0x9afe…062a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9afeaa84ba61d876f04575c7cb667853f173062a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+39.3pp

ROI

+86%

Tasa de acierto

83% @ 44.1¢

Brier

0.325

Resueltas

139

Tamaño med.

$104

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	69% (11/16)	+125%	16
Tecnología	75% (3/4)	+13%	4
Política	33% (1/3)	-62%	3
Geopolítica	100% (2/2)	+35%	2
Cultura	100% (2/2)	+94%	2

Other16 apuestas
Tasa acierto
69% (11/16)
ROI
+125%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+13%
Política3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-62%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+35%
Cultura2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+94%

Historial

70% acierto · 19/27

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$354	58.0¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$250	50.0¢	Ganó
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$731	40.0¢	Ganó
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$199	79.6¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	$432	47.0¢	Ganó
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?	No	$435	87.0¢	Ganó
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$770	77.0¢	Ganó
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	Yes	$345	69.0¢	Perdió
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?	Yes	$308	29.7¢	Ganó
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	$521	87.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$98	49.0¢	Perdió
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	No	$309	74.4¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$2.3k	24.8¢	Ganó
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	$349	23.9¢	Perdió
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$196	68.7¢	Ganó
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	$1.9k	45.9¢	Ganó
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	$790	79.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$180	18.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	No	$469	64.3¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$569	81.0¢	Ganó
Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?	Yes	$29	33.5¢	Ganó
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	No	$180	34.9¢	Ganó
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$104	9.5¢	Perdió
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$695	37.7¢	Perdió
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$440	44.0¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	$135	37.3¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	$1.4k	52.7¢	Ganó

Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$354 @ 58.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Ganó
Yes$250 @ 50.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Ganó
No$731 @ 40.0¢
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$199 @ 79.6¢
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Ganó
Yes$432 @ 47.0¢
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$770 @ 77.0¢
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Perdió
Yes$345 @ 69.0¢
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Ganó
Yes$308 @ 29.7¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Ganó
No$521 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$98 @ 49.0¢
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?Ganó
No$309 @ 74.4¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Ganó
Yes$2.3k @ 24.8¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Perdió
No$349 @ 23.9¢
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$196 @ 68.7¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 45.9¢
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Ganó
Yes$790 @ 79.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Ganó
No$469 @ 64.3¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$569 @ 81.0¢
Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?Ganó
Yes$29 @ 33.5¢
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Ganó
No$180 @ 34.9¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$104 @ 9.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$695 @ 37.7¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$440 @ 44.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Perdió
Yes$135 @ 37.3¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 52.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$478	74.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?	Política	No	$306	17.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$305	61.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$284	71.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	Política	Yes	$254	62.0¢
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$126	42.0¢

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$478 @ 74.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?Política
No$306 @ 17.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$305 @ 61.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$284 @ 71.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Política
Yes$254 @ 62.0¢
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$126 @ 42.0¢