0x9f83…6cd9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9f83f83bdfc209c6fade8a2c77ea9667e9176cd9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+22.3pp

ROI

+44%

Tasa de acierto

70% @ 47.3¢

Brier

0.179

Resueltas

378

Tamaño med.

$131

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	50% (19/38)	+43%	38
Deportes	50% (2/4)	+30%	4
Política	67% (2/3)	+2%	3
Cripto	50% (1/2)	-39%	2
Tecnología	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other38 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (19/38)
ROI
+43%
Deportes4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
+30%
Política3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+2%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-39%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Historial

51% acierto · 25/49

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	$2	27.3¢	Perdió
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	Yes	$757	58.0¢	Ganó
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$1	0.6¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$79	79.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$4.7k	65.4¢	Ganó
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?	No	$76	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Hungary win on 2026-03-28?	No	$1.2k	73.6¢	Perdió
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	Yes	$29	18.0¢	Perdió
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?	No	$1	22.8¢	Perdió
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$19	57.0¢	Perdió
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$343	31.9¢	Ganó
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$877	70.7¢	Perdió
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$2.8k	73.3¢	Ganó
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$23.6k	72.2¢	Ganó
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?	Yes	$287	11.5¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	$2	7.0¢	Perdió
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$234	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$2	46.0¢	Perdió
Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	$61	61.0¢	Ganó
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$1.0k	65.6¢	Ganó
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	$10	63.0¢	Perdió
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Team Vitality	$32	64.1¢	Perdió
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$49	32.0¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$102	68.3¢	Ganó
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$2.5k	72.2¢	Ganó
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?	No	$3	13.2¢	Perdió
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	$4.0k	38.3¢	Ganó
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Perdió
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$20	1.5¢	Perdió
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	$1.0k	88.7¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$193	42.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$528	99.3¢	Ganó
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$114	90.3¢	Ganó
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	$25	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$96	44.4¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$66	65.9¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$41	41.0¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	No	$41	82.3¢	Ganó
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$16	16.0¢	Perdió
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$34	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$4.1k	98.8¢	Ganó
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$17	85.0¢	Ganó
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	$461	85.9¢	Ganó
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$685	85.6¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$250	91.7¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$200	45.3¢	Perdió

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Perdió
No$2 @ 27.3¢
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Ganó
Yes$757 @ 58.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Perdió
No$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Ganó
Yes$79 @ 79.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$4.7k @ 65.4¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?Ganó
No$76 @ 76.0¢
Will Hungary win on 2026-03-28?Perdió
No$1.2k @ 73.6¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 18.0¢
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 22.8¢
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Perdió
No$19 @ 57.0¢
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$343 @ 31.9¢
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$877 @ 70.7¢
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Ganó
No$2.8k @ 73.3¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Ganó
No$23.6k @ 72.2¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?Perdió
Yes$287 @ 11.5¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 7.0¢
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Ganó
No$234 @ 72.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 46.0¢
Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?Ganó
Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 65.6¢
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsPerdió
Team Vitality$32 @ 64.1¢
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Perdió
No$49 @ 32.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Ganó
Yes$102 @ 68.3¢
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$2.5k @ 72.2¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?Perdió
No$3 @ 13.2¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Ganó
Yes$4.0k @ 38.3¢
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 1.5¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 88.7¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Perdió
No$193 @ 42.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Ganó
No$528 @ 99.3¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Ganó
No$114 @ 90.3¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Ganó
No$25 @ 89.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Ganó
No$96 @ 44.4¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Perdió
Yes$66 @ 65.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Perdió
Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Ganó
No$41 @ 82.3¢
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Ganó
Yes$34 @ 67.0¢
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Ganó
No$4.1k @ 98.8¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 85.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Ganó
No$461 @ 85.9¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Ganó
Yes$685 @ 85.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$250 @ 91.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 45.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$24.9k	97.6¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$4.7k	93.5¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$1.9k	87.1¢
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	—	No	$482	80.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	No	$363	93.2¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Tecnología	No	$310	96.3¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Política	No	$271	90.5¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	—	No	$192	85.8¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	—	Yes	$140	35.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$120	12.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Política	Yes	$81	81.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$49	98.1¢
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	—	Yes	$27	54.0¢
Will Daniel Rezaei be 1st on the 2026 Money List at the end of the year?	—	No	$25	99.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$22	43.0¢

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$24.9k @ 97.6¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$4.7k @ 93.5¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$1.9k @ 87.1¢
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?—
No$482 @ 80.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
No$363 @ 93.2¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tecnología
No$310 @ 96.3¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Política
No$271 @ 90.5¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?—
No$192 @ 85.8¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?—
Yes$140 @ 35.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$120 @ 12.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Política
Yes$81 @ 81.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$49 @ 98.1¢
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?—
Yes$27 @ 54.0¢
Will Daniel Rezaei be 1st on the 2026 Money List at the end of the year?—
No$25 @ 99.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$22 @ 43.0¢