0xbc38…bb0e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbc38bb6c1117fffae09e15bff4eb61d1f604bb0e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.8pp

ROI

+33%

Tasa de acierto

51% @ 43.8¢

Brier

0.207

Resueltas

395

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	44% (56/126)	+32%	126
Deportes	42% (5/12)	+73%	12
Política	13% (1/8)	-98%	8
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other126 apuestas
Tasa acierto
44% (56/126)
ROI
+32%
Deportes12 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (5/12)
ROI
+73%
Política8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
13% (1/8)
ROI
-98%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

42% acierto · 62/147

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5	Over	$1	41.0¢	Ganó
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda Sanchis	Juan Martin	$4	51.0¢	Ganó
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$26	30.2¢	Perdió
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$2	2.2¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$19	64.5¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	31.4¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	No	$79	79.2¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$9	20.7¢	Perdió
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$21	66.6¢	Ganó
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$12	9.2¢	Perdió
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?	Yes	$1	46.0¢	Perdió
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$4	26.2¢	Perdió
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Nathan Cox	Axel Nefve	$16	66.0¢	Ganó
Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Daniel de Jonge	Daniel de Jonge	$19	28.9¢	Perdió
Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Daniel de Jonge	Yi Zhou	$13	60.2¢	Ganó
Liege: Francesco Forti vs Jack Loge	Francesco Forti	$1	72.0¢	Perdió
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers	Detroit Tigers	$5	16.1¢	Perdió
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	No	$4	5.5¢	Perdió
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$76	28.4¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Perdió
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	$3	17.0¢	Perdió
Algeria leading at halftime?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Perdió
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance	Canada	$2	63.0¢	Ganó
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Anyones Legend	$5	63.0¢	Ganó
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Maya Joint	Alexandra Eala	$8	58.0¢	Ganó
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$10	78.3¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	$92	1.6¢	Perdió
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5	Over	$5	3.0¢	Perdió
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	$12	14.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$31	59.9¢	Perdió
Switzerland leading at halftime?	No	$82	56.5¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	$42	42.0¢	Ganó
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	No	$43	39.6¢	Ganó
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	$3	6.7¢	Perdió
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	Yes	$6	52.8¢	Perdió
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	$2	54.0¢	Ganó
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies	Miami Marlins	$7	13.6¢	Perdió
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	$52	60.8¢	Perdió
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Rafael Jodar	$12	40.0¢	Ganó
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Brandon Nakashima	$12	69.0¢	Perdió
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	$2	30.0¢	Perdió
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneau	Aleksandar Vukic	$45	75.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Ganó
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	No	$12	46.5¢	Perdió
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topo	Lorenzo Giustino	$2	62.0¢	Ganó
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topo	Marko Topo	$1	29.0¢	Perdió
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner	ECHO	$4	59.9¢	Ganó

Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Ganó
Over$1 @ 41.0¢
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda SanchisGanó
Juan Martin$4 @ 51.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvancePerdió
Switzerland$26 @ 30.2¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$19 @ 64.5¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 31.4¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Ganó
No$79 @ 79.2¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 20.7¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Ganó
Under$21 @ 66.6¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 9.2¢
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 46.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvancePerdió
Netherlands$4 @ 26.2¢
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Nathan CoxGanó
Axel Nefve$16 @ 66.0¢
Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Daniel de JongePerdió
Daniel de Jonge$19 @ 28.9¢
Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Daniel de JongeGanó
Yi Zhou$13 @ 60.2¢
Liege: Francesco Forti vs Jack LogePerdió
Francesco Forti$1 @ 72.0¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas RangersPerdió
Detroit Tigers$5 @ 16.1¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Perdió
No$4 @ 5.5¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Ganó
Yes$76 @ 28.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Perdió
Over$3 @ 17.0¢
Algeria leading at halftime?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceGanó
Canada$2 @ 63.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerGanó
Anyones Legend$5 @ 63.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Maya JointGanó
Alexandra Eala$8 @ 58.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Perdió
No$10 @ 78.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Perdió
Yes$92 @ 1.6¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Perdió
Over$5 @ 3.0¢
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston AstrosPerdió
Houston Astros$12 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Perdió
No$31 @ 59.9¢
Switzerland leading at halftime?Perdió
No$82 @ 56.5¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila SamsonovaGanó
Liudmila Samsonova$42 @ 42.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Ganó
No$43 @ 39.6¢
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 6.7¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 52.8¢
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesGanó
Colorado Rockies$2 @ 54.0¢
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesPerdió
Miami Marlins$7 @ 13.6¢
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaPerdió
Pablo Carreno Busta$52 @ 60.8¢
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaGanó
Rafael Jodar$12 @ 40.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard StruffPerdió
Brandon Nakashima$12 @ 69.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna KalinskayaPerdió
Anna Kalinskaya$2 @ 30.0¢
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis GalarneauGanó
Aleksandar Vukic$45 @ 75.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScorePerdió
No$12 @ 46.5¢
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko TopoGanó
Lorenzo Giustino$2 @ 62.0¢
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko TopoPerdió
Marko Topo$1 @ 29.0¢
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 1 WinnerGanó
ECHO$4 @ 59.9¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$23	76.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	—	No	$14	31.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	—	Yes	$10	76.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$9	91.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$7	72.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	—	Yes	$5	46.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?	—	Yes	$4	28.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	No	$3	81.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	—	Olympique de Marseille	$2	77.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?	—	Yes	$2	37.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$1	19.2¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$1	16.7¢
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	—	Yes	$0	25.0¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$23 @ 76.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?—
No$14 @ 31.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?—
Yes$10 @ 76.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$9 @ 91.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$7 @ 72.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?—
Yes$5 @ 46.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?—
Yes$4 @ 28.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
No$3 @ 81.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)—
Olympique de Marseille$2 @ 77.0¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?—
Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$1 @ 19.2¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$1 @ 16.7¢
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?—
Yes$0 @ 25.0¢