0xb260…9d59

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb26080fb188f2ecb132e2577243b6011c71c9d59
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+18.4pp

ROI

+16%

Tasa de acierto

74% @ 55.9¢

Brier

0.082

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	54% (7/13)	+17%	13
Política	86% (6/7)	+28%	7
Tecnología	75% (3/4)	-11%	4
Deportes	100% (4/4)	+71%	4
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+25%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Other13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (7/13)
ROI
+17%
Política7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
86% (6/7)
ROI
+28%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
-11%
Deportes4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (4/4)
ROI
+71%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+25%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

Historial

73% acierto · 22/30

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$1	88.0¢	Ganó
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$2	49.9¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	76.5¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?	Yes	$10	85.0¢	Ganó
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	$13	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$1	64.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$3	65.0¢	Ganó
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	67.0¢	Ganó
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$10	84.0¢	Ganó
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$5	37.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$10	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Trump Account" in May?	Yes	$5	81.4¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	82.0¢	Ganó
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$5	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Perdió
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$1	2.8¢	Perdió
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	$5	58.0¢	Ganó
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	7.2¢	Perdió
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?	Yes	$1	86.0¢	Ganó
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$2	12.4¢	Perdió
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$1	57.0¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	61.4¢	Ganó
GPT-5.5 released by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	7.8¢	Perdió
AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	$10	86.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$20	74.0¢	Ganó
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	34.0¢	Ganó
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	$17	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?	Yes	$20	34.5¢	Perdió

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 88.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 49.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 76.5¢
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 85.0¢
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Ganó
Yes$13 @ 67.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 64.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 65.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 67.0¢
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 84.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 37.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$10 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump say "Trump Account" in May?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 81.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 82.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 80.0¢
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 7.2¢
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 12.4¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 57.0¢
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 61.4¢
GPT-5.5 released by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 7.8¢
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Ganó
No$10 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$20 @ 74.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 84.0¢
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 34.5¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$100	84.7¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Negocios	Yes	$20	89.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Política	No	$20	87.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tecnología	No	$15	87.8¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	No	$15	90.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$14	80.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$13	77.3¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$11	28.1¢
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?	Tecnología	Yes	$11	36.0¢
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$10	57.8¢
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$10	72.7¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$10	32.0¢
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$10	97.6¢
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$10	73.7¢
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$10	68.3¢
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Política	Yes	$10	97.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$10	83.0¢
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$10	74.0¢
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	No	$10	62.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Política	Yes	$10	58.0¢
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Política	No	$10	50.5¢
Revolut IPO before 2027?	Negocios	Yes	$10	10.0¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Negocios	Yes	$8	79.3¢
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$8	75.0¢
OpenAI acquired before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$8	75.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	Política	No	$7	90.0¢
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?	Tecnología	No	$6	99.1¢
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Tecnología	Yes	$6	17.6¢
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	—	No	$6	58.0¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Política	Yes	$5	52.0¢

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tecnología
Yes$100 @ 84.7¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Negocios
Yes$20 @ 89.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Política
No$20 @ 87.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tecnología
No$15 @ 87.8¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
No$15 @ 90.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tecnología
No$14 @ 80.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$13 @ 77.3¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$11 @ 28.1¢
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?Tecnología
Yes$11 @ 36.0¢
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$10 @ 57.8¢
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$10 @ 72.7¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$10 @ 97.6¢
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Tecnología
No$10 @ 73.7¢
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tecnología
No$10 @ 68.3¢
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Política
Yes$10 @ 97.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$10 @ 83.0¢
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tecnología
No$10 @ 74.0¢
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Política
No$10 @ 62.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Política
Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Política
No$10 @ 50.5¢
Revolut IPO before 2027?Negocios
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Negocios
Yes$8 @ 79.3¢
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Tecnología
No$8 @ 75.0¢
OpenAI acquired before 2027?Tecnología
No$8 @ 75.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Política
No$7 @ 90.0¢
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?Tecnología
No$6 @ 99.1¢
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tecnología
Yes$6 @ 17.6¢
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?—
No$6 @ 58.0¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Política
Yes$5 @ 52.0¢