0xa2e9…6af7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa2e95a54c738ff9d070888584c593ee94bd46af7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+19.4pp

ROI

+32%

Tasa de acierto

78% @ 58.9¢

Brier

0.208

Resueltas

106

Tamaño med.

$28

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	77% (36/47)	+35%	47
Política	76% (13/17)	+27%	17
Tecnología	50% (2/4)	-3%	4
Deportes	67% (2/3)	+31%	3
Geopolítica	100% (3/3)	+36%	3

Other47 apuestas
Tasa acierto
77% (36/47)
ROI
+35%
Política17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
76% (13/17)
ROI
+27%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
-3%
Deportes3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+31%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (3/3)
ROI
+36%

Historial

76% acierto · 56/74

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	Ian Machado Garry	$5	26.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?	Yes	$5	46.0¢	Perdió
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	$20	41.0¢	Perdió
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$320	74.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$60	64.7¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$100	73.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$40	73.3¢	Ganó
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$25	32.5¢	Perdió
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$15	42.9¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?	Yes	$15	43.7¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$40	87.3¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$30	59.9¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$20	83.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$20	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	$25	22.5¢	Perdió
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?	No	$20	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$9	82.7¢	Ganó
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$5	27.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$30	71.0¢	Ganó
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	$20	19.0¢	Ganó
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	No	$16	80.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$50	37.2¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	$20	82.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$20	59.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	$40	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Evelyn Matthei come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Perdió
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	Yes	$50	67.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$30	64.0¢	Ganó
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	$200	69.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$40	81.0¢	Ganó
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	No	$20	74.0¢	Ganó
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	Yes	$10	26.3¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$20	74.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iraq by March 31	Yes	$20	87.0¢	Ganó
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	FURIA	$5	51.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$25	40.9¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	$10	55.5¢	Ganó
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$10	47.0¢	Ganó
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?	No	$10	75.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	No	$5	43.0¢	Ganó
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	No	$50	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$5	36.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	Yes	$20	72.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$40	79.4¢	Ganó
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	$10	11.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$80	66.8¢	Ganó
Nothing Ever Happens: December	No	$25	36.1¢	Perdió
Nothing Ever Happens: December	Yes	$140	83.8¢	Ganó

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Perdió
Ian Machado Garry$5 @ 26.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 46.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvancePerdió
Argentina$20 @ 41.0¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Ganó
No$320 @ 74.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$60 @ 64.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 73.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$40 @ 73.3¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Perdió
No$25 @ 32.5¢
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 42.9¢
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 43.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 87.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$30 @ 59.9¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Ganó
No$20 @ 83.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$20 @ 72.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Perdió
No$25 @ 22.5¢
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Ganó
No$20 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 82.7¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Ganó
No$5 @ 27.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Ganó
No$30 @ 71.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Ganó
No$20 @ 19.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Ganó
No$16 @ 80.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 37.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 82.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 59.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 85.0¢
Will Evelyn Matthei come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 67.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Ganó
No$30 @ 64.0¢
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 69.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 81.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Ganó
No$20 @ 74.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 26.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 74.0¢
US strikes Iraq by March 31Ganó
Yes$20 @ 87.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageGanó
FURIA$5 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Ganó
Yes$25 @ 40.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Ganó
No$10 @ 55.5¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceGanó
Belgium$10 @ 47.0¢
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?Ganó
No$10 @ 75.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Ganó
No$5 @ 43.0¢
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?Ganó
No$50 @ 75.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Perdió
No$5 @ 36.0¢
US strikes Iraq by March 7?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 72.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 79.4¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Ganó
No$10 @ 11.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$80 @ 66.8¢
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberPerdió
No$25 @ 36.1¢
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberGanó
Yes$140 @ 83.8¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$65	79.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$30	76.0¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$20	80.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	—	Yes	$20	47.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$20	53.9¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	—	Argentina	$20	41.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?	—	Yes	$15	43.7¢
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?	Tecnología	Yes	$5	46.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$5	43.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Deportes	No	$5	36.0¢
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	—	Ian Machado Garry	$5	26.0¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$65 @ 79.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
No$30 @ 76.0¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Política
No$20 @ 80.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-15?—
Yes$20 @ 47.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$20 @ 53.9¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance—
Argentina$20 @ 41.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?—
Yes$15 @ 43.7¢
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?Tecnología
Yes$5 @ 46.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$5 @ 43.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Deportes
No$5 @ 36.0¢
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)—
Ian Machado Garry$5 @ 26.0¢