0xa9ac…c5d1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+7.8pp

ROI

+22%

Tasa de acierto

37% @ 29.1¢

Brier

0.144

Resueltas

382

Tamaño med.

$167

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Deportes	35% (15/43)	+13%	43
Política	20% (4/20)	-14%	20
Geopolítica	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Tecnología	33% (1/3)	-16%	3
Cripto	67% (2/3)	+161%	3
Other	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Deportes43 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (15/43)
ROI
+13%
Política20 apuestas
Tasa acierto
20% (4/20)
ROI
-14%
Geopolítica5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Tecnología3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-16%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+161%
Other1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Historial

31% acierto · 23/75

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	$372	12.1¢	Perdió
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$31	8.8¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$114	3.0¢	Perdió
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$10.4k	64.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.5k	6.4¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$210	32.1¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Perdió
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$72	1.9¢	Perdió
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$202	64.0¢	Ganó
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$406	46.5¢	Ganó
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	No	$504	73.0¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$135	9.1¢	Perdió
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$14	0.8¢	Perdió
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 30?	No	$5	2.5¢	Perdió
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$204	31.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$4.4k	27.9¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$101	57.0¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$2.8k	36.1¢	Perdió
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	$280	33.3¢	Perdió
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	No	$213	59.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$705	16.8¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$150	55.0¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$2.3k	51.0¢	Ganó
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	$21	2.0¢	Perdió
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$2.0k	73.7¢	Ganó
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	$126	11.2¢	Perdió
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$100	6.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	Yes	$235	47.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	46.4¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$416	9.3¢	Perdió
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$1.0k	83.0¢	Perdió
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$6.1k	57.2¢	Ganó
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$204	28.3¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$300	35.0¢	Ganó
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$5.7k	57.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$505	73.4¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$231	14.5¢	Perdió
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	$506	57.0¢	Ganó
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Under	$404	62.5¢	Perdió
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$410	20.6¢	Perdió
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$1.2k	45.9¢	Perdió
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	No	$203	47.0¢	Ganó
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$407	40.0¢	Perdió
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5	Over	$1.2k	61.5¢	Ganó
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5	Under	$203	48.5¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	No	$607	61.0¢	Ganó
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$103	14.0¢	Perdió
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$110	11.0¢	Perdió

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Perdió
No$372 @ 12.1¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Perdió
No$31 @ 8.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Perdió
Yes$114 @ 3.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$10.4k @ 64.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.5k @ 6.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$210 @ 32.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Perdió
Yes$72 @ 1.9¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Ganó
Yes$202 @ 64.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Ganó
Yes$406 @ 46.5¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Ganó
No$504 @ 73.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$135 @ 9.1¢
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 0.8¢
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 30?Perdió
No$5 @ 2.5¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$204 @ 31.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$4.4k @ 27.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 7.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
Yes$101 @ 57.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Perdió
Yes$2.8k @ 36.1¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Perdió
Yes$280 @ 33.3¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Ganó
No$213 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Perdió
Yes$705 @ 16.8¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Perdió
No$150 @ 55.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Ganó
Yes$2.3k @ 51.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Perdió
No$21 @ 2.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 73.7¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Perdió
Yes$126 @ 11.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 6.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Perdió
Yes$235 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 46.4¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Perdió
No$416 @ 9.3¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 83.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Ganó
Yes$6.1k @ 57.2¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Perdió
Yes$204 @ 28.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$300 @ 35.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Ganó
No$5.7k @ 57.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$505 @ 73.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 0.4¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Perdió
Yes$231 @ 14.5¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Ganó
Over$506 @ 57.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Perdió
Under$404 @ 62.5¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Perdió
Yes$410 @ 20.6¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Perdió
Yes$1.2k @ 45.9¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Ganó
No$203 @ 47.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Perdió
Yes$407 @ 40.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Ganó
Over$1.2k @ 61.5¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Perdió
Under$203 @ 48.5¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Ganó
No$607 @ 61.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Perdió
Yes$103 @ 14.0¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$1.9k	18.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$1.5k	20.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Política	No	$1.4k	77.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$1.2k	9.2¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$698	16.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$560	34.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	Yes	$456	54.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$396	15.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$384	32.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Política	Yes	$366	61.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	No	$325	22.3¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$267	2.6¢
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?	Política	Yes	$260	42.8¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$246	2.4¢
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Política	Yes	$245	59.1¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$190	1.9¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$165	30.0¢
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?	Política	No	$159	70.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	Yes	$150	8.0¢
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$141	47.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Política	Yes	$126	12.5¢
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$108	2.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Política	Yes	$100	11.3¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$100	6.9¢
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	Política	Yes	$80	11.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Política	Yes	$72	1.9¢
Will Mexico be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$59	40.0¢
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$50	21.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Geopolítica	No	$50	29.7¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$25	7.7¢

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$1.9k @ 18.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$1.5k @ 20.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Política
No$1.4k @ 77.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$1.2k @ 9.2¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$698 @ 16.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$560 @ 34.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
Yes$456 @ 54.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$396 @ 15.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$384 @ 32.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Política
Yes$366 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
No$325 @ 22.3¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$267 @ 2.6¢
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Política
Yes$260 @ 42.8¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$246 @ 2.4¢
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Política
Yes$245 @ 59.1¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$190 @ 1.9¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$165 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?Política
No$159 @ 70.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
Yes$150 @ 8.0¢
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$141 @ 47.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Política
Yes$126 @ 12.5¢
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$108 @ 2.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Política
Yes$100 @ 11.3¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Política
Yes$100 @ 6.9¢
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Política
Yes$80 @ 11.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Política
Yes$72 @ 1.9¢
Will Mexico be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$59 @ 40.0¢
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$50 @ 21.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Geopolítica
No$50 @ 29.7¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$25 @ 7.7¢