0xac76…9359

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xac761dd9b3a373cc9031dabaab1ecec546299359
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+12.9pp

ROI

+28%

Tasa de acierto

62% @ 49.2¢

Brier

0.205

Resueltas

647

Tamaño med.

$20

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	53% (53/100)	+29%	100
Política	41% (9/22)	-6%	22
Geopolítica	50% (2/4)	+11%	4
Cultura	33% (1/3)	-19%	3
Tecnología	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Deportes	100% (1/1)	+52%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+72%	1

Other100 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (53/100)
ROI
+29%
Política22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (9/22)
ROI
-6%
Geopolítica4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
+11%
Cultura3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-19%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+72%

Historial

51% acierto · 67/132

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$87	41.6¢	Perdió
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	Yes	$9	75.0¢	Ganó
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	No	$76	44.0¢	Perdió
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	No	$76	52.5¢	Perdió
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$149	72.0¢	Ganó
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$62	87.4¢	Ganó
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$22	42.3¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	$47	31.0¢	Perdió
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	No	$39	8.3¢	Perdió
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$188	75.2¢	Ganó
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 26, 2026?	No	$10	51.0¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$730	68.3¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	$39	27.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$1.5k	41.9¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$746	69.8¢	Ganó
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$133	50.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	25.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?	No	$18	46.0¢	Perdió
La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero Arias	Viruzz	$4	41.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$641	74.7¢	Ganó
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$47	17.6¢	Perdió
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	$111	70.9¢	Ganó
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	Yes	$7	36.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$45	86.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$397	35.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$20	13.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$617	54.6¢	Ganó
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?	No	$221	56.8¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$287	65.8¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$20	23.7¢	Perdió
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?	No	$87	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$17	28.0¢	Perdió
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$49	82.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$170	84.8¢	Ganó
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?	Yes	$28	55.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	No	$96	48.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	$67	46.9¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$6	62.0¢	Ganó
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	$114	40.6¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$51	68.0¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?	No	$18	39.2¢	Ganó
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	$11	44.0¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	No	$35	59.7¢	Ganó
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	$159	65.8¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	No	$125	73.6¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?	Yes	$7	87.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	No	$329	56.5¢	Ganó
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	Yes	$78	78.0¢	Perdió
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$351	47.3¢	Ganó

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Perdió
No$87 @ 41.6¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 75.0¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Perdió
No$76 @ 44.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Perdió
No$76 @ 52.5¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Ganó
Yes$149 @ 72.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Ganó
No$62 @ 87.4¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 42.3¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Perdió
No$47 @ 31.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Perdió
No$39 @ 8.3¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Ganó
No$188 @ 75.2¢
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 26, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 51.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Ganó
No$730 @ 68.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$39 @ 27.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Ganó
Yes$1.5k @ 41.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$746 @ 69.8¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Perdió
No$133 @ 50.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Perdió
No$18 @ 46.0¢
La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero AriasPerdió
Viruzz$4 @ 41.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Ganó
No$641 @ 74.7¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 17.6¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?Ganó
No$111 @ 70.9¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 36.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Ganó
No$45 @ 86.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Perdió
Yes$397 @ 35.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$20 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$617 @ 54.6¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$221 @ 56.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$287 @ 65.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 23.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Ganó
No$87 @ 67.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 28.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$49 @ 82.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Ganó
No$170 @ 84.8¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Ganó
Yes$28 @ 55.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Perdió
No$96 @ 48.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Perdió
No$67 @ 46.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Perdió
No$114 @ 40.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Ganó
Yes$51 @ 68.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Ganó
No$18 @ 39.2¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 44.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Ganó
No$35 @ 59.7¢
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Ganó
Yes$159 @ 65.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$125 @ 73.6¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 87.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Ganó
No$329 @ 56.5¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Perdió
Yes$78 @ 78.0¢
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Ganó
No$351 @ 47.3¢

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