.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 20.2¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$2.5k @ 2.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$3.8k @ 35.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.6k @ 42.6¢
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$225 @ 45.0¢
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?Ganó
No$139 @ 0.6¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Perdió
No$877 @ 61.1¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Ganó
No$290 @ 2.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Perdió
No$900 @ 88.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 73.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$1.3k @ 31.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 4.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Perdió
No$1.8k @ 6.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Ganó
Yes$1000 @ 72.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$6.3k @ 32.2¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Perdió
No$170 @ 17.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Perdió
No$90 @ 0.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 76.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Perdió
Yes$76 @ 3.2¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$2.5k @ 82.8¢
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$600 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 58.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.9k @ 72.3¢
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Perdió
Tatsuro Taira$120 @ 60.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Perdió
No$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Ganó
Yes$150 @ 84.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Perdió
No$2.8k @ 42.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$2.4k @ 45.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.8k @ 29.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$374 @ 10.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$760 @ 76.0¢
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Perdió
No$1.5k @ 34.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$7.2k @ 66.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1000 @ 90.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Ganó
No$3.8k @ 80.1¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$116 @ 5.8¢
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$389 @ 3.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Perdió
Yes$192 @ 2.3¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Ganó
No$350 @ 70.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Perdió
Yes$96 @ 48.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$760 @ 76.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 79.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$504	27.6¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$0	0.8¢
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$0	0.8¢

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$504 @ 27.6¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢