0xb23e…829a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb23e88a3e729951c1992b361435a5c410fcf829a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+4.0pp

ROI

+11%

Tasa de acierto

57% @ 52.8¢

Brier

0.187

Resueltas

1639

Tamaño med.

$81

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	68% (201/295)	+10%	295
Política	73% (118/161)	+19%	161
Deportes	59% (54/91)	+30%	91
Cultura	63% (24/38)	+21%	38
Tecnología	63% (19/30)	-16%	30
Negocios	50% (15/30)	+31%	30
Geopolítica	80% (20/25)	+22%	25
Ciencia	57% (4/7)	-61%	7
Cripto	29% (2/7)	-2%	7
Economía	100% (3/3)	+135%	3

Other295 apuestas
Tasa acierto
68% (201/295)
ROI
+10%
Política161 apuestas
Tasa acierto
73% (118/161)
ROI
+19%
Deportes91 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (54/91)
ROI
+30%
Cultura38 apuestas
Tasa acierto
63% (24/38)
ROI
+21%
Tecnología30 apuestas
Tasa acierto
63% (19/30)
ROI
-16%
Negocios30 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (15/30)
ROI
+31%
Geopolítica25 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (20/25)
ROI
+22%
Ciencia7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
57% (4/7)
ROI
-61%
Cripto7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
29% (2/7)
ROI
-2%
Economía3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (3/3)
ROI
+135%

Historial

67% acierto · 460/687

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will AMD say "Debt" during earnings call?	Yes	$31	54.6¢	Ganó
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	No	$302	60.4¢	Perdió
Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$25	25.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?	No	$38	91.5¢	Ganó
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$325	65.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	$138	55.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	$72	24.0¢	Ganó
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	No	$211	69.7¢	Ganó
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth October 2026	OpenAI	$57	96.9¢	Ganó
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $9.25B by October 31?	No	$9	97.0¢	Ganó
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $20B?	No	$18	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22B by October 31?	No	$64	89.7¢	Ganó
Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$171	62.5¢	Perdió
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $31B by October 31?	No	$142	93.3¢	Ganó
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31?	No	$45	94.0¢	Ganó
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $27B by October 31?	No	$107	71.2¢	Ganó
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31?	No	$77	94.2¢	Ganó
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by October 31?	No	$5	96.0¢	Ganó
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20.5B by October 31?	No	$77	91.4¢	Ganó
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $167.5B by October 31?	No	$19	94.0¢	Ganó
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8.5B by October 31?	No	$74	91.5¢	Ganó
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $132.5B by October 31?	No	$204	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by October 31?	No	$38	96.0¢	Ganó
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31?	No	$228	85.1¢	Ganó
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.25B by October 31?	No	$95	78.8¢	Ganó
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?	No	$54	94.0¢	Ganó
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by October 31?	No	$325	80.8¢	Ganó
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$27	89.4¢	Ganó
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $137?	No	$127	62.4¢	Perdió
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$167	27.8¢	Ganó
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $138.5?	No	$32	82.3¢	Ganó
Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$76	82.0¢	Ganó
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	$30	76.0¢	Ganó
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$83	27.0¢	Perdió
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$288	68.1¢	Ganó
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$127	91.2¢	Ganó
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$128	65.2¢	Ganó
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$93	56.4¢	Ganó
Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$356	70.4¢	Ganó
Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	$42	11.4¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?	No	$57	94.5¢	Ganó
Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$374	85.6¢	Ganó
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	No	$110	35.1¢	Ganó
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?	No	$15	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 119m by October 31?	No	$155	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?	No	$17	42.0¢	Ganó
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 122m by October 31?	No	$176	88.0¢	Ganó
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	$421	84.1¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?	No	$105	91.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Cucumber" in October?	No	$6	97.0¢	Ganó

Will AMD say "Debt" during earnings call?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 54.6¢
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Perdió
No$302 @ 60.4¢
Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
No$25 @ 25.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$38 @ 91.5¢
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ganó
No$325 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Ganó
No$138 @ 55.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ganó
No$72 @ 24.0¢
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?Ganó
No$211 @ 69.7¢
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth October 2026Ganó
OpenAI$57 @ 96.9¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $9.25B by October 31?Ganó
No$9 @ 97.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $20B?Ganó
No$18 @ 88.0¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22B by October 31?Ganó
No$64 @ 89.7¢
Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?Perdió
No$171 @ 62.5¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $31B by October 31?Ganó
No$142 @ 93.3¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31?Ganó
No$45 @ 94.0¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $27B by October 31?Ganó
No$107 @ 71.2¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31?Ganó
No$77 @ 94.2¢
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by October 31?Ganó
No$5 @ 96.0¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20.5B by October 31?Ganó
No$77 @ 91.4¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $167.5B by October 31?Ganó
No$19 @ 94.0¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8.5B by October 31?Ganó
No$74 @ 91.5¢
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $132.5B by October 31?Ganó
No$204 @ 84.0¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by October 31?Ganó
No$38 @ 96.0¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31?Ganó
No$228 @ 85.1¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.25B by October 31?Ganó
No$95 @ 78.8¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?Ganó
No$54 @ 94.0¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by October 31?Ganó
No$325 @ 80.8¢
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ganó
No$27 @ 89.4¢
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $137?Perdió
No$127 @ 62.4¢
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ganó
Yes$167 @ 27.8¢
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $138.5?Ganó
No$32 @ 82.3¢
Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ganó
No$76 @ 82.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$30 @ 76.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$83 @ 27.0¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$288 @ 68.1¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$127 @ 91.2¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$128 @ 65.2¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$93 @ 56.4¢
Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ganó
No$356 @ 70.4¢
Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 11.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$57 @ 94.5¢
Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ganó
No$374 @ 85.6¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Ganó
No$110 @ 35.1¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?Ganó
No$15 @ 77.0¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 119m by October 31?Ganó
No$155 @ 82.0¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?Ganó
No$17 @ 42.0¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 122m by October 31?Ganó
No$176 @ 88.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Perdió
No$421 @ 84.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$105 @ 91.4¢
Will Trump say "Cucumber" in October?Ganó
No$6 @ 97.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$1.3k	67.2¢
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	Política	No	$1.2k	80.7¢
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$1.1k	83.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$985	65.7¢
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Política	Yes	$742	56.4¢
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$727	79.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Política	No	$690	92.0¢
Will Cameron Ward have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Deportes	No	$684	76.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$640	69.4¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Política	Yes	$601	73.2¢
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election?	Política	Yes	$581	74.1¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?	Política	Yes	$575	49.4¢
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$562	71.7¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 40% or more?	Política	No	$548	91.0¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	Política	No	$542	89.1¢
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$536	74.5¢
Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?	Política	New York	$515	73.5¢
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Política	Yes	$514	62.7¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Política	Yes	$482	56.6¢
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31?	Ciencia	No	$469	97.0¢
Will Khalil Shakir have 1,049.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Deportes	No	$454	76.2¢
Will Iván Mordisco be arrested in 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$421	82.1¢
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?	Política	No	$413	64.1¢
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Política	No	$385	77.0¢
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 21, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$379	85.2¢
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?	Cultura	Yes	$375	82.0¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?	Other	No	$374	56.6¢
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$369	58.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?	Política	No	$358	71.7¢
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?	Ciencia	Yes	$350	80.9¢

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$1.3k @ 67.2¢
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Política
No$1.2k @ 80.7¢
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Geopolítica
No$1.1k @ 83.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$985 @ 65.7¢
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Política
Yes$742 @ 56.4¢
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Tecnología
No$727 @ 79.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolítica
No$690 @ 92.0¢
Will Cameron Ward have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Deportes
No$684 @ 76.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$640 @ 69.4¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026?Política
Yes$601 @ 73.2¢
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election?Política
Yes$581 @ 74.1¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?Política
Yes$575 @ 49.4¢
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tecnología
No$562 @ 71.7¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 40% or more?Política
No$548 @ 91.0¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Política
No$542 @ 89.1¢
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$536 @ 74.5¢
Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?Política
New York$515 @ 73.5¢
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Política
Yes$514 @ 62.7¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026?Política
Yes$482 @ 56.6¢
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31?Ciencia
No$469 @ 97.0¢
Will Khalil Shakir have 1,049.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Deportes
No$454 @ 76.2¢
Will Iván Mordisco be arrested in 2026?Geopolítica
No$421 @ 82.1¢
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Política
No$413 @ 64.1¢
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?Política
No$385 @ 77.0¢
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 21, 2026?Tecnología
No$379 @ 85.2¢
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?Cultura
Yes$375 @ 82.0¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?Other
No$374 @ 56.6¢
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026?Política
Yes$369 @ 58.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?Política
No$358 @ 71.7¢
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?Ciencia
Yes$350 @ 80.9¢