0xa1bd…880b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa1bdb11bea3ed660701b1e394789d8a83d6f880b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+11.1pp

ROI

+123%

Tasa de acierto

17% @ 6.3¢

Brier

0.149

Resueltas

396

Tamaño med.

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	15% (4/27)	+149%	27
Política	17% (3/18)	+49%	18
Geopolítica	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Deportes	33% (1/3)	+443%	3
Cultura	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tecnología	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Cripto	50% (1/2)	-1%	2
Ciencia	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
15% (4/27)
ROI
+149%
Política18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
17% (3/18)
ROI
+49%
Geopolítica4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Deportes3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
+443%
Cultura3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-1%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

15% acierto · 9/60

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	Yes	$3	30.0¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$5	11.3¢	Perdió
Will A*Teens win Melodifestivalen 2026?	Yes	$70	5.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$16	16.0¢	Perdió
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$3	25.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?	No	$2	21.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	13.7¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$2	30.0¢	Perdió
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$6	1.5¢	Perdió
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?	Yes	$7	9.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$8	18.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?	No	$2	9.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	1.6¢	Perdió
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	$3	50.0¢	Perdió
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?	Yes	$2	3.9¢	Perdió
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Perdió
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	$6	7.0¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	Yes	$7	7.1¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$20	25.3¢	Ganó
Will Medina win Melodifestivalen 2026?	Yes	$5	3.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	34.5¢	Ganó
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$36	5.3¢	Perdió
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?	No	$108	14.2¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	$3	3.9¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	$3	12.5¢	Perdió
Will Sanna Nielsen win Melodifestivalen 2026?	Yes	$7	1.6¢	Perdió
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$81	8.7¢	Perdió
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	15.3¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$5	22.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$46	14.0¢	Ganó
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$44	2.7¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$26	26.0¢	Perdió
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$12	2.1¢	Perdió
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	5.7¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$20	14.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$9	27.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$62	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$205	1.7¢	Perdió
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	8.6¢	Perdió
Will Cimberly win Melodifestivalen 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$53	4.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	$3	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	$21	51.2¢	Ganó
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$8	15.0¢	Perdió
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	Yes	$2	6.4¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$3	2.8¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$14	0.4¢	Perdió

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 11.3¢
Will A*Teens win Melodifestivalen 2026?Perdió
Yes$70 @ 5.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?Perdió
No$2 @ 21.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 13.7¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Perdió
No$2 @ 30.0¢
Trump out as President by April 30?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.5¢
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 9.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 18.4¢
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Ganó
No$2 @ 9.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Perdió
No$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 3.9¢
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 7.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 7.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 25.3¢
Will Medina win Melodifestivalen 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 34.5¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 5.3¢
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?Perdió
No$108 @ 14.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 3.9¢
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 12.5¢
Will Sanna Nielsen win Melodifestivalen 2026?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 1.6¢
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$81 @ 8.7¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 15.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$5 @ 22.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$46 @ 14.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Ganó
Yes$44 @ 2.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 2.1¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 27.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$62 @ 0.8¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$205 @ 1.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 8.6¢
Will Cimberly win Melodifestivalen 2026?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$53 @ 4.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Ganó
No$21 @ 51.2¢
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 15.0¢
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 6.4¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 2.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 0.4¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Trump out as President before 2027?	Política	Yes	$26	12.2¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Negocios	Yes	$24	37.3¢
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$14	9.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$14	20.5¢
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Negocios	Yes	$8	16.7¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$7	20.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	Yes	$7	13.6¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$5	22.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	No	$5	18.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	No	$5	30.0¢
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Economía	Yes	$3	22.7¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$3	7.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Política	Yes	$2	24.0¢
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$2	9.3¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$2	7.0¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$2	0.8¢
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$1	15.6¢
GTA VI released by October 31?	Cultura	Yes	$1	5.5¢

Trump out as President before 2027?Política
Yes$26 @ 12.2¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Negocios
Yes$24 @ 37.3¢
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$14 @ 9.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$14 @ 20.5¢
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Negocios
Yes$8 @ 16.7¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$7 @ 20.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
Yes$7 @ 13.6¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
No$5 @ 18.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
No$5 @ 30.0¢
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economía
Yes$3 @ 22.7¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$3 @ 7.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Política
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Ciencia
Yes$2 @ 9.3¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$1 @ 15.6¢
GTA VI released by October 31?Cultura
Yes$1 @ 5.5¢