0xb1a1…d308

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb1a190be02cafacb6c30b98beb621503d5e2d308
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+10.6pp

ROI

+14%

Tasa de acierto

80% @ 69.3¢

Brier

0.110

Resueltas

134

Tamaño med.

$159

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	70% (19/27)	+17%	27
Política	86% (12/14)	+10%	14
Deportes	69% (9/13)	+16%	13
Geopolítica	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+14%	1
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+14%	1
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+63%	1

Other27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
70% (19/27)
ROI
+17%
Política14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
86% (12/14)
ROI
+10%
Deportes13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
69% (9/13)
ROI
+16%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+63%

Historial

73% acierto · 43/59

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$4	56.0¢	Perdió
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	Yes	$225	87.5¢	Ganó
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$15	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$105	80.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$694	76.5¢	Ganó
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$201	88.5¢	Ganó
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$664	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$41	32.0¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$47	22.0¢	Ganó
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	$20	28.0¢	Ganó
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$13	12.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$79	68.7¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$37	32.9¢	Perdió
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$1.5k	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$1.0k	86.6¢	Ganó
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	$24	24.2¢	Perdió
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$150	88.0¢	Ganó
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$133	88.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	$94	61.3¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$134	46.3¢	Perdió
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	$20	26.0¢	Perdió
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$679	61.2¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$4	64.5¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$208	86.5¢	Ganó
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$282	86.3¢	Ganó
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$1.0k	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	$459	67.3¢	Ganó
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	$35	88.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	No	$100	83.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$806	77.5¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	$688	74.0¢	Ganó
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	$10	43.0¢	Ganó
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$34	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	2.6¢	Perdió
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Argentina	$900	85.9¢	Ganó
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?	Yes	$18	40.1¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?	Yes	$209	81.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$1.0k	65.6¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	No	$50	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$5.0k	83.8¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?	Yes	$63	22.1¢	Perdió
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$304	86.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$2.2k	88.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	No	$16	82.0¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	$37	37.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$19	32.0¢	Perdió
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$201	86.1¢	Ganó
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	$307	85.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?	Yes	$388	66.4¢	Ganó
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$70	88.7¢	Ganó

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Perdió
No$4 @ 56.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Ganó
Yes$225 @ 87.5¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 67.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$105 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$694 @ 76.5¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$201 @ 88.5¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$664 @ 89.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$41 @ 32.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
Yes$47 @ 22.0¢
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 28.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 12.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$79 @ 68.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Perdió
Yes$37 @ 32.9¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 85.0¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 86.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 24.2¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$150 @ 88.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$133 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Ganó
Yes$94 @ 61.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Perdió
Yes$134 @ 46.3¢
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 26.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$679 @ 61.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$4 @ 64.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Ganó
No$208 @ 86.5¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Ganó
Yes$282 @ 86.3¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 87.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Ganó
Yes$459 @ 67.3¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Ganó
Yes$35 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Perdió
No$100 @ 83.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$806 @ 77.5¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Ganó
Yes$688 @ 74.0¢
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 43.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-27?Ganó
Yes$34 @ 85.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 2.6¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$900 @ 85.9¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Ganó
Yes$18 @ 40.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?Ganó
Yes$209 @ 81.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$1.0k @ 65.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$50 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$5.0k @ 83.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Perdió
Yes$63 @ 22.1¢
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$304 @ 86.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$2.2k @ 88.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Ganó
No$16 @ 82.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Perdió
Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Perdió
No$19 @ 32.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$201 @ 86.1¢
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Ganó
No$307 @ 85.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Ganó
Yes$388 @ 66.4¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Ganó
Yes$70 @ 88.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	No	$7.7k	94.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Política	No	$3.5k	87.9¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$3.4k	78.4¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Política	No	$3.4k	96.3¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$3.0k	92.9¢
GTA VI released by November 30?	Cultura	Yes	$2.1k	92.1¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	—	No	$1.9k	89.5¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Política	No	$1.8k	75.6¢
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Política	No	$1.6k	91.1¢
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Economía	No	$1.6k	85.2¢
Kash Patel out by September 30?	Política	No	$1.2k	97.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	95.5¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	Tecnología	No	$1.1k	95.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	95.0¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Política	No	$1.0k	93.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	—	No	$1.0k	98.6¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	—	No	$988	91.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	—	No	$808	92.5¢
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Política	No	$698	91.2¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	—	No	$658	98.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Negocios	No	$631	42.3¢
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$622	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$602	95.0¢
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Política	No	$502	90.5¢
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Política	No	$492	91.9¢
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	Economía	No	$434	87.4¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$359	94.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$353	94.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	No	$330	94.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$248	95.4¢

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
No$7.7k @ 94.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolítica
No$3.5k @ 87.9¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tecnología
No$3.4k @ 78.4¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Política
No$3.4k @ 96.3¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$3.0k @ 92.9¢
GTA VI released by November 30?Cultura
Yes$2.1k @ 92.1¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?—
No$1.9k @ 89.5¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Política
No$1.8k @ 75.6¢
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Política
No$1.6k @ 91.1¢
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economía
No$1.6k @ 85.2¢
Kash Patel out by September 30?Política
No$1.2k @ 97.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 95.5¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tecnología
No$1.1k @ 95.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 95.0¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?Política
No$1.0k @ 93.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?—
No$1.0k @ 98.6¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?—
No$988 @ 91.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?—
No$808 @ 92.5¢
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?Política
No$698 @ 91.2¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?—
No$658 @ 98.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Negocios
No$631 @ 42.3¢
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$622 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$602 @ 95.0¢
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Política
No$502 @ 90.5¢
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Política
No$492 @ 91.9¢
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?Economía
No$434 @ 87.4¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$359 @ 94.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$353 @ 94.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
No$330 @ 94.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$248 @ 95.4¢