0xa821…0bc8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa8214a76e24da3bd037763b5d76216c33ca00bc8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.6pp

ROI

+11%

Tasa de acierto

57% @ 50.6¢

Brier

0.162

Resueltas

1132

Tamaño med.

$53

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	51% (53/103)	+20%	103
Política	46% (28/61)	+2%	61
Deportes	54% (15/28)	+17%	28
Ciencia	55% (12/22)	+22%	22
Tecnología	23% (3/13)	-55%	13
Economía	54% (7/13)	+16%	13
Geopolítica	57% (4/7)	+12%	7
Negocios	33% (1/3)	+8%	3

Other103 apuestas
Tasa acierto
51% (53/103)
ROI
+20%
Política61 apuestas
Tasa acierto
46% (28/61)
ROI
+2%
Deportes28 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (15/28)
ROI
+17%
Ciencia22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
55% (12/22)
ROI
+22%
Tecnología13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
23% (3/13)
ROI
-55%
Economía13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (7/13)
ROI
+16%
Geopolítica7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
57% (4/7)
ROI
+12%
Negocios3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
+8%

Historial

49% acierto · 123/250

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$250	62.5¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?	Yes	$4	6.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on May 29?	No	$855	76.9¢	Ganó
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$23	11.7¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$324	54.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$287	36.6¢	Perdió
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$127	10.6¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?	Yes	$3	0.4¢	Perdió
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$236	59.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	$69	57.5¢	Perdió
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	$56	87.5¢	Ganó
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$172	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	$190	47.6¢	Perdió
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$180	89.9¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.2k	86.9¢	Ganó
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$357	89.3¢	Ganó
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$140	70.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 11?	No	$46	66.5¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	$61	48.7¢	Perdió
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$4.1k	68.3¢	Ganó
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$691	22.4¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?	Yes	$23	5.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 11?	No	$127	87.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 11?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Perdió
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$94	47.0¢	Ganó
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$160	80.0¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$30	15.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?	No	$15	37.8¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	$24	28.3¢	Ganó
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 4?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	No	$177	88.4¢	Ganó
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$340	56.7¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$341	49.5¢	Ganó
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?	Yes	$136	68.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?	No	$933	43.9¢	Perdió
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	$41	21.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	$78	39.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	$2	2.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$206	51.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	No	$705	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$170	84.9¢	Ganó
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$57	14.3¢	Perdió
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$56	28.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?	No	$64	85.2¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	No	$362	84.3¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	$16	7.3¢	Perdió
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	No	$156	78.0¢	Ganó

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$250 @ 62.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on May 29?Ganó
No$855 @ 76.9¢
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 11.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$324 @ 54.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$287 @ 36.6¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$127 @ 10.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Ganó
Yes$236 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?Perdió
Yes$69 @ 57.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?Ganó
Yes$56 @ 87.5¢
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$172 @ 86.0¢
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Perdió
No$190 @ 47.6¢
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Ganó
Yes$180 @ 89.9¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 86.9¢
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$357 @ 89.3¢
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$140 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 11?Ganó
No$46 @ 66.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 11?Perdió
Yes$61 @ 48.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Ganó
No$4.1k @ 68.3¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Perdió
Yes$691 @ 22.4¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 5.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 11?Ganó
No$127 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 11?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$94 @ 47.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$160 @ 80.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?Perdió
No$15 @ 37.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?Ganó
Yes$24 @ 28.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 4?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Ganó
No$177 @ 88.4¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Perdió
No$340 @ 56.7¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Ganó
Yes$341 @ 49.5¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Ganó
Yes$136 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?Perdió
No$933 @ 43.9¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionGanó
No$41 @ 21.0¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Perdió
No$78 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 11?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 26?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$206 @ 51.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?Ganó
No$705 @ 86.0¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Ganó
No$170 @ 84.9¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Perdió
Yes$57 @ 14.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$56 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?Ganó
No$64 @ 85.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?Ganó
No$362 @ 84.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 27?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 7.3¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Ganó
No$156 @ 78.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Negocios	No	$568	71.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$179	89.6¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$143	78.0¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Política	No	$136	68.0¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Política	Yes	$64	32.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Negocios	No	$60	30.0¢
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Política	No	$56	28.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	No	$36	18.1¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$28	3.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$19	9.7¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$8	4.0¢

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Negocios
No$568 @ 71.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$179 @ 89.6¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$143 @ 78.0¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Política
No$136 @ 68.0¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Política
Yes$64 @ 32.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Negocios
No$60 @ 30.0¢
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Política
No$56 @ 28.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
No$36 @ 18.1¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Política
Yes$28 @ 3.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$19 @ 9.7¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢