0xb4b2…23fd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb4b2c182ca2916eebcb478442b1b17ccf67d23fd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

-8.5pp

ROI

+46%

Tasa de acierto

19% @ 27.8¢

Brier

0.128

Resueltas

202

Tamaño med.

$19

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	24% (11/46)	+105%	46
Política	17% (1/6)	-49%	6
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+22%	1
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other46 apuestas
Tasa acierto
24% (11/46)
ROI
+105%
Política6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
17% (1/6)
ROI
-49%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

24% acierto · 13/54

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	$10	4.8¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	Yes	$7	0.1¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$2	10.4¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$21	3.0¢	Perdió
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	$527	22.9¢	Perdió
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$31	1.3¢	Perdió
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$35	39.4¢	Ganó
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?	Yes	$39	29.0¢	Perdió
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	No	$6	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?	Yes	$8	1.9¢	Perdió
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?	Yes	$126	86.1¢	Ganó
Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	$202	44.9¢	Perdió
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?	Yes	$12	12.4¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$932	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?	Yes	$1	7.9¢	Perdió
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?	Yes	$1	58.0¢	Perdió
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?	No	$90	20.6¢	Perdió
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?	Yes	$600	81.7¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$5	0.5¢	Perdió
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	Yes	$20	90.0¢	Ganó
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	No	$148	13.0¢	Perdió
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$6	2.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Perdió
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?	No	$3	6.0¢	Perdió
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Perdió
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$17	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$26	29.0¢	Perdió
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?	Yes	$58	8.1¢	Perdió
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?	Yes	$31	8.8¢	Perdió
Will the government shutdown end November 14?	Yes	$8	3.5¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 3?	No	$8	88.0¢	Ganó
Michigan vs. Northwestern	Michigan	$9	45.0¢	Ganó
Michigan vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	$9	45.0¢	Perdió
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	$1	27.4¢	Perdió
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?	No	$6	6.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?	No	$139	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	No	$128	8.1¢	Perdió
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?	Yes	$6	5.6¢	Perdió
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	Yes	$175	2.7¢	Perdió
Will the government shutdown end November 13?	Yes	$139	4.7¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	Yes	$10	1.1¢	Perdió
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?	Yes	$10	9.5¢	Perdió
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	$3	9.0¢	Perdió
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?	No	$1	82.0¢	Ganó
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?	Yes	$31	16.8¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$41	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?	Yes	$26	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Perdió
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?	No	$1	80.0¢	Ganó

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 4.8¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 10.4¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Perdió
No$21 @ 3.0¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Perdió
Yes$527 @ 22.9¢
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 1.3¢
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Ganó
Yes$35 @ 39.4¢
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Perdió
Yes$39 @ 29.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Perdió
No$6 @ 1.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 1.9¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Ganó
Yes$126 @ 86.1¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Perdió
No$202 @ 44.9¢
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 12.4¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Ganó
No$932 @ 67.0¢
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 7.9¢
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 58.0¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Perdió
No$90 @ 20.6¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Ganó
Yes$600 @ 81.7¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$5 @ 0.5¢
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 90.0¢
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Perdió
No$148 @ 13.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 2.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or below on August 17?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Perdió
No$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 0.8¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 29.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?Perdió
Yes$58 @ 8.1¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 8.8¢
Will the government shutdown end November 14?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on July 3?Ganó
No$8 @ 88.0¢
Michigan vs. NorthwesternGanó
Michigan$9 @ 45.0¢
Michigan vs. NorthwesternPerdió
Northwestern$9 @ 45.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 27.4¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Perdió
No$6 @ 6.5¢
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Ganó
No$139 @ 89.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Perdió
No$128 @ 8.1¢
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 5.6¢
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Perdió
Yes$175 @ 2.7¢
Will the government shutdown end November 13?Ganó
Yes$139 @ 4.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 9.5¢
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Ganó
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 16.8¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$41 @ 82.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 7.0¢
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Ganó
No$1 @ 80.0¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$67	67.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$45	90.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$35	70.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$67 @ 67.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$45 @ 90.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$35 @ 70.0¢