0xac6a…2ed3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xac6a1ca423ef87d52b6baa7afb70c90229d22ed3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+11.6pp

ROI

+14%

Tasa de acierto

78% @ 66.7¢

Brier

0.150

Resueltas

506

Tamaño med.

$24

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	70% (47/67)	+23%	67
Política	56% (36/64)	-4%	64
Deportes	71% (12/17)	+34%	17
Geopolítica	70% (7/10)	-45%	10
Tecnología	50% (2/4)	+60%	4
Economía	50% (2/4)	+23%	4
Cripto	50% (2/4)	+133%	4
Cultura	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other67 apuestas
Tasa acierto
70% (47/67)
ROI
+23%
Política64 apuestas
Tasa acierto
56% (36/64)
ROI
-4%
Deportes17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (12/17)
ROI
+34%
Geopolítica10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
70% (7/10)
ROI
-45%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
+60%
Economía4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
+23%
Cripto4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
+133%
Cultura2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Historial

63% acierto · 108/172

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$149	55.6¢	Perdió
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$7	66.0¢	Perdió
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$276	75.7¢	Ganó
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$86	86.0¢	Perdió
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$36	41.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$244	69.0¢	Ganó
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	80.0¢	Ganó
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$68	85.4¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$690	79.5¢	Ganó
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	$65	75.3¢	Ganó
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	$0	8.0¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$738	87.9¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$8	61.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$46	71.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$108	86.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$44	42.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$77	70.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$12	66.7¢	Perdió
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$230	28.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$13	53.5¢	Perdió
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	$60	77.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$52	82.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$105	60.2¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	$112	81.3¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$1.3k	78.7¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$365	85.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$408	74.4¢	Ganó
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	80.0¢	Ganó
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	$27	75.0¢	Ganó
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$604	68.9¢	Ganó
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	$22	87.0¢	Ganó
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	$51	34.8¢	Ganó
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	Yes	$19	75.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	$264	75.4¢	Ganó
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	$151	30.0¢	Perdió
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$564	74.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	$2	40.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$368	58.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$111	88.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	$41	88.0¢	Ganó
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?	No	$67	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$44	89.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	No	$66	69.1¢	Ganó
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	$16	63.0¢	Perdió
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	$3	60.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$361	53.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	$4	81.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$200	57.3¢	Ganó
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$129	84.3¢	Ganó
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$5	2.0¢	Perdió

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Perdió
Yes$149 @ 55.6¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Perdió
No$7 @ 66.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Ganó
No$276 @ 75.7¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Perdió
Yes$86 @ 86.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 41.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$244 @ 69.0¢
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Ganó
No$68 @ 85.4¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Ganó
Yes$690 @ 79.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Ganó
No$65 @ 75.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Ganó
No$738 @ 87.9¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 61.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Perdió
No$46 @ 71.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Ganó
Yes$108 @ 86.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$44 @ 42.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$77 @ 70.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Perdió
No$12 @ 66.7¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$230 @ 28.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 53.5¢
Will Rodri join Barcelona?Ganó
Yes$60 @ 77.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$52 @ 82.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$105 @ 60.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Perdió
No$112 @ 81.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 78.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Ganó
No$365 @ 85.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Ganó
Yes$408 @ 74.4¢
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 80.0¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$27 @ 75.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Ganó
Yes$604 @ 68.9¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$22 @ 87.0¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Ganó
No$51 @ 34.8¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 75.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Ganó
No$264 @ 75.4¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Perdió
No$151 @ 30.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Ganó
Yes$564 @ 74.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Perdió
No$2 @ 40.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Ganó
Yes$368 @ 58.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$111 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Ganó
No$41 @ 88.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?Ganó
No$67 @ 89.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Ganó
No$44 @ 89.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Ganó
No$66 @ 69.1¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 63.0¢
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Ganó
No$3 @ 60.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Ganó
No$361 @ 53.1¢
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 81.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$200 @ 57.3¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ganó
No$129 @ 84.3¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 2.0¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	—	Yes	$2.1k	87.1¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Política	Yes	$1.3k	90.3¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Política	No	$758	74.9¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Política	Yes	$424	46.3¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$406	63.9¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Política	Yes	$289	31.7¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Política	Yes	$220	93.1¢
NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season?	Deportes	No	$220	89.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	—	No	$174	66.9¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Política	Yes	$146	95.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	—	Yes	$142	96.7¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Política	Yes	$135	93.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$123	89.0¢
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Cultura	No	$96	51.9¢
Will Doctor Doom die in Avengers: Doomsday?	—	No	$91	90.1¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by September 30?	—	No	$89	62.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$77	92.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	—	No	$73	83.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$68	27.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	No	$67	55.7¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?	—	No	$64	95.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Política	No	$63	50.5¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	—	No	$59	81.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$59	54.5¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Política	No	$52	87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	—	No	$48	86.9¢
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?	—	No	$40	79.0¢
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	—	No	$38	71.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?	Política	No	$38	93.8¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	—	Yes	$27	89.2¢

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?—
Yes$2.1k @ 87.1¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Política
Yes$1.3k @ 90.3¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Política
No$758 @ 74.9¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Política
Yes$424 @ 46.3¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Cripto
Yes$406 @ 63.9¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Política
Yes$289 @ 31.7¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Política
Yes$220 @ 93.1¢
NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season?Deportes
No$220 @ 89.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?—
No$174 @ 66.9¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Política
Yes$146 @ 95.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?—
Yes$142 @ 96.7¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Política
Yes$135 @ 93.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$123 @ 89.0¢
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Cultura
No$96 @ 51.9¢
Will Doctor Doom die in Avengers: Doomsday?—
No$91 @ 90.1¢
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by September 30?—
No$89 @ 62.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?—
No$77 @ 92.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?—
No$73 @ 83.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$68 @ 27.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
No$67 @ 55.7¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?—
No$64 @ 95.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Política
No$63 @ 50.5¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?—
No$59 @ 81.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$59 @ 54.5¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Política
No$52 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?—
No$48 @ 86.9¢
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?—
No$40 @ 79.0¢
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?—
No$38 @ 71.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?Política
No$38 @ 93.8¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?—
Yes$27 @ 89.2¢