0xa156…cf02

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa15655c43a7e4b50190d1f14198e80da86a1cf02
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.9pp

ROI

+16%

Tasa de acierto

44% @ 36.6¢

Brier

0.207

Resueltas

1157

Tamaño med.

$31

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Deportes	36% (29/81)	-7%	81
Cultura	32% (23/71)	+9%	71
Other	43% (21/49)	+30%	49
Política	40% (10/25)	+18%	25
Economía	41% (9/22)	+13%	22
Ciencia	47% (7/15)	-4%	15
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Deportes81 apuestas
Tasa acierto
36% (29/81)
ROI
-7%
Cultura71 apuestas
Tasa acierto
32% (23/71)
ROI
+9%
Other49 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (21/49)
ROI
+30%
Política25 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (10/25)
ROI
+18%
Economía22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (9/22)
ROI
+13%
Ciencia15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (7/15)
ROI
-4%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

38% acierto · 99/264

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	$496	31.0¢	Perdió
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	$101	48.0¢	Perdió
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	No	$363	82.5¢	Ganó
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	Yes	$78	45.4¢	Perdió
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	Yes	$45	20.0¢	Perdió
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	$28	11.8¢	Ganó
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	Yes	$29	10.3¢	Perdió
Will "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?	Yes	$82	82.0¢	Ganó
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	Yes	$6	11.4¢	Perdió
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?	Yes	$20	9.1¢	Perdió
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?	Yes	$71	6.3¢	Perdió
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Perdió
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	Yes	$3	15.0¢	Perdió
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$56	28.0¢	Perdió
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$30	12.0¢	Perdió
Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?	No	$472	80.8¢	Ganó
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$460	92.0¢	Ganó
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	$46	91.0¢	Ganó
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	$17	34.8¢	Ganó
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?	Yes	$1	37.0¢	Perdió
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	$233	26.5¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	Yes	$26	17.0¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	$2	25.0¢	Ganó
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	$150	58.9¢	Ganó
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	Yes	$124	32.4¢	Ganó
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?	Yes	$70	11.3¢	Perdió
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	$126	46.0¢	Perdió
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	$58	19.5¢	Perdió
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	No	$34	33.9¢	Perdió
Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	$461	86.1¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	$63	63.0¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	$60	52.2¢	Perdió
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	$27	6.7¢	Perdió
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	$17	8.5¢	Ganó
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Perdió
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	Yes	$81	28.0¢	Perdió
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.9k	61.6¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$24	24.0¢	Perdió
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$23	33.3¢	Perdió
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$15	30.0¢	Perdió
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	$109	28.6¢	Perdió
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	$118	22.8¢	Ganó
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	Yes	$16	2.0¢	Perdió
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $11M and $14M?	Yes	$12	25.0¢	Perdió
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	$352	74.0¢	Ganó
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	$100	23.2¢	Ganó
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	$38	23.2¢	Perdió
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	$42	30.0¢	Perdió
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	$13	20.0¢	Perdió
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	Yes	$7	5.0¢	Perdió

Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Perdió
Yes$496 @ 31.0¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Perdió
Yes$101 @ 48.0¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?Ganó
No$363 @ 82.5¢
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Perdió
Yes$78 @ 45.4¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 20.0¢
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Ganó
Yes$28 @ 11.8¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 10.3¢
Will "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?Ganó
Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 11.4¢
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 9.1¢
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?Perdió
Yes$71 @ 6.3¢
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 WinnerPerdió
Invictus Gaming$56 @ 28.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerPerdió
Invictus Gaming$30 @ 12.0¢
Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon?Ganó
No$472 @ 80.8¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ganó
Yes$460 @ 92.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ganó
No$46 @ 91.0¢
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 34.8¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 37.0¢
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?Perdió
Yes$233 @ 26.5¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 17.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?Ganó
Yes$150 @ 58.9¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?Ganó
Yes$124 @ 32.4¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?Perdió
Yes$70 @ 11.3¢
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?Perdió
Yes$126 @ 46.0¢
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Perdió
Yes$58 @ 19.5¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Perdió
No$34 @ 33.9¢
Will Vance peak at Category 2?Ganó
Yes$461 @ 86.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Perdió
Yes$63 @ 63.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Perdió
No$60 @ 52.2¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?Perdió
Yes$27 @ 6.7¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 8.5¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Perdió
Yes$81 @ 28.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 61.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Perdió
No$23 @ 33.3¢
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Perdió
No$15 @ 30.0¢
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?Perdió
Yes$109 @ 28.6¢
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Ganó
Yes$118 @ 22.8¢
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 2.0¢
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $11M and $14M?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 25.0¢
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?Ganó
Yes$352 @ 74.0¢
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 23.2¢
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Perdió
Yes$38 @ 23.2¢
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 30.0¢
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 20.0¢
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 5.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Política	No	$1.8k	85.5¢
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?	Cultura	Yes	$787	77.0¢
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Deportes	Yes	$481	48.1¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$190	19.0¢
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$160	28.8¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	Política	Yes	$153	18.3¢
Will no hurricane form by November 30, 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$90	47.0¢
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$90	5.9¢
Government shutdown by December 12?	Política	No	$60	60.0¢
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by December 31?	Política	Yes	$50	50.0¢
Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Cultura	Yes	$47	23.3¢
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?	Cultura	Yes	$45	12.3¢
Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the summit?	Política	Yes	$43	43.0¢
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?	Ciencia	Yes	$31	77.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Economía	Yes	$30	11.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$30	6.0¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds at APEC?	Política	Yes	$24	30.0¢
Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the summit?	Política	Yes	$21	21.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for "Drummer Boy" be between $26M and $30M by November 30?	Cultura	Yes	$15	15.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for "The Cat in the Hat" be between $55M and $65M by November 30?	Cultura	Yes	$10	16.0¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$7	7.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for "Clayface" be between $67M and $70M by November 30?	Cultura	Yes	$1	15.0¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Cultura	Yes	$0	0.2¢

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Política
No$1.8k @ 85.5¢
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?Cultura
Yes$787 @ 77.0¢
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Deportes
Yes$481 @ 48.1¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Deportes
Yes$190 @ 19.0¢
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Cultura
Yes$160 @ 28.8¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Política
Yes$153 @ 18.3¢
Will no hurricane form by November 30, 2026?Ciencia
Yes$90 @ 47.0¢
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Cultura
Yes$90 @ 5.9¢
Government shutdown by December 12?Política
No$60 @ 60.0¢
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by December 31?Política
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Cultura
Yes$47 @ 23.3¢
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?Cultura
Yes$45 @ 12.3¢
Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the summit?Política
Yes$43 @ 43.0¢
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Ciencia
Yes$31 @ 77.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Economía
Yes$30 @ 11.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds at APEC?Política
Yes$24 @ 30.0¢
Will the Xi and Takaichi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the summit?Política
Yes$21 @ 21.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for "Drummer Boy" be between $26M and $30M by November 30?Cultura
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for "The Cat in the Hat" be between $55M and $65M by November 30?Cultura
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026?Política
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for "Clayface" be between $67M and $70M by November 30?Cultura
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Cultura
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢