0xa81e…03dc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa81eefec9c08fa157d855f1ac5caf8feab1903dc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+4.9pp

ROI

+13%

Tasa de acierto

36% @ 31.0¢

Brier

0.087

Resueltas

3500

Tamaño med.

$206

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	33% (123/377)	+11%	377
Política	56% (15/27)	+17%	27
Deportes	47% (9/19)	-12%	19
Cultura	83% (5/6)	-52%	6
Geopolítica	75% (3/4)	+2%	4
Tecnología	100% (2/2)	+21%	2
Ciencia	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+1%	1

Other377 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (123/377)
ROI
+11%
Política27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
56% (15/27)
ROI
+17%
Deportes19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (9/19)
ROI
-12%
Cultura6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
83% (5/6)
ROI
-52%
Geopolítica4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+2%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+21%
Ciencia2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1%

Historial

36% acierto · 158/438

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	$76	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$53.3k	99.9¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	$606	99.9¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	$589	99.6¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?	No	$105	99.7¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	No	$186	99.4¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	No	$430	89.8¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	$2.2k	92.8¢	Perdió
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $420,000 by February 1?	No	$1.4k	89.2¢	Ganó
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.75 million and $3.0 million by December 16?	Yes	$122	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$43	42.8¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$174	16.8¢	Perdió
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$167	2.1¢	Perdió
Will "The Best You Can" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)	No	$75	83.1¢	Ganó
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?	Yes	$15	0.2¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?	No	$94	81.7¢	Ganó
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?	Yes	$324	3.6¢	Perdió
Heat vs. Trail Blazers	Heat	$90	9.0¢	Perdió
Heat vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$90	9.0¢	Ganó
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $3.25 million and $3.5 million by December 16?	Yes	$13	0.1¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$709	5.8¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?	Yes	$2.9k	17.6¢	Perdió
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?	Yes	$18	3.7¢	Perdió
Will Yi Wei vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?	Yes	$335	67.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$8.0k	80.7¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	Yes	$673	13.6¢	Perdió
Magic vs. Heat	Heat	$90	9.0¢	Perdió
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,130,000 and $1,230,000 by February 1?	Yes	$221	14.4¢	Perdió
Will the fight go the distance?	Yes	$97	23.0¢	Perdió
Will TheDev win the Defi App trading competition?	Yes	$21	1.7¢	Perdió
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	$391	1.4¢	Perdió
Thunder vs. Timberwolves	Thunder	$90	9.0¢	Perdió
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$2.1k	29.0¢	Perdió
Pacers vs. Celtics	Pacers	$90	9.0¢	Perdió
Kings vs. 76ers	Kings	$90	9.0¢	Perdió
Magic vs. Thunder	Magic	$4	0.4¢	Perdió
Will David Anton Guijarro win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?	Yes	$850	9.8¢	Perdió
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?	Yes	$18	1.0¢	Perdió
Will "The Best You Can" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)	No	$24	80.7¢	Ganó
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?	Yes	$335	0.9¢	Perdió
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?	No	$11	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Praggnanandhaa R win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?	No	$4.4k	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Leinier Dominguez Perez win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?	Yes	$17	0.3¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?	Yes	$93	1.9¢	Perdió
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?	No	$4.8k	45.0¢	Perdió
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?	Yes	$539	44.8¢	Ganó
Will Kirill Alekseenko win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?	Yes	$20	0.5¢	Perdió
Will Lu Shanglei win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?	Yes	$8	0.2¢	Perdió

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Perdió
No$76 @ 35.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$53.3k @ 99.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Ganó
No$606 @ 99.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Ganó
No$589 @ 99.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Ganó
No$105 @ 99.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Ganó
No$186 @ 99.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?Ganó
No$430 @ 89.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?Perdió
No$2.2k @ 92.8¢
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $420,000 by February 1?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 89.2¢
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.75 million and $3.0 million by December 16?Perdió
Yes$122 @ 0.8¢
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?Ganó
No$43 @ 42.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Perdió
No$174 @ 16.8¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Perdió
Yes$167 @ 2.1¢
Will "The Best You Can" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)Ganó
No$75 @ 83.1¢
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 0.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?Ganó
No$94 @ 81.7¢
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?Perdió
Yes$324 @ 3.6¢
Heat vs. Trail BlazersPerdió
Heat$90 @ 9.0¢
Heat vs. Trail BlazersGanó
Trail Blazers$90 @ 9.0¢
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $3.25 million and $3.5 million by December 16?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 0.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Perdió
Yes$709 @ 5.8¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$2.9k @ 17.6¢
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 3.7¢
Will Yi Wei vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$335 @ 67.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Ganó
No$8.0k @ 80.7¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Perdió
Yes$673 @ 13.6¢
Magic vs. HeatPerdió
Heat$90 @ 9.0¢
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,130,000 and $1,230,000 by February 1?Perdió
Yes$221 @ 14.4¢
Will the fight go the distance?Perdió
Yes$97 @ 23.0¢
Will TheDev win the Defi App trading competition?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 1.7¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Perdió
Yes$391 @ 1.4¢
Thunder vs. TimberwolvesPerdió
Thunder$90 @ 9.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Perdió
No$2.1k @ 29.0¢
Pacers vs. CelticsPerdió
Pacers$90 @ 9.0¢
Kings vs. 76ersPerdió
Kings$90 @ 9.0¢
Magic vs. ThunderPerdió
Magic$4 @ 0.4¢
Will David Anton Guijarro win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?Perdió
Yes$850 @ 9.8¢
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 1.0¢
Will "The Best You Can" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)Ganó
No$24 @ 80.7¢
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?Perdió
Yes$335 @ 0.9¢
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?Perdió
No$11 @ 3.0¢
Will Praggnanandhaa R win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?Ganó
No$4.4k @ 87.0¢
Will Leinier Dominguez Perez win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 0.3¢
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$93 @ 1.9¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?Perdió
No$4.8k @ 45.0¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?Ganó
Yes$539 @ 44.8¢
Will Kirill Alekseenko win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 0.5¢
Will Lu Shanglei win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 0.2¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$5.4k	17.9¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$4.9k	91.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.6k	26.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$2.1k	48.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Política	Yes	$2.1k	10.3¢
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$995	20.0¢
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Cripto	No	$613	55.7¢
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Cultura	No	$567	89.3¢
Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?	Cripto	No	$283	88.1¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Política	No	$239	78.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$82	26.7¢
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$60	8.1¢
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?	Política	Yes	$19	34.0¢
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$1	52.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$0	42.7¢
100kt meteor strike in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$0	3.0¢
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$0	0.0¢

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Política
Yes$5.4k @ 17.9¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Cultura
Yes$4.9k @ 91.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Política
Yes$2.6k @ 26.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$2.1k @ 48.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Política
Yes$2.1k @ 10.3¢
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$995 @ 20.0¢
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?Cripto
No$613 @ 55.7¢
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Cultura
No$567 @ 89.3¢
Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?Cripto
No$283 @ 88.1¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Política
No$239 @ 78.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Política
Yes$82 @ 26.7¢
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$60 @ 8.1¢
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Política
Yes$19 @ 34.0¢
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Política
Yes$0 @ 42.7¢
100kt meteor strike in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢