0xbaa2…2c73

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

-5.6pp

ROI

+7%

Tasa de acierto

38% @ 43.2¢

Brier

0.153

Resueltas

3438

Tamaño med.

$641

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	42% (31/73)	-5%	73
Geopolítica	53% (23/43)	+4%	43
Other	55% (11/20)	+32%	20

Política73 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (31/73)
ROI
-5%
Geopolítica43 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (23/43)
ROI
+4%
Other20 apuestas
Tasa acierto
55% (11/20)
ROI
+32%

Historial

48% acierto · 65/136

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$19.1k	58.9¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$5.6k	72.7¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$9.7k	31.6¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	No	$82.9k	78.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$22.8k	84.9¢	Ganó
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$26.1k	75.3¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$8.6k	29.3¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$796	29.0¢	Perdió
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	No	$66.6k	67.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$1.4k	65.2¢	Ganó
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	39.8¢	Perdió
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	$6.4k	88.6¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$20.2k	81.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$9.5k	5.4¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$975	8.1¢	Perdió
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	$94.7k	70.4¢	Ganó
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$7.9k	25.9¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$419	88.0¢	Ganó
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$1.0k	21.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$552	4.8¢	Perdió
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$7.6k	54.1¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$1.5k	64.8¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$2.4k	27.8¢	Ganó
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$1.0k	60.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$928	32.6¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	$11.1k	72.4¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$1.0k	20.5¢	Perdió
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$26.2k	76.2¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$4.2k	34.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?	Yes	$367	11.0¢	Perdió
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	$36	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$1.8k	57.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$5.3k	14.6¢	Perdió
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?	No	$5.7k	44.8¢	Ganó
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?	Yes	$1.8k	27.6¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$10.4k	55.1¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$15.1k	76.4¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	53.2¢	Perdió
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$13.8k	60.9¢	Ganó
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$36.0k	49.3¢	Perdió
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$14.9k	87.9¢	Ganó
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	$34.2k	84.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$5.9k	28.4¢	Perdió
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?	No	$8.3k	87.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$90.7k	43.1¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$10.4k	69.4¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$22.0k	30.4¢	Perdió
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$7.2k	75.1¢	Ganó
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	No	$16.8k	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	Yes	$5.0k	80.1¢	Perdió

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Perdió
No$19.1k @ 58.9¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$5.6k @ 72.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$9.7k @ 31.6¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Perdió
No$82.9k @ 78.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Ganó
Yes$22.8k @ 84.9¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$26.1k @ 75.3¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
Yes$8.6k @ 29.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Perdió
Yes$796 @ 29.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Perdió
No$66.6k @ 67.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 65.2¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.5k @ 39.8¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$6.4k @ 88.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$20.2k @ 81.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$9.5k @ 5.4¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Perdió
Yes$975 @ 8.1¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$94.7k @ 70.4¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$7.9k @ 25.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Ganó
No$419 @ 88.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 21.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$552 @ 4.8¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Perdió
Yes$7.6k @ 54.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Perdió
No$1.5k @ 64.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Ganó
Yes$2.4k @ 27.8¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$1.0k @ 60.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Ganó
Yes$928 @ 32.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$11.1k @ 72.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 20.5¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Ganó
No$26.2k @ 76.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Perdió
Yes$4.2k @ 34.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? Perdió
Yes$367 @ 11.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$36 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Ganó
No$1.8k @ 57.2¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Perdió
Yes$5.3k @ 14.6¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?Ganó
No$5.7k @ 44.8¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?Perdió
Yes$1.8k @ 27.6¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Perdió
No$10.4k @ 55.1¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Ganó
Yes$15.1k @ 76.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 53.2¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Ganó
No$13.8k @ 60.9¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$36.0k @ 49.3¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$14.9k @ 87.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$34.2k @ 84.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Perdió
Yes$5.9k @ 28.4¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Ganó
No$8.3k @ 87.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$90.7k @ 43.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$10.4k @ 69.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$22.0k @ 30.4¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$7.2k @ 75.1¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Ganó
No$16.8k @ 60.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Perdió
Yes$5.0k @ 80.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$474.1k	84.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$272.6k	73.6¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$138.9k	85.5¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Política	No	$27.7k	81.6¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Política	Yes	$18.3k	66.2¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$17.2k	51.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$13.2k	30.5¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Política	No	$12.2k	75.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$9.8k	83.1¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$8.5k	75.4¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Política	Yes	$7.8k	43.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	Yes	$5.9k	26.3¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Política	Yes	$5.6k	57.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	No	$4.7k	85.0¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$4.2k	83.9¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$4.1k	42.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Política	No	$4.0k	87.9¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Política	No	$3.5k	77.9¢
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	Política	No	$3.1k	81.5¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Política	Yes	$3.0k	60.1¢
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$2.5k	81.1¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$2.4k	89.2¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$2.0k	85.2¢
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$1.9k	81.4¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	Política	Yes	$1.8k	59.1¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Política	No	$1.7k	96.0¢
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Política	No	$1.6k	88.6¢
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	Política	Yes	$1.3k	50.5¢
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?	Política	No	$1.2k	54.8¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	4.1¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$474.1k @ 84.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$272.6k @ 73.6¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolítica
No$138.9k @ 85.5¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Política
No$27.7k @ 81.6¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Política
Yes$18.3k @ 66.2¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$17.2k @ 51.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$13.2k @ 30.5¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Política
No$12.2k @ 75.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$9.8k @ 83.1¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$8.5k @ 75.4¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Política
Yes$7.8k @ 43.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
Yes$5.9k @ 26.3¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Política
Yes$5.6k @ 57.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
No$4.7k @ 85.0¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$4.2k @ 83.9¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Geopolítica
No$4.1k @ 42.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Política
No$4.0k @ 87.9¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Política
No$3.5k @ 77.9¢
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Política
No$3.1k @ 81.5¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Política
Yes$3.0k @ 60.1¢
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Geopolítica
No$2.5k @ 81.1¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Geopolítica
No$2.4k @ 89.2¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Geopolítica
No$2.0k @ 85.2¢
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolítica
No$1.9k @ 81.4¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Política
Yes$1.8k @ 59.1¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Política
No$1.7k @ 96.0¢
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Política
No$1.6k @ 88.6¢
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?Política
Yes$1.3k @ 50.5¢
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?Política
No$1.2k @ 54.8¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 4.1¢