0xb523…4b8f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb52306b7b6607209eb4b34c5470b6d00c0aa4b8f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+15.3pp

ROI

+19%

Tasa de acierto

35% @ 19.3¢

Brier

0.193

Resueltas

523

Tamaño med.

$19

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	33% (27/83)	+21%	83
Tecnología	50% (5/10)	+34%	10
Política	50% (1/2)	-46%	2
Economía	100% (1/1)	+87%	1
Cripto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other83 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (27/83)
ROI
+21%
Tecnología10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (5/10)
ROI
+34%
Política2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-46%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+87%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

35% acierto · 34/97

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?	No	$93	74.8¢	Ganó
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	Yes	$3	38.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on February 6, 2026?	Yes	$1	6.9¢	Perdió
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$5	35.5¢	Ganó
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	No	$15	18.3¢	Perdió
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?	Yes	$29	62.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 20, 2026?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?	Yes	$35	7.3¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	$40	10.0¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	$187	37.4¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?	Yes	$8	75.0¢	Ganó
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?	No	$0	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on February 20, 2026?	Yes	$75	16.2¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on February 27, 2026?	Yes	$148	42.7¢	Ganó
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$1	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	Yes	$126	42.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$132	39.0¢	Perdió
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$6	12.0¢	Perdió
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	No	$24	12.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?	No	$98	30.5¢	Ganó
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.5 on February 27, 2026?	Yes	$6	2.4¢	Perdió
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	$4	2.9¢	Perdió
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 2 above $153?	No	$5	12.6¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	$5	13.0¢	Ganó
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?	No	$10	5.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	63.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	$750	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Apple dip to $232 in February?	No	$67	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$24	8.1¢	Perdió
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?	Yes	$292	85.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 13, 2026?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	No	$334	23.6¢	Ganó
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026?	Yes	$9	13.3¢	Ganó
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	$14	6.1¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 13, 2026?	Yes	$62	10.9¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 27, 2026?	Yes	$65	9.8¢	Perdió
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$176	35.1¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$280	40.0¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$248	4.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026?	Yes	$74	36.9¢	Ganó
Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?	Yes	$39	84.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	$80	80.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?	No	$213	52.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?	Yes	$243	46.2¢	Ganó
Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Perdió

Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?Ganó
No$93 @ 74.8¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on February 6, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 6.9¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Ganó
No$5 @ 35.5¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Perdió
No$15 @ 18.3¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 62.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 20, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?Ganó
Yes$35 @ 7.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 10.0¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Perdió
Yes$187 @ 37.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 75.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Perdió
No$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on February 20, 2026?Perdió
Yes$75 @ 16.2¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on February 27, 2026?Ganó
Yes$148 @ 42.7¢
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Perdió
Yes$126 @ 42.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Perdió
Yes$132 @ 39.0¢
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?Perdió
No$24 @ 12.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?Ganó
No$98 @ 30.5¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.5 on February 27, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 2.4¢
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 2.9¢
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 2 above $153?Ganó
No$5 @ 12.6¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Ganó
No$5 @ 13.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?Perdió
No$10 @ 5.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 63.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Ganó
Yes$750 @ 75.0¢
Will Apple dip to $232 in February?Ganó
No$67 @ 67.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 8.1¢
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?Ganó
Yes$292 @ 85.9¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 13, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Ganó
No$334 @ 23.6¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 13, 2026?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 13.3¢
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 6.1¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 13, 2026?Perdió
Yes$62 @ 10.9¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 27, 2026?Perdió
Yes$65 @ 9.8¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$176 @ 35.1¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$280 @ 40.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Perdió
Yes$248 @ 4.8¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026?Ganó
Yes$74 @ 36.9¢
Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?Ganó
Yes$39 @ 84.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Perdió
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?Perdió
No$213 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?Ganó
Yes$243 @ 46.2¢
Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$784	38.9¢
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$209	27.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$190	46.5¢
Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$56	46.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$52	26.0¢
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$36	67.4¢
Will The Romantic (Bruno Mars) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$35	6.7¢
Will Dandelion (Ella Langley) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$14	5.2¢
Will The Life of a Showgirl (Taylor Swift) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$9	8.7¢
Will The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$4	10.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Tecnología	Yes	$0	9.0¢
Will Magdalena Bay win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$0	0.3¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$784 @ 38.9¢
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Tecnología
No$209 @ 27.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$190 @ 46.5¢
Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Cultura
Yes$56 @ 46.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$36 @ 67.4¢
Will The Romantic (Bruno Mars) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Cultura
Yes$35 @ 6.7¢
Will Dandelion (Ella Langley) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Cultura
Yes$14 @ 5.2¢
Will The Life of a Showgirl (Taylor Swift) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Cultura
Yes$9 @ 8.7¢
Will The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Cultura
Yes$4 @ 10.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Tecnología
Yes$0 @ 9.0¢
Will Magdalena Bay win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Cultura
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢