0xbce8…abd4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbce80c1e1af8178ddec78751bdb16164804aabd4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+19.1pp

ROI

+81%

Tasa de acierto

71% @ 51.7¢

Brier

0.193

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	53% (10/19)	+73%	19
Política	73% (11/15)	-2%	15
Deportes	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Geopolítica	50% (1/2)	-37%	2
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+334%	1

Other19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (10/19)
ROI
+73%
Política15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
73% (11/15)
ROI
-2%
Deportes3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-37%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+334%

Historial

57% acierto · 23/40

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	94.3¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	4.5¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	Yes	$5	58.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?	No	$5	21.8¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?	No	$5	96.2¢	Ganó
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?	No	$10	32.9¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$5	78.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	$5	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	$10	49.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	$5	90.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$40	23.0¢	Ganó
Nets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$10	84.3¢	Ganó
Nets vs. Lakers	Nets	$10	13.7¢	Perdió
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Arizona Diamondbacks	$10	22.2¢	Perdió
Blackhawks vs. Rangers	Blackhawks	$10	15.1¢	Perdió
Blackhawks vs. Rangers	Rangers	$10	61.0¢	Ganó
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$5	77.0¢	Perdió
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	$30	78.1¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	4.9¢	Perdió
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Iowa State Cyclones	$10	8.9¢	Perdió
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Tennessee Volunteers	$10	75.9¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$20	59.8¢	Ganó
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	87.5¢	Ganó
Red Wings vs. Sabres	Red Wings	$10	58.0¢	Ganó
Red Wings vs. Sabres	Sabres	$10	21.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	5.3¢	Ganó
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants	New York Yankees	$10	53.0¢	Ganó
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	$10	46.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	$10	78.5¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	82.8¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$5	46.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$5	36.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	$5	79.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	$10	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$5	40.0¢	Perdió
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$5	46.0¢	Ganó
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	$5	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$5	90.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	75.2¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$5	75.1¢	Ganó

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 94.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 4.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?Perdió
No$5 @ 21.8¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$5 @ 96.2¢
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?Perdió
No$10 @ 32.9¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$5 @ 78.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Ganó
No$5 @ 80.0¢
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Perdió
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 90.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$40 @ 23.0¢
Nets vs. LakersGanó
Lakers$10 @ 84.3¢
Nets vs. LakersPerdió
Nets$10 @ 13.7¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersPerdió
Arizona Diamondbacks$10 @ 22.2¢
Blackhawks vs. RangersPerdió
Blackhawks$10 @ 15.1¢
Blackhawks vs. RangersGanó
Rangers$10 @ 61.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 77.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 78.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State CyclonesPerdió
Iowa State Cyclones$10 @ 8.9¢
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State CyclonesGanó
Tennessee Volunteers$10 @ 75.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$20 @ 59.8¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 87.5¢
Red Wings vs. SabresGanó
Red Wings$10 @ 58.0¢
Red Wings vs. SabresPerdió
Sabres$10 @ 21.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 5.3¢
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsGanó
New York Yankees$10 @ 53.0¢
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsPerdió
San Francisco Giants$10 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Ganó
No$10 @ 78.5¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 82.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Ganó
No$5 @ 46.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Ganó
No$5 @ 79.2¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Perdió
No$10 @ 35.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Perdió
No$5 @ 40.0¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$5 @ 46.0¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Perdió
Conor McGregor$5 @ 35.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 90.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 75.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$5 @ 75.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	79.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Política	Yes	$10	70.5¢
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	—	Yes	$5	20.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 79.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Política
Yes$10 @ 70.5¢
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?—
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢