0xa4aa…51df

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa4aaf62d8ce8b34e03b5df07b8a2f92070b351df
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+13.1pp

ROI

+40%

Tasa de acierto

51% @ 38.3¢

Brier

0.200

Resueltas

113

Tamaño med.

$51

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	59% (19/32)	+98%	32
Política	38% (5/13)	-30%	13
Cripto	50% (3/6)	+5%	6
Tecnología	75% (3/4)	+62%	4
Deportes	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other32 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (19/32)
ROI
+98%
Política13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
38% (5/13)
ROI
-30%
Cripto6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
+5%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+62%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

54% acierto · 30/56

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$37	34.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	$35	44.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	$108	32.7¢	Ganó
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$73	47.6¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$55	52.7¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$115	56.0¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	No	$337	60.9¢	Ganó
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$11	20.8¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$108	46.8¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	$20	50.0¢	Ganó
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$35	88.3¢	Ganó
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	Argentina	$48	68.9¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	$17	33.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	$447	37.3¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	$85	32.5¢	Perdió
James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	$10	20.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?	No	$109	54.3¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	$530	49.8¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	$14	46.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?	No	$15	74.6¢	Ganó
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$16	39.0¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?	No	$498	75.6¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$26	38.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$325	75.5¢	Ganó
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Argentina	$85	64.0¢	Ganó
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$138	47.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	$38	4.9¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$125	41.9¢	Ganó
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Portugal	$31	43.2¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$14	61.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	No	$5	54.5¢	Perdió
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	England	$152	52.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	$349	37.5¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$76	51.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	$4	18.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$259	37.0¢	Perdió
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$128	69.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	$7	10.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	$151	33.6¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	$97	24.5¢	Perdió
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$51	60.0¢	Perdió
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	$36	23.0¢	Perdió
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	$6	57.9¢	Ganó
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	$6	52.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	$12	37.0¢	Ganó
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	$55	54.5¢	Ganó
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$51	39.0¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$168	55.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	$54	11.3¢	Ganó
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	$51	42.8¢	Perdió

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Perdió
Yes$37 @ 34.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Ganó
No$35 @ 44.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Ganó
No$108 @ 32.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$73 @ 47.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Ganó
No$55 @ 52.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Ganó
No$115 @ 56.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Ganó
No$337 @ 60.9¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$11 @ 20.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$108 @ 46.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Ganó
No$20 @ 50.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Ganó
Yes$35 @ 88.3¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$48 @ 68.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Perdió
No$17 @ 33.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Ganó
No$447 @ 37.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Perdió
No$85 @ 32.5¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Perdió
No$10 @ 20.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Perdió
No$109 @ 54.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Ganó
No$530 @ 49.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Perdió
No$14 @ 46.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?Ganó
No$15 @ 74.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$16 @ 39.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Ganó
No$498 @ 75.6¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Perdió
No$26 @ 38.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$325 @ 75.5¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$85 @ 64.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceGanó
Belgium$138 @ 47.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Perdió
No$38 @ 4.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Ganó
No$125 @ 41.9¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceGanó
Portugal$31 @ 43.2¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Ganó
No$14 @ 61.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?Perdió
No$5 @ 54.5¢
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceGanó
England$152 @ 52.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Ganó
No$349 @ 37.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$76 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 18.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Perdió
No$259 @ 37.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Ganó
Yes$128 @ 69.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Perdió
No$7 @ 10.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?Perdió
No$151 @ 33.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?Perdió
No$97 @ 24.5¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Perdió
Yes$51 @ 60.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?Perdió
No$36 @ 23.0¢
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Ganó
No$6 @ 57.9¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?Ganó
No$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Ganó
No$12 @ 37.0¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Ganó
No$55 @ 54.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
No$51 @ 39.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Ganó
Yes$168 @ 55.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Ganó
No$54 @ 11.3¢
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePerdió
France$51 @ 42.8¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Other	No	$161	19.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	—	No	$116	21.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Cripto	No	$92	24.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$73	47.6¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	—	France	$51	42.8¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Other
No$161 @ 19.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?—
No$116 @ 21.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?Cripto
No$92 @ 24.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$73 @ 47.6¢
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance—
France$51 @ 42.8¢