0xb23e…829a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb23e88a3e729951c1992b361435a5c410fcf829a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.2pp

ROI

+25%

Tasa de acierto

58% @ 51.5¢

Brier

0.190

Resueltas

665

Tamaño med.

$100

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	61% (68/111)	+14%	111
Política	55% (6/11)	+45%	11
Deportes	71% (5/7)	+114%	7
Cripto	33% (1/3)	+57%	3
Geopolítica	100% (2/2)	+51%	2
Cultura	50% (1/2)	+37%	2
Tecnología	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other111 apuestas
Tasa acierto
61% (68/111)
ROI
+14%
Política11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
55% (6/11)
ROI
+45%
Deportes7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (5/7)
ROI
+114%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
+57%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+51%
Cultura2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+37%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

61% acierto · 83/137

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$993	77.7¢	Ganó
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$67	66.8¢	Perdió
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$453	75.5¢	Ganó
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Vitality	$262	65.5¢	Ganó
Houston vs. Texas Tech	Texas Tech	$208	67.0¢	Ganó
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$370	72.6¢	Ganó
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$190	50.0¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$929	75.6¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$348	21.7¢	Ganó
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?	No	$494	70.6¢	Ganó
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?	Yes	$4	1.5¢	Perdió
Cowboys vs. Giants	Cowboys	$119	59.5¢	Perdió
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?	Yes	$160	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$83	43.0¢	Perdió
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$124	62.2¢	Ganó
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	$149	49.5¢	Ganó
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$963	68.6¢	Ganó
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$60	12.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$2.3k	73.1¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$54	30.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?	Yes	$452	67.8¢	Ganó
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$534	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$376	74.5¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	$48	32.3¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$750	75.0¢	Ganó
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$40	4.0¢	Perdió
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	T1	$162	54.0¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?	No	$865	34.8¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?	Yes	$76	76.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$190	76.1¢	Ganó
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	Galorys	$63	63.0¢	Perdió
Valorant: Team Falcons VEGA vs Gen.G GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Pacific Playoffs	Team Falcons VEGA	$77	41.7¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$1.2k	78.1¢	Ganó
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)	Cameron Nelson	$63	42.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$618	60.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$1.3k	29.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$906	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	$346	69.2¢	Ganó
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	No	$1.0k	73.2¢	Ganó
UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)	Felipe Lima	$160	65.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$6.9k	70.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$155	23.8¢	Perdió
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$186	86.4¢	Perdió
Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck	Ilia Simakin	$70	70.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$1.7k	84.8¢	Ganó
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	Yes	$47	45.7¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$670	67.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	No	$575	76.7¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$335	67.0¢	Ganó
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	$1.0k	62.3¢	Perdió

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Ganó
No$993 @ 77.7¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Perdió
Yes$67 @ 66.8¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$453 @ 75.5¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsGanó
Vitality$262 @ 65.5¢
Houston vs. Texas TechGanó
Texas Tech$208 @ 67.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$370 @ 72.6¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Perdió
Yes$190 @ 50.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$929 @ 75.6¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
Yes$348 @ 21.7¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Ganó
No$494 @ 70.6¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 1.5¢
Cowboys vs. GiantsPerdió
Cowboys$119 @ 59.5¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Ganó
Yes$160 @ 80.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Perdió
No$83 @ 43.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Ganó
Yes$124 @ 62.2¢
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Ganó
No$149 @ 49.5¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Ganó
No$963 @ 68.6¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Perdió
Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$2.3k @ 73.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$54 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Ganó
Yes$452 @ 67.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Ganó
No$534 @ 89.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Ganó
Yes$376 @ 74.5¢
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Ganó
Yes$48 @ 32.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Ganó
Yes$750 @ 75.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 4.0¢
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerPerdió
T1$162 @ 54.0¢
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Perdió
No$865 @ 34.8¢
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Ganó
Yes$76 @ 76.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Ganó
No$190 @ 76.1¢
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba PlayoffsPerdió
Galorys$63 @ 63.0¢
Valorant: Team Falcons VEGA vs Gen.G GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Pacific PlayoffsPerdió
Team Falcons VEGA$77 @ 41.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 78.1¢
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)Ganó
Cameron Nelson$63 @ 42.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Ganó
No$618 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$1.3k @ 29.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$906 @ 60.0¢
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ganó
Yes$346 @ 69.2¢
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 73.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)Ganó
Felipe Lima$160 @ 65.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$6.9k @ 70.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$155 @ 23.8¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Perdió
No$186 @ 86.4¢
Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter HeckGanó
Ilia Simakin$70 @ 70.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Ganó
No$1.7k @ 84.8¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 45.7¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$670 @ 67.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Ganó
No$575 @ 76.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Ganó
Yes$335 @ 67.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Perdió
No$1.0k @ 62.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Política	No	$1.8k	58.5¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$617	73.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$317	53.0¢
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027?	—	No	$23	53.0¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Política
No$1.8k @ 58.5¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?—
No$617 @ 73.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tecnología
No$317 @ 53.0¢
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027?—
No$23 @ 53.0¢