0xae8c…b99b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xae8c7706771353860e57875fc91baf877fb6b99b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.6pp

ROI

+12%

Tasa de acierto

40% @ 33.5¢

Brier

0.210

Resueltas

630

Tamaño med.

$20

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	39% (55/141)	+10%	141
Deportes	25% (4/16)	-38%	16
Política	50% (1/2)	-68%	2
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other141 apuestas
Tasa acierto
39% (55/141)
ROI
+10%
Deportes16 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (4/16)
ROI
-38%
Política2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-68%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

38% acierto · 60/160

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)	Henan FC	$37	30.0¢	Perdió
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?	No	$29	58.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1 - 2 Beijing Guoan FC?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?	Yes	$11	29.0¢	Perdió
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	$111	51.5¢	Perdió
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$64	38.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	$30	16.0¢	Perdió
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$39	53.0¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	$6	53.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?	Yes	$17	15.0¢	Perdió
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?	Yes	$13	10.6¢	Perdió
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?	Yes	$26	35.0¢	Perdió
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Switzerland	$105	57.0¢	Perdió
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Netherlands	$168	56.0¢	Perdió
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)	Netherlands	$33	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Jordan Henderson be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	$36	18.0¢	Perdió
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	$5	41.0¢	Perdió
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$16	95.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)	Switzerland	$33	31.0¢	Perdió
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?	Yes	$99	45.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	$31	31.0¢	Ganó
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5	Under	$32	19.8¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	No	$623	46.5¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	Yes	$162	32.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	Yes	$13	1.8¢	Perdió
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$239	87.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Spurs	$2	50.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Spurs	$110	61.0¢	Ganó
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	$164	51.3¢	Perdió
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Yes	$102	22.7¢	Perdió
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$172	55.8¢	Perdió
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?	Yes	$40	50.0¢	Perdió
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	Yes	$143	65.1¢	Ganó
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$99	48.0¢	Perdió
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	No	$18	36.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?	No	$16	7.4¢	Perdió
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?	Yes	$26	63.0¢	Ganó
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	Over	$51	48.0¢	Ganó
Will MagicLab have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?	No	$10	1.5¢	Perdió
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$42	42.2¢	Perdió
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$3	8.0¢	Perdió
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5	Over	$198	50.8¢	Ganó
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	No	$110	30.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$62	10.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?	Yes	$22	27.0¢	Perdió
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	5.9¢	Perdió
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-04?	No	$15	21.4¢	Perdió
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$135	30.0¢	Perdió
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	1.0¢	Perdió

Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Perdió
Henan FC$37 @ 30.0¢
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?Perdió
No$29 @ 58.0¢
Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1 - 2 Beijing Guoan FC?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 29.0¢
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-31?Perdió
Yes$111 @ 51.5¢
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Perdió
Under$64 @ 38.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 16.0¢
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$39 @ 53.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETPerdió
Down$6 @ 53.0¢
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 15.0¢
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 10.6¢
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 35.0¢
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Perdió
Switzerland$105 @ 57.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Perdió
Netherlands$168 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Perdió
Netherlands$33 @ 33.0¢
Will Jordan Henderson be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Perdió
No$36 @ 18.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETPerdió
Up$5 @ 41.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ganó
Yes$16 @ 95.0¢
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Perdió
Switzerland$33 @ 31.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?Ganó
Yes$99 @ 45.0¢
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Ganó
Aston Villa FC$31 @ 31.0¢
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5Perdió
Under$32 @ 19.8¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Perdió
No$623 @ 46.5¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Ganó
Yes$162 @ 32.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 1.8¢
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
Yes$239 @ 87.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Ganó
Spurs$2 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Ganó
Spurs$110 @ 61.0¢
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-21?Perdió
Yes$164 @ 51.3¢
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Perdió
Yes$102 @ 22.7¢
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Perdió
Yes$172 @ 55.8¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 50.0¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Ganó
Yes$143 @ 65.1¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Perdió
Yes$99 @ 48.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Ganó
No$18 @ 36.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?Perdió
No$16 @ 7.4¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?Ganó
Yes$26 @ 63.0¢
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Ganó
Over$51 @ 48.0¢
Will MagicLab have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?Perdió
No$10 @ 1.5¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$42 @ 42.2¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Perdió
Under$3 @ 8.0¢
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Ganó
Over$198 @ 50.8¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Perdió
No$110 @ 30.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Perdió
No$62 @ 10.3¢
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 27.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 5.9¢
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-04?Perdió
No$15 @ 21.4¢
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Perdió
Yes$135 @ 30.0¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$51 @ 1.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Deportes	Netherlands	$168	56.0¢
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-09-05?	—	Yes	$128	43.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Deportes	Yes	$124	62.0¢
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-31?	—	Yes	$111	51.5¢
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Deportes	Switzerland	$105	57.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Deportes	Yes	$98	48.0¢
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Deportes	Belgium	$73	37.0¢
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-05?	—	Yes	$71	37.7¢
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$64	38.0¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	—	FC Bayern München	$50	41.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?	—	No	$41	41.0¢
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$39	53.0¢
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)	—	Henan FC	$37	30.0¢
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-08?	—	Yes	$37	30.0¢
Will Jordan Henderson be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Política	No	$36	18.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)	Deportes	Netherlands	$33	33.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	—	Yes	$30	16.0¢
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?	—	No	$29	58.0¢
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?	Deportes	Yes	$26	35.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	—	No	$20	39.0¢
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?	—	Yes	$17	15.0¢
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?	—	Yes	$13	10.6¢
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?	—	Yes	$11	29.0¢
AEK vs. LASK Linz: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$11	54.0¢
Spread: Beijing Guoan (-1.5)	—	FC Pohang Steelers	$10	20.0¢
AEK vs. LASK Linz: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$10	32.0¢
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?	Deportes	Yes	$9	9.0¢
Knicks vs. Spurs	Deportes	Spurs	$7	83.0¢
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?	—	Yes	$7	22.0¢
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5	—	Over	$6	64.0¢

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Deportes
Netherlands$168 @ 56.0¢
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-09-05?—
Yes$128 @ 43.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Deportes
Yes$124 @ 62.0¢
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-31?—
Yes$111 @ 51.5¢
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Deportes
Switzerland$105 @ 57.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Deportes
Yes$98 @ 48.0¢
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Deportes
Belgium$73 @ 37.0¢
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-05?—
Yes$71 @ 37.7¢
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5—
Under$64 @ 38.0¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)—
FC Bayern München$50 @ 41.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?—
No$41 @ 41.0¢
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$39 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)—
Henan FC$37 @ 30.0¢
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-08?—
Yes$37 @ 30.0¢
Will Jordan Henderson be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Política
No$36 @ 18.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Deportes
Netherlands$33 @ 33.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?—
Yes$30 @ 16.0¢
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?—
No$29 @ 58.0¢
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?Deportes
Yes$26 @ 35.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?—
No$20 @ 39.0¢
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?—
Yes$17 @ 15.0¢
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?—
Yes$13 @ 10.6¢
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?—
Yes$11 @ 29.0¢
AEK vs. LASK Linz: O/U 2.5—
Over$11 @ 54.0¢
Spread: Beijing Guoan (-1.5)—
FC Pohang Steelers$10 @ 20.0¢
AEK vs. LASK Linz: O/U 3.5—
Over$10 @ 32.0¢
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?Deportes
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursDeportes
Spurs$7 @ 83.0¢
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?—
Yes$7 @ 22.0¢
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5—
Over$6 @ 64.0¢