0xb8fe…ce76

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb8fe807aa951e35af53fd0fee36abc303864ce76
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

-4.4pp

ROI

+69%

Tasa de acierto

17% @ 21.3¢

Brier

0.077

Resueltas

645

Tamaño med.

$113

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	39% (15/38)	+141%	38
Política	14% (5/36)	-80%	36
Geopolítica	33% (3/9)	+43%	9
Cripto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other38 apuestas
Tasa acierto
39% (15/38)
ROI
+141%
Política36 apuestas
Tasa acierto
14% (5/36)
ROI
-80%
Geopolítica9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (3/9)
ROI
+43%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

27% acierto · 23/84

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	No	$951	88.7¢	Ganó
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	$100	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$500	9.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?	Yes	$567	4.0¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$1.5k	12.7¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by July 31?	Yes	$98	4.9¢	Perdió
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$2.0k	28.0¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$250	25.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	$514	1.5¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$6.7k	40.6¢	Ganó
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$304	89.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$279	13.4¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	Yes	$515	18.3¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$250	5.9¢	Perdió
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?	Yes	$275	7.2¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$20.4k	41.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$252	7.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 7?	Yes	$6	1.2¢	Perdió
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	$526	56.1¢	Perdió
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$749	25.7¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	$515	24.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	$1	55.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$2.5k	25.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$250	2.4¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	$152	1.7¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$250	7.2¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$125	14.5¢	Ganó
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	$7.5k	87.8¢	Ganó
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	Yes	$750	17.6¢	Perdió
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$500	43.6¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$750	13.1¢	Perdió
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$125	7.4¢	Perdió
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?	No	$1.0k	83.7¢	Ganó
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	78.8¢	Perdió
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	$397	81.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$125	11.6¢	Perdió
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	Yes	$173	60.7¢	Perdió
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$100	9.0¢	Perdió
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?	Yes	$150	54.5¢	Perdió
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$125	1.5¢	Perdió
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$166	8.3¢	Perdió
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	$250	33.8¢	Perdió
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	$500	81.6¢	Ganó
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	$129	12.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$50	3.5¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	$4.3k	71.5¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$119	22.2¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on September 6?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Perdió

Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$951 @ 88.7¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 0.3¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$500 @ 9.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Perdió
Yes$567 @ 4.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Perdió
Yes$1.5k @ 12.7¢
Iran leadership change by July 31?Perdió
Yes$98 @ 4.9¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Perdió
Yes$2.0k @ 28.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Perdió
Yes$514 @ 1.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Ganó
Yes$6.7k @ 40.6¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Ganó
Yes$304 @ 89.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$279 @ 13.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?Perdió
Yes$515 @ 18.3¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Perdió
Yes$250 @ 5.9¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Perdió
Yes$275 @ 7.2¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$20.4k @ 41.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$252 @ 7.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 7?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.2¢
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Perdió
Yes$526 @ 56.1¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$749 @ 25.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Perdió
Yes$515 @ 24.0¢
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Perdió
Yes$2.5k @ 25.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$250 @ 2.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Perdió
Yes$152 @ 1.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$250 @ 7.2¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$125 @ 14.5¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$7.5k @ 87.8¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Perdió
Yes$750 @ 17.6¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Perdió
Yes$500 @ 43.6¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Perdió
Yes$750 @ 13.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Perdió
Yes$125 @ 7.4¢
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 83.7¢
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 78.8¢
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$397 @ 81.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$125 @ 11.6¢
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Perdió
Yes$173 @ 60.7¢
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?Perdió
Yes$150 @ 54.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Perdió
Yes$125 @ 1.5¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$166 @ 8.3¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Perdió
No$250 @ 33.8¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Ganó
Yes$500 @ 81.6¢
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Perdió
Yes$129 @ 12.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 3.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$4.3k @ 71.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$119 @ 22.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on September 6?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Política	No	$25.0k	50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Política	Yes	$25.0k	50.0¢
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Ciencia	No	$632	45.0¢
Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?	Tecnología	Yes	$34	48.4¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolítica
No$25.0k @ 50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolítica
Yes$25.0k @ 50.0¢
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ciencia
No$632 @ 45.0¢
Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?Tecnología
Yes$34 @ 48.4¢