0xb2a3…79e0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb2a309a61ca9ed5db26e9fdda3a19ff4ae3a79e0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+13.8pp

ROI

+161%

Tasa de acierto

54% @ 40.5¢

Brier

0.206

Resueltas

258

Tamaño med.

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	52% (23/44)	+322%	44
Tecnología	37% (7/19)	-63%	19
Política	59% (10/17)	+18%	17
Geopolítica	50% (5/10)	-9%	10
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+59%	1

Other44 apuestas
Tasa acierto
52% (23/44)
ROI
+322%
Tecnología19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
37% (7/19)
ROI
-63%
Política17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (10/17)
ROI
+18%
Geopolítica10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (5/10)
ROI
-9%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+59%

Historial

51% acierto · 46/91

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$53	14.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	76.0¢	Ganó
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?	No	$4	88.0¢	Ganó
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$6	18.0¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$3	14.5¢	Perdió
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$3	13.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	43.0¢	Ganó
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$4	87.0¢	Ganó
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	37.0¢	Perdió
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	87.5¢	Ganó
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	$16	1.7¢	Perdió
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$2	45.2¢	Ganó
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	$2	36.0¢	Perdió
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	$10	64.3¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Perdió
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$5	24.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$30	65.1¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$8	28.9¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?	Yes	$5	72.0¢	Perdió
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	$2	90.0¢	Ganó
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	87.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$10	71.2¢	Ganó
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$89	51.5¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?	No	$3	66.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$20	55.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$6	25.8¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	No	$3	27.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$5	10.7¢	Perdió
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$5	0.7¢	Perdió
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Perdió
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$29	23.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	37.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$2	29.0¢	Perdió
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	$3	48.7¢	Perdió
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$14	62.3¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$13	30.2¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?	No	$12	77.0¢	Perdió
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$1	18.4¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?	Yes	$4	36.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$5	36.0¢	Ganó
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	No	$4	87.5¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Yes	$3	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$11	11.6¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	No	$5	77.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Perdió
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	$8	3.1¢	Perdió
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	$3	51.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$6	79.3¢	Ganó

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Perdió
Yes$53 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$2 @ 76.0¢
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$4 @ 88.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 18.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Perdió
No$3 @ 14.5¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 13.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 43.0¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 37.0¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 87.5¢
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 1.7¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Ganó
No$2 @ 45.2¢
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Perdió
No$10 @ 64.3¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Perdió
No$5 @ 24.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$30 @ 65.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 28.9¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 72.0¢
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 90.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 71.2¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$89 @ 51.5¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Perdió
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Ganó
No$20 @ 55.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 25.8¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Ganó
No$3 @ 27.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$5 @ 10.7¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Ganó
Yes$29 @ 23.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 37.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Perdió
No$2 @ 29.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Perdió
No$3 @ 48.7¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 62.3¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 30.2¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Perdió
No$12 @ 77.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 18.4¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 36.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Ganó
No$4 @ 87.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 11.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$5 @ 77.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Perdió
No$8 @ 3.1¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 51.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Ganó
No$6 @ 79.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$29	84.0¢
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$23	27.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	No	$22	54.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$15	81.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$14	87.9¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	No	$11	86.0¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Política	No	$10	92.0¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$8	70.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$8	94.9¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?	—	No	$7	97.0¢
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	—	No	$6	92.8¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$6	92.1¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	—	Yes	$5	35.1¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	—	No	$5	90.7¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?	—	No	$4	97.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$4	92.7¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$4	73.5¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$3	94.8¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tecnología	No	$3	89.6¢
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Cripto	No	$3	95.2¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$3	88.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?	—	No	$3	96.0¢
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	—	No	$3	91.9¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Cripto	Yes	$2	9.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	—	Yes	$2	63.7¢
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$2	94.8¢
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$2	65.4¢
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	—	Yes	$2	22.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Tecnología	No	$2	46.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	—	Yes	$2	35.1¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$29 @ 84.0¢
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$23 @ 27.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
No$22 @ 54.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
No$15 @ 81.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Política
No$14 @ 87.9¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
No$11 @ 86.0¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?Política
No$10 @ 92.0¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$8 @ 70.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Política
No$8 @ 94.9¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?—
No$7 @ 97.0¢
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?—
No$6 @ 92.8¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$6 @ 92.1¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?—
Yes$5 @ 35.1¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?—
No$5 @ 90.7¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?—
No$4 @ 97.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Política
No$4 @ 92.7¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$4 @ 73.5¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Política
No$3 @ 94.8¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tecnología
No$3 @ 89.6¢
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Cripto
No$3 @ 95.2¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$3 @ 88.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?—
No$3 @ 96.0¢
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?—
No$3 @ 91.9¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Cripto
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?—
Yes$2 @ 63.7¢
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$2 @ 94.8¢
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tecnología
No$2 @ 65.4¢
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?—
Yes$2 @ 22.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tecnología
No$2 @ 46.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?—
Yes$2 @ 35.1¢