0xb782…752b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb7825bbbea80fa19b6c4c6e81187edf7100e752b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+8.3pp

ROI

+22%

Tasa de acierto

51% @ 42.5¢

Brier

0.169

Resueltas

274

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	61% (17/28)	+53%	28
Política	48% (13/27)	-39%	27
Cripto	60% (3/5)	+61%	5
Deportes	33% (1/3)	-4%	3
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other28 apuestas
Tasa acierto
61% (17/28)
ROI
+53%
Política27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (13/27)
ROI
-39%
Cripto5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (3/5)
ROI
+61%
Deportes3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-4%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

53% acierto · 34/64

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	58.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	21.9¢	Perdió
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	$1	39.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$2	74.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$14	16.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$1	83.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$6	21.4¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$2	78.8¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$5	75.1¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$3	14.6¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$27	45.5¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$13	18.2¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	$1	35.0¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$3	31.5¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$8	1.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$4	69.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$11	14.2¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$5	32.7¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$4	63.6¢	Ganó
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$1	82.0¢	Ganó
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$5	7.6¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$2	89.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1	23.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$3	73.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	No	$1	65.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$6	28.9¢	Perdió
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$9	48.7¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	$0	28.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	81.0¢	Ganó
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$1	10.5¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	$4	48.3¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$7	9.1¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$6	56.3¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	28.9¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$16	47.5¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$7	45.6¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$8	29.5¢	Perdió
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$5	75.3¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$3	87.0¢	Ganó
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	No	$1	89.0¢	Ganó
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	59.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	38.2¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	$3	78.7¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$2	7.0¢	Perdió

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 58.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 21.9¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Ganó
No$1 @ 39.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$2 @ 74.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 16.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 83.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 21.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$2 @ 78.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$5 @ 75.1¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 14.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$27 @ 45.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 18.2¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Ganó
No$1 @ 35.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Ganó
No$3 @ 31.5¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 1.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Perdió
No$4 @ 69.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 14.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 32.7¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 63.6¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Ganó
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 7.6¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Ganó
No$2 @ 89.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 73.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 28.9¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 48.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$0 @ 28.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 81.0¢
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$4 @ 48.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 9.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$6 @ 56.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 28.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$16 @ 47.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$7 @ 45.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 29.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$5 @ 75.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 87.0¢
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Ganó
No$1 @ 89.0¢
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 59.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 38.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Ganó
No$3 @ 78.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Geopolítica	Yes	$25	61.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	Yes	$9	27.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$9	70.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	No	$8	62.4¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$8	83.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	Yes	$7	13.3¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$7	5.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Política	No	$5	75.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$5	44.4¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$4	30.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$3	91.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$3	9.3¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	No	$2	82.9¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Deportes	No	$2	86.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$2	8.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	Yes	$1	33.0¢
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$1	4.0¢
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Cripto	No	$1	97.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	No	$1	93.0¢
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$1	73.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	No	$1	89.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Política	Yes	$1	28.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	No	$1	12.0¢

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Geopolítica
Yes$25 @ 61.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
Yes$9 @ 27.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$9 @ 70.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
No$8 @ 62.4¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$8 @ 83.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
Yes$7 @ 13.3¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$7 @ 5.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Política
No$5 @ 75.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$5 @ 44.4¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Deportes
Yes$4 @ 30.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$3 @ 91.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$3 @ 9.3¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
No$2 @ 82.9¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Deportes
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$2 @ 8.1¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Cripto
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Cripto
No$1 @ 97.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
No$1 @ 93.0¢
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$1 @ 73.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
No$1 @ 89.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Política
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
No$1 @ 12.0¢