0xb6ce…895d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb6ce892dd3e01d4e30264f15fd9e61a4f62f895d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+9.0pp

ROI

+35%

Tasa de acierto

45% @ 35.9¢

Brier

0.167

Resueltas

399

Tamaño med.

$37

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	36% (12/33)	-6%	33
Other	48% (10/21)	+73%	21
Cripto	36% (4/11)	+55%	11
Deportes	56% (5/9)	-14%	9
Geopolítica	38% (3/8)	-23%	8
Tecnología	25% (1/4)	-5%	4

Política33 apuestas
Tasa acierto
36% (12/33)
ROI
-6%
Other21 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (10/21)
ROI
+73%
Cripto11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
36% (4/11)
ROI
+55%
Deportes9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
56% (5/9)
ROI
-14%
Geopolítica8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (3/8)
ROI
-23%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-5%

Historial

41% acierto · 35/86

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Perdió
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$6	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$15	88.0¢	Ganó
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$23	64.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$66	73.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	22.3¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$8	40.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$20	81.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$191	14.6¢	Perdió
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$5	49.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	$17	55.0¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$4	47.0¢	Ganó
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$9	21.0¢	Perdió
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14?	Yes	$8	1.0¢	Perdió
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	No	$2	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$5	22.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$5.9k	53.4¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$916	29.3¢	Perdió
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	No	$9	59.8¢	Ganó
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$39	33.4¢	Perdió
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$2	33.0¢	Ganó
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$8	65.0¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$4	48.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$159	83.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$143	12.5¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	No	$40	64.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	Yes	$6	9.5¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?	No	$5	66.5¢	Ganó
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$10	83.2¢	Ganó
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$80	6.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$472	65.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$869	34.8¢	Ganó
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$7	42.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$9	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$85	89.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$31	74.0¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$32	9.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$17	88.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$67	13.4¢	Perdió
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$10	54.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$260	79.8¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$119	38.1¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	25.0¢	Perdió

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 66.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 88.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Ganó
No$23 @ 64.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$66 @ 73.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.6k @ 22.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$8 @ 40.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$20 @ 81.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$191 @ 14.6¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
No$17 @ 55.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 47.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 21.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 1.0¢
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$5.9k @ 53.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$916 @ 29.3¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Ganó
No$9 @ 59.8¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Perdió
No$39 @ 33.4¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Perdió
No$8 @ 65.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 48.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$159 @ 83.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$143 @ 12.5¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Ganó
No$40 @ 64.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 9.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?Ganó
No$5 @ 66.5¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Ganó
No$10 @ 83.2¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Perdió
Yes$80 @ 6.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$472 @ 65.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$869 @ 34.8¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 42.4¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Perdió
No$9 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Ganó
Yes$85 @ 89.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Perdió
No$1 @ 8.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 74.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$32 @ 9.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$17 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$67 @ 13.4¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 54.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$260 @ 79.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$119 @ 38.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 25.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$1.2k	87.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Política	No	$969	95.9¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$843	94.4¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Geopolítica	Yes	$809	91.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	No	$480	88.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	No	$422	54.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$418	88.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	No	$298	97.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	Yes	$276	13.3¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$263	88.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$179	9.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	Cripto	No	$169	85.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$167	97.8¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Política	No	$164	95.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Política	Yes	$157	43.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	Yes	$133	29.4¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$125	93.7¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	No	$90	90.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?	Cripto	No	$86	88.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$83	45.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$83	44.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$80	72.5¢
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Política	Yes	$77	94.4¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Política	Yes	$74	97.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Política	No	$73	93.5¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	Yes	$67	60.4¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Política	No	$67	96.5¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$64	27.1¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	No	$64	20.2¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	No	$62	83.0¢

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$1.2k @ 87.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Política
No$969 @ 95.9¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$843 @ 94.4¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Geopolítica
Yes$809 @ 91.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
No$480 @ 88.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
No$422 @ 54.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$418 @ 88.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
No$298 @ 97.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
Yes$276 @ 13.3¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolítica
No$263 @ 88.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$179 @ 9.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Cripto
No$169 @ 85.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$167 @ 97.8¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Política
No$164 @ 95.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Política
Yes$157 @ 43.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
Yes$133 @ 29.4¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Política
No$125 @ 93.7¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
No$90 @ 90.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Cripto
No$86 @ 88.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$83 @ 45.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$83 @ 44.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$80 @ 72.5¢
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?Política
Yes$77 @ 94.4¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Política
Yes$74 @ 97.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Política
No$73 @ 93.5¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
Yes$67 @ 60.4¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?Política
No$67 @ 96.5¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Cripto
Yes$64 @ 27.1¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
No$64 @ 20.2¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
No$62 @ 83.0¢