0xaa99…dbbf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaa99a6c279d34492683db6ff1818aa1f8485dbbf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+10.5pp

ROI

+20%

Tasa de acierto

48% @ 37.5¢

Brier

0.171

Resueltas

2389

Tamaño med.

$108

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	51% (202/395)	+15%	395
Política	47% (56/119)	+23%	119
Tecnología	50% (9/18)	+36%	18
Geopolítica	40% (6/15)	-20%	15
Cultura	60% (3/5)	+18%	5
Deportes	50% (1/2)	+90%	2
Ciencia	50% (1/2)	-42%	2
Cripto	50% (1/2)	+249%	2
Negocios	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other395 apuestas
Tasa acierto
51% (202/395)
ROI
+15%
Política119 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (56/119)
ROI
+23%
Tecnología18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (9/18)
ROI
+36%
Geopolítica15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (6/15)
ROI
-20%
Cultura5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (3/5)
ROI
+18%
Deportes2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+90%
Ciencia2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-42%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+249%
Negocios1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

50% acierto · 279/559

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$11	52.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$644	22.9¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$667	30.8¢	Ganó
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	$525	75.0¢	Ganó
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	$54	9.0¢	Perdió
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	Yes	$100	50.1¢	Ganó
North Korea missile launch by January 31?	No	$30	55.9¢	Perdió
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	$424	41.8¢	Ganó
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	No	$82	59.4¢	Ganó
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	$29	58.0¢	Perdió
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?	Yes	$77	77.0¢	Ganó
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 31 be between 6,000 and 6,500?	Yes	$15	30.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$406	40.0¢	Ganó
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$145	1.0¢	Perdió
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	$15	1.3¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	$201	43.5¢	Perdió
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	No	$124	31.0¢	Perdió
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?	No	$0	0.4¢	Perdió
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$345	85.2¢	Ganó
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?	No	$8	45.5¢	Ganó
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	$773	76.9¢	Ganó
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$947	28.7¢	Perdió
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$55	10.6¢	Perdió
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	$120	60.0¢	Ganó
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	$197	29.2¢	Perdió
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$420	7.0¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	Yes	$263	42.4¢	Perdió
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	No	$176	28.2¢	Ganó
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?	No	$92	6.2¢	Perdió
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?	No	$415	83.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?	Yes	$442	55.9¢	Ganó
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$330	66.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6.9k	19.5¢	Perdió
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?	No	$475	69.4¢	Ganó
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	Yes	$20	18.3¢	Perdió
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?	Yes	$2.5k	62.7¢	Ganó
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	Yes	$68	72.0¢	Ganó
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 23?	No	$745	87.1¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	$18	2.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	$288	75.0¢	Ganó
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	Yes	$23	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$885	67.1¢	Ganó
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?	No	$29	33.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 1?	Yes	$61	61.0¢	Ganó
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$340	53.0¢	Ganó
Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's State of the Union?	Yes	$46	76.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	$241	42.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	$63	83.0¢	Ganó
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?	Yes	$2	2.6¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$156	0.3¢	Perdió

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Ganó
No$11 @ 52.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Perdió
No$644 @ 22.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Ganó
Yes$667 @ 30.8¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Ganó
Yes$525 @ 75.0¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Perdió
No$54 @ 9.0¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 50.1¢
North Korea missile launch by January 31?Perdió
No$30 @ 55.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Ganó
Yes$424 @ 41.8¢
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Ganó
No$82 @ 59.4¢
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 58.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Ganó
Yes$77 @ 77.0¢
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 31 be between 6,000 and 6,500?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$406 @ 40.0¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
Yes$145 @ 1.0¢
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Perdió
No$15 @ 1.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Perdió
Yes$201 @ 43.5¢
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Perdió
No$124 @ 31.0¢
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?Perdió
No$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$345 @ 85.2¢
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Ganó
No$8 @ 45.5¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Ganó
No$773 @ 76.9¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Perdió
Yes$947 @ 28.7¢
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Perdió
Yes$55 @ 10.6¢
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Ganó
Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Perdió
Yes$197 @ 29.2¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Perdió
Yes$420 @ 7.0¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Perdió
Yes$263 @ 42.4¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Ganó
No$176 @ 28.2¢
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Perdió
No$92 @ 6.2¢
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?Ganó
No$415 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Ganó
Yes$442 @ 55.9¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$330 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6.9k @ 19.5¢
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?Ganó
No$475 @ 69.4¢
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 18.3¢
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?Ganó
Yes$2.5k @ 62.7¢
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Ganó
Yes$68 @ 72.0¢
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 23?Ganó
No$745 @ 87.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 2.3¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Ganó
Yes$288 @ 75.0¢
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 0.3¢
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Ganó
Yes$885 @ 67.1¢
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Ganó
No$29 @ 33.0¢
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 1?Ganó
Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
Yes$340 @ 53.0¢
Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Ganó
Yes$46 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Ganó
Yes$241 @ 42.4¢
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Ganó
No$63 @ 83.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 2.6¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Perdió
No$156 @ 0.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$2.6k	66.0¢
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Política	No	$2.3k	89.3¢
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$1.7k	88.5¢
Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Política	No	$1.5k	85.5¢
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Política	No	$1.4k	70.4¢
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.1k	65.4¢
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Política	No	$913	86.9¢
Will Dickens Cheung win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	Política	No	$887	75.7¢
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?	Política	No	$790	79.0¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$778	30.8¢
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Política	Yes	$740	37.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Política	Yes	$662	50.0¢
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	Política	No	$652	79.5¢
Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	Política	No	$617	77.3¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Política	Yes	$568	18.9¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Política	No	$419	62.2¢
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Política	No	$388	83.0¢
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?	Política	No	$366	50.7¢
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?	Política	No	$340	56.7¢
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Política	Yes	$333	37.5¢
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Política	No	$301	75.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$275	30.0¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Tecnología	No	$252	40.0¢
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	Política	No	$221	78.6¢
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tecnología	Yes	$189	20.0¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$181	76.0¢
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$176	22.0¢
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Política	Yes	$142	30.8¢
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	Política	No	$139	70.2¢
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	Política	No	$133	57.0¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$2.6k @ 66.0¢
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Política
No$2.3k @ 89.3¢
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Política
Yes$1.7k @ 88.5¢
Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Política
No$1.5k @ 85.5¢
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?Política
No$1.4k @ 70.4¢
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.1k @ 65.4¢
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Política
No$913 @ 86.9¢
Will Dickens Cheung win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?Política
No$887 @ 75.7¢
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?Política
No$790 @ 79.0¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$778 @ 30.8¢
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Política
Yes$740 @ 37.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Política
Yes$662 @ 50.0¢
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Política
No$652 @ 79.5¢
Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Política
No$617 @ 77.3¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Política
Yes$568 @ 18.9¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Política
No$419 @ 62.2¢
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Política
No$388 @ 83.0¢
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Política
No$366 @ 50.7¢
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Política
No$340 @ 56.7¢
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Política
Yes$333 @ 37.5¢
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Política
No$301 @ 75.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$275 @ 30.0¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tecnología
No$252 @ 40.0¢
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Política
No$221 @ 78.6¢
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tecnología
Yes$189 @ 20.0¢
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Geopolítica
No$181 @ 76.0¢
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$176 @ 22.0¢
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Política
Yes$142 @ 30.8¢
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Política
No$139 @ 70.2¢
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Política
No$133 @ 57.0¢