0xadaf…f9f2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xadaf1c42e0a88e2942e7adfe559e30c1796bf9f2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+2.5pp

ROI

+56%

Tasa de acierto

16% @ 14.0¢

Brier

0.079

Resueltas

4056

Tamaño med.

$21

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	32% (108/336)	+63%	336
Política	43% (40/92)	+29%	92
Deportes	17% (1/6)	-81%	6
Cripto	25% (1/4)	-48%	4
Tecnología	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+70%	1

Other336 apuestas
Tasa acierto
32% (108/336)
ROI
+63%
Política92 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (40/92)
ROI
+29%
Deportes6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
17% (1/6)
ROI
-81%
Cripto4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-48%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+70%

Historial

34% acierto · 151/442

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Ganó
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$247	9.1¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Merz events on June 5?	No	$6	21.0¢	Perdió
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Trump meets with Carney before June?	No	$38	10.0¢	Perdió
Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?	Yes	$12	3.5¢	Perdió
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$90	89.8¢	Ganó
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$551	7.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?	Yes	$515	27.4¢	Perdió
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)	Real Madrid	$5	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Anca Alexandrescu get less than 5% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?	No	$740	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?	Yes	$6	1.1¢	Perdió
Will anyone say "India" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	Yes	$51	51.0¢	Ganó
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?	No	$462	18.4¢	Perdió
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Ganó
Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?	Yes	$42	15.6¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?	Yes	$135	34.6¢	Perdió
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?	Yes	$576	30.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?	No	$87	26.4¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?	Yes	$70	7.0¢	Perdió
Will another candidate win the Bucharest mayoral election?	No	$421	84.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Bukele visit on April 14?	Yes	$9	36.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Netanyahu" or "Bibi" during his May 13 interview?	Yes	$16	8.1¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?	Yes	$78	39.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?	No	$62	31.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?	No	$3	61.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?	Yes	$114	35.9¢	Perdió
Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" at AmericaFest events on December 21?	Yes	$45	45.0¢	Perdió
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	$1.9k	70.3¢	Ganó
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$619	6.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?	Yes	$46	46.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?	Yes	$6	1.1¢	Perdió
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?	Yes	$10	3.2¢	Perdió
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?	Yes	$22	5.0¢	Perdió
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	$29	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$88	5.7¢	Perdió
Will there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Perdió
US-EU trade deal before June?	No	$66	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$37	3.7¢	Perdió
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$46	44.9¢	Perdió
Will Rutte say "Slovakia" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?	No	$2	62.0¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$69	70.0¢	Ganó
Will U.S. tourism decline in April?	No	$7	1.3¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	19.2¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	$86	43.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 13?	No	$72	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?	No	$22	26.0¢	Perdió
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	$80	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	$42	0.3¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	No	$4	88.0¢	Ganó

Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Ganó
Yes$247 @ 9.1¢
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Merz events on June 5?Perdió
No$6 @ 21.0¢
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Trump meets with Carney before June?Perdió
No$38 @ 10.0¢
Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 3.5¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$90 @ 89.8¢
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Perdió
Yes$551 @ 7.4¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?Perdió
Yes$515 @ 27.4¢
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)Perdió
Real Madrid$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Anca Alexandrescu get less than 5% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?Ganó
No$740 @ 88.0¢
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
Will anyone say "India" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Ganó
Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?Perdió
No$462 @ 18.4¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?Ganó
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?Ganó
Yes$42 @ 15.6¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?Perdió
Yes$135 @ 34.6¢
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?Ganó
Yes$576 @ 30.4¢
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?Perdió
No$87 @ 26.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Perdió
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
Will another candidate win the Bucharest mayoral election?Ganó
No$421 @ 84.2¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Bukele visit on April 14?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 36.0¢
Will Trump say "Netanyahu" or "Bibi" during his May 13 interview?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 8.1¢
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?Perdió
Yes$78 @ 39.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?Ganó
No$62 @ 31.0¢
Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?Ganó
No$3 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?Perdió
Yes$114 @ 35.9¢
Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" at AmericaFest events on December 21?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 45.0¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ganó
No$1.9k @ 70.3¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Perdió
Yes$619 @ 6.5¢
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 46.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.2¢
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 5.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?Ganó
Yes$29 @ 60.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$88 @ 5.7¢
Will there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
US-EU trade deal before June?Ganó
No$66 @ 66.0¢
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Perdió
Yes$37 @ 3.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 44.9¢
Will Rutte say "Slovakia" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?Ganó
No$2 @ 62.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$69 @ 70.0¢
Will U.S. tourism decline in April?Ganó
No$7 @ 1.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.3k @ 19.2¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Ganó
Yes$86 @ 43.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 13?Ganó
No$72 @ 72.0¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?Perdió
No$22 @ 26.0¢
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Ganó
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 0.3¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Ganó
No$4 @ 88.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$756	14.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	Política	Yes	$515	23.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$178	89.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?	Política	No	$168	84.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?	Política	No	$114	97.8¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Política	No	$88	75.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?	Política	Yes	$75	60.0¢
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Salvador Illa be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Félix Bolaños be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Juanma Moreno be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Emiliano García-Page be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	Yes	$72	1.7¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?	Política	No	$58	97.5¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Política	No	$55	55.0¢
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$43	3.6¢
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$43	3.6¢
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$30	11.5¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$28	2.8¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$28	2.8¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$28	2.8¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$28	2.8¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$756 @ 14.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Política
Yes$515 @ 23.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Política
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?Política
No$168 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?Política
No$114 @ 97.8¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Política
No$88 @ 75.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?Política
Yes$75 @ 60.0¢
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Salvador Illa be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Félix Bolaños be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Juanma Moreno be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Emiliano García-Page be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.7¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?Política
No$58 @ 97.5¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Política
No$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$43 @ 3.6¢
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$43 @ 3.6¢
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$30 @ 11.5¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$28 @ 2.8¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$28 @ 2.8¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$28 @ 2.8¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$28 @ 2.8¢